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ELA up 160% this morning. (ELA)     

squidd - 04 Mar 2005 07:37





Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ELA&Si
I wonder if any gamblers noticed my post 334 on the GMC thread yesterday.
It looks as though bottom fishing can sometimes pay off.

wisemove - 26 May 2005 14:45 - 35 of 179

agm this morning....excellent news....this is going to go balistic.......sorry....has gone ballistic and the US has even opened yet (pre market +11% and rising!!!!)

squidd - 26 May 2005 16:31 - 36 of 179

I had e-mailed Elan with my query about PMLE [post 31} and had no direct reply, but this was aired in the AGM and the medics put it into perspective - too complex for laymen like me to report here.
Meanwhile they are looking optimistic so far, over on NASDAQ.
sd.

squidd - 31 May 2005 15:27 - 37 of 179

Some new heavyweight board appointments announced today, seem to have brought ELA firmy back onto its recovery course.
sd.

PapalPower - 01 Jun 2005 10:38 - 38 of 179

squidd ELA still rising and OSH too so good news all round.

wisemove - 01 Jun 2005 13:13 - 39 of 179

future is looking bright!

squidd - 01 Jun 2005 15:24 - 40 of 179

PpP: I see that OSH is leading ELA again but allowing for the spread handicap, they are probably neck & neck and both running extremely well.
Some of my TA friends are getting excited about various MA crosses and OBV's for
ELA saying it points to a re-run of last year's big climb. I'm not an astrologist, but would be interested to hear views from any other chartists. Meanwhile, in my view the simple chart and volume are saying it's better than money in the bank, so I'm tempted to dip into my cash pile and add to ELA.

Have sniffed around the RPT crash site to see if there's any worthwile salvage over there but decided to keep away and see what other skeletons might be dragged out.

I am looking very hard at ULT which I think could be a big climber in the NHS health care market. Knowing of your interest in health matters, perhaps see you over there.
sd.

PapalPower - 01 Jun 2005 19:01 - 41 of 179

squidd it is neck and neck and with the way they are marking up OSH sometimes on no trades I think they know very positive news is coming with the results next week so will OSH take the lead?

PapalPower - 01 Jun 2005 19:02 - 42 of 179

squidd forgot to say some real good news at VLK

wisemove - 02 Jun 2005 10:15 - 43 of 179

suggest you think about getting out temporarily if not already done so due to rumour of new fatality.......the panic may well set in early this afternoon when the US moves....

squidd - 02 Jun 2005 10:28 - 44 of 179

Wisemove: Thanks for info, have scoured the net in vain for details; fortunately still up on month.
sd.

wisemove - 02 Jun 2005 11:10 - 45 of 179

from another site:

Reuters.com

Elan falls on new report of Tysabri-linked illness
Thu Jun 2, 2005 05:11 AM ET
DUBLIN, June 2 (Reuters) - Shares in Elan Corp. (ELN.I: Quote, Profile, Research) fell as much as 24 percent on Thursday following a report that a fourth patient taking its multiple sclerosis drug Tysabri may have contracted a deadly brain disease.
Elan halted sales of Tysabri on February 28 after a patient died from a rare brain infection, known as PML.

The Boston Globe reported on Thursday that Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB.O: Quote, Profile, Research) , with whom Elan developed Tysabri, had told the Food and Drug Administration that a fourth patient may have contracted PML.

Shares in Elan dropped to a day low of 4.91 euros and were 15.1 percent lower at 5.35 euros by 0911 GMT.

looks like we'll see a further fall after the US market opens (although the % will have been for the greater part already abosrbed) then a degree of stablization and then a pointer of where we go fom here.

wisemove - 03 Jun 2005 10:34 - 46 of 179

from another site:

Things are not as bad as first thought, so up we go again!

Goodbodys have a buy on Elan:

Elan (Buy, Current Price $6.85)
What is material to Tysabri's progress?
After a day with no communication on speculation around Tysabri, a spokesperson for the FDA would now appear to have confirmed that Elan and Biogen Idec have received a report of a suspected case of PML. Given the lack of response from both Elan and Biogen Idec, we infer that the case referred to has been deemed by all parties involved not to be material to the progress of Tysabri through the approval process. The reference to the Freedom of Information Act in earlier speculation is particularly intriguing though. A Federal body can take 20 days to respond to a request for data under FoI and has the opt-out clause that it will not disclose information that it considers to be commercially sensitive. From this, the inference of a fourth potential case (if from an FoI-driven source) could possibly be from data lodged with the FDA some time over the past few weeks. We consider it inconceivable that, if material, that data were not disclosed to the market during this period. Given the recent corporate action (debt retirement) and bullish stance on Tysabri, both Elan and Biogen Idec's definition of "material" will have been closely scrutinised by all parties in the review process. The inference, therefore, is that if there is a fourth suspected case of PML, it has been agreed by all parties involved to be, as yet, immaterial to the progress of Tysabri through the review process. Undoubtedly, it will be discussed at the Biogen Idec AGM today (15:00 Dublin/London).

Good luck/dyor

squidd - 04 Jun 2005 07:35 - 47 of 179

www.ninds.nih.gov/disorders/pml
The US National Institute for Neurological Disorders, puts into perspective the rare brain disease that has been linked to ELA's flagship drug. The impression given is that it is much less rare now, being an opportunistic disease that can take hold in the presence of various immuno-suppressor drugs, AIDS victims being especially vulnerable.
ELA seems to be back on the road to recovery.
sd.

wisemove - 10 Jun 2005 07:02 - 48 of 179

wow......the spike yesterday afternoon was pretty impressive......it looks like recovery is well on its way.......it looks as if TY will come back, sooner rather than later perhaps?!....should see an excellent gain today and further hikes over the coming weeks.........dyor.......and good luck all.

wisemove - 10 Jun 2005 07:02 - 49 of 179

ps (spike ref US market....code ELN)

squidd - 20 Jul 2005 00:36 - 50 of 179

Yes! The latest 2 year Sentinel trials show TY to be successful as a combination drug, and all post-crash investors should now be well in pocket with ELA, perhaps with lots more to come, should TY ever get re-approved.
sd.

squidd - 09 Aug 2005 09:26 - 51 of 179

With ELA up over 30% and ULT up 16% this morning, I hope all bottom fishers
are celebrating today. Anyone in the Mayflower tonight can have drink with me.
sd.

guinness69 - 13 Sep 2005 13:25 - 52 of 179

This is going to fly in the next few days. Keep a close watch and mark 21 Sept in your notebook . The best place to follow the news flow on this is the yahoo MB. look under ELN. as Elan has a lot of different tickers. The MB to look up Elan is the U.S. message board. not the U.K. one.

gildph - 14 Sep 2005 08:20 - 53 of 179

Can you give any reason(s) why Guinness69?

squidd - 15 Nov 2005 17:18 - 54 of 179

Looks like time for bottom fishers to celebrate again, but no idea why ELA is climbing.
They have crawled upwards throughout the year, then suddenly spurted recently. The chairman spent 1/3M on shares at the beginning of November and in the last couple of days US brokers have upgraded their rating. There is just a possibility that their flagship drug, Tsybari, is about to be re-approved and if so the sp will go through the ceiling, but I can't find anything - can anybody?
sd.
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