Dr Square
- 18 May 2006 20:25
- 345 of 656
Got myself in a muddle need some help.
JKX have three possible ways to increase revenue.
1: Higher domestic gas prices. (June Gasprom negotiations)
2: Increased production ( AGM statement & current RNS statements)
3: selling outside of Ukraine ( tie in to gas pipeline AGM statement)
Have I missed anything????
Currently in January ukraine did a deal with Gasprom to supply gas at $95 per 1k double what was currently being payed. Share price doubled???? in reports at the time it was clear the intention was for it to be a sliding scale agreement over 5 years?????? So am I wrong in thinking that in June we may see a further increase????? and responding share price increase.
Production has increased since 05 and it seems that they have some in hand is this currently reflected in share price?????
With the current problems within the Ukraine can we really see JKX being allowed to export and what would be the tax on such exports???
I am not takeing the Michael on this I truly have lost the plot anyones views on the 3 issues above would be truly welcome.
Regards
Andy
- 18 May 2006 21:11
- 346 of 656
Dr Square,
Here is my take on your three questions.
I have read rumblings about Gazprom increasing the prices, but i have also read that Ukranian indusrty is really suffering, so maybe they couldn't take another increase so soon? I am discounting an increase in the local domestic price for 2006.
Given the current average production, and the fact that some of the increase in last years's production did not really show in the figures for year end, will result in a decent increase for 2006 IMO.
Add to that, hopefully, we will see some positive results for the 2006 drilling campaign, R101 for example.
With regards to exports, JKX seem determined to commence exportation of it's gas to realise the international higher prices, and I am sure they will eventually prevail, as they must have a signed agreement to do so.
Just my thoughts.
Dr Square
- 20 May 2006 09:21
- 347 of 656
Andy
Thanks for that,Still positive.
Regards
Dr Square
- 23 May 2006 21:50
- 348 of 656
What would this do to JKX revenue?
Domestic Gas price to increase by 50% ??
Regards
Andy
- 24 May 2006 00:43
- 349 of 656
Dr Square,
That would do nicely!
Actually, the Ukranians seem to pay a set price for their gas, as it seems to be split between the residents of apartment blocks on a communal basis, so they have no need to conserve energy, as they pay a fixed price regardless.
Maybe this is the wakeup call they need to want to conserve their resources?
Dr Square
- 24 May 2006 05:08
- 350 of 656
Morning Andy
It would be nice.
At some point in time they will have to start to bring the price into line with the rest of Europe? Considering the state of Nafgas finance, and the alledged gas stock that Gasprom have built up in the Ukraine to sell direct come Winter, It would make sense to raise the prices to allow Nafgas to survive??
Regards
Andy
- 24 May 2006 09:53
- 351 of 656
Morning Dr Square,
Yes that's right, they need to take some steps towards bringing their gas prices more in line with Europe, and their system of collective use encourages excess use, so they may need to change their system to our type of individual dwelling metering IMO.
Interesting moves this morning, we started -16p, and now we are +5p, on lowish volume!
Andy
- 24 May 2006 10:41
- 352 of 656
Dr Square,
I spoke too soon!
We're down a tad now, lol!
Dr Square
- 24 May 2006 20:20
- 353 of 656
Andy
Hey day to day what the. It is long term that matters.
Just posted a begging letter to you. Andy
What is a problem? JKX are insulated within Ukraine for its product and income mostly, but yet are getting marked down. Go figure.
Bird flue is todays topic for the Ftse, but one of the biggest holiday spots for the Baltic horde is Egypt. Who have had bird flue for some time. While the Western Europeans avoided anything that flew as food, the Eastern Europeans got stuck in. Observations from a recent family Holiday.
Should I put my money were my mouth is and change my ISA holdings into JKX.
Any further pull back the phone will be lifted.
Regards
Andy
- 25 May 2006 00:45
- 354 of 656
Dr Square,
Absolutely right, I don't worry about the day to day price movements as JKX has rewarded those that have been patient, and I think it will continue to do so.
I have mine in an ISA, as iIhave few stocks that I want to buy that qualify, hence my interest in Canadians stocks of late.
I wouldn't like to advise you re the ISA, if R101 comes in we could move north fast, but it is a gamble until the result is known, imo.
You may wish to consider moving some of your holdings into JKX, maybe you have a stock that is range bound, but we may have more turbulance, and another drop yet, who knows?
Andy
- 25 May 2006 19:51
- 355 of 656
Dr Square,
A nice 6.7% rise today!
Dr Square
- 25 May 2006 21:06
- 356 of 656
Not bloody nice for me LOL
didn`t move my ISA saw it open red and backed off.
oh well the rest of my JKX made money. The ISA will have to wait
seems to be pulling back from the 3.8 mark need something to nudge it on?
Did you notice that the Ukraine Parliament sat today for the first time.
GDP is targeted for 5%-7% for the comeing year.
Regards
Andy
- 28 May 2006 09:38
- 357 of 656
Dr Square,
A nice end to the week!
I was in Ireland visiting the Galantas Gold Mine, so have been off the board, but the 36p rise on Friday was a welcome surprise!
Nice volume too, over 800,000 shares traded, a good number for JKX.
Dr Square
- 28 May 2006 19:54
- 358 of 656
Yep Very nice finish Andy
Shorters nightmare.
Through the 4 barrier ! now it settled for a while just above this level? I hope it can kick on from here. My bet is it can as news is due on drilling ? and we have the political postering never mind the internal reform of the energy industry to consider.
I considered a possiblity for JKX to sell its oil / gas abroad at international prices and for the Ukrain goverment to place a heavy tax on it, the goverment then purchase gas from other sources at a lesser rate. could this work ? As it seems possible economically.
Hope you managed to have some proper Guinness Andy.
Regards
Andy
- 29 May 2006 11:21
- 359 of 656
Dr Square,
With the drilling news seemingly imminent, I hope the price can remain above the 400p level, and the political posturing may go on for some time, so unless there is some bad news released somewhere, I hope we will establish a base at the current price.
With regards to taxation and exporting oil and gas, the scenario you speculate on could indeed become a possibility, as they could utilise the increase in taxation to subsidise the imported oil and gas.
I hope their Chancellor doesn't read Moneyam!
I did indeed manage a few samples of "proper Guinness", and they were excellent!
hlyeo98
- 30 May 2006 18:58
- 360 of 656
JKX not holding on...very volatile...drifting down
Andy
- 31 May 2006 09:42
- 361 of 656
hlyeo98,
As indeed are many oil and gas stocks, something to do with the decreasing value of the US $ v other currencies I believe.
JKX have again increased production, and with drilling news awaited during June, on well R101 at least, I feel JKX are in a good position at present.
Andy
- 01 Jun 2006 11:14
- 362 of 656
JKX Oil & Gas PLC
01 June 2006
JKX Oil & Gas plc
Notification of Interim Results
JKX Oil & Gas plc will be announcing its Interim Results for the six months
ended 30 June 2006 on Tuesday, 26 September 2006.
For further information please contact:
Sofia Rehman, Cardew Group Tel: 020 7930 0777
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
Dr Square
- 01 Jun 2006 20:26
- 363 of 656
Evening Andy / All
Have I got this right JKX got an average of $1.82 for a thousand cubic feet of gas last year.
Gasprom are currently selling at $95 per cubic meter.
That would make JKX got in effect $65 per cubic meter last year.
Is my conversion accurate? anyone
I ask because the domestic rate has been set at $83 from June.
Domestic rate
Regards
Dr Square
- 15 Jun 2006 09:55
- 364 of 656