I hold these stock.

DYOH (do your own homework.)

To-day there was a slight drop in price, but number of analysts are giving favourable reports.

What triggered my interest was better than expected results and if I am right looking at charts it shows an inverted head and shoulders. Hopefully a good sign. Also the current rate of Share price growth is about 90% pa over the last 5weeks. This is unlikely to continue indefinitely but SP could hit 850p over next few weeks.

To-day at close, there were some large buys of about 5million shares. 40million approx.

Another trigger for me was the following which should increase earnings.

Aviva to form JV in Taiwan with First FinancialAFX
LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Aviva PLC, the UK's largest insurer, said it has entered into a joint venture with First Financial Holding Co Ltd to sell insurance and pension products in Taiwan. The joint venture company, First-Aviva, will distribute long-term savings and pension products in Taiwan through an exclusive agreement with First Financial's flagship unit, First Commercial Bank. Aviva, which will have a 49 pct stake in the joint venture, added that the initial paid up capital of the new company will be 34 mln stg.First Commercial Bank is Taiwan's second largest bank network, with five mln retail customers, it added.TFN.newsdesk@thomson.comkkb/faj/slm




Date: Wednesday 25 Apr 2007
LONDON (ShareCast) - If the message gets home that Aviva will not bid for Prudential, the stock should rebound strongly, especially if Aviva can sustain its current impressive performance. There is still work to be done but, at 794.5p, the shares are a strong buy says the Independent.
Date: Tuesday 24 Apr 2007
LONDON (ShareCast) - Aviva stood out among the risers on a tough day for blue chip stocks. The life insurer posted an upbeat first quarter statement with brokers pleased with the numbers.



DYOH

Well considering how much FTSE rose yesterday I can't say I'm that excited about AV.

We are now at an equivalent price of 508 which isn't really doing it for me.

Can't get my head round their handing of the pref. shares thing. Where on earth did they get the idea the pref holders would just accept it especially since many of them would hold ordinaries as well

If I can get the equivalent of about 520 in old money I'm out.

Ok , what to do with this. I'm in a quandary - any views appreciated.

I'm long from 494p inc. stamp duty and costs and with the dividend we are at the equivalent of 535p.

I was going to sell already after the pref issue debacle but for whatever reason AV. seems strong although FTSE is going in the right direction too.

From a fundamental point of view I think the share price is beaten up and I'm happy to hold but it's been beaten up for so long I'm not sure why that should change right now, other than I have a whole raft of beaten up stocks in my portfolio and on my watchlist and they do seem to be starting to feel like there's more buying interest. Support seems to kick in faster.

From a chart point of view I like the way the 200MA is going to continue down while the share price is currently above it. At some point provided the share price doesn't return to sub 500 the MA's are going to cross. This would entice me to stay in at least for a while to see what happens.

At the moment there is nothing particularly I'd rather invest in. Nothing is enticing me enough to cover the costs of selling this and buying something else.

Any thoughts?

I have held shares in AV. about 5years with a return of over 55% (a few buys and sells in that period).

My forecast return at the moment seems to be 12% per annum.

It has a promised yield of about 6% TP about 570 with promised increase earnings.

My bet is that it has a little further increase in price.

I will consider dumping at 550.

I've had Aviva since 2010 @294 - sold in the £4s and bought back in the £3s several times over the years and just take the dividend.

I've also closed by limit today, S/Bs in both Av and LGEN - the latter I also hold from 99p.

Lucky B.

On the 10th.

Broker Forecast - Citigroup issues a broker note on Aviva PLC
BFN
Citigroup today reaffirms its buy investment rating on Aviva PLC (LON:AV.) and set its price target at 603p.

Story provided by StockMarketWire.com

So, to get to the crux of my problem, I'm struggling to decide whether to hold AV. for 3 years and then reappraise or trade it in and out.

Over the last 4 years I've traded in and out twice, in at something beginning with a 4 and out at something beginning with a 5. That's worked out fine as it happens.

This time I'm in at something beginning with a 4 again but the economic backdrop feels different to me. This time I'm far more inclined to hold as I see the UK and global economy going through a very good patch for the next years.

I'm in a muddle, rabbit in the headlights, no plan, or the plan I like which is holding I'm struggling to square in my own mind.

Meantime it's up another 1% against a backdrop of an indifferent FTSE.

I think by writing this I've convinced myself to do nothing. Perhaps.

At the moment, the weather is good.

Have another walk around the garden.

You may feel more relaxed.

Wish I'd sat on hands ...... sold at 513p doh.

Announcement of Goodwill Payment

Could be more than the quoted figure - what happens when other entity pref holders campaign/take action against this immoral lot

They took the whole market down - not just their 'own'

Aviva to commence £600 million share buy-back

Still in this trade and still don't know what to do with it.

Sector is moving up as well as AV.

They say run your winners. so that's what I'm trying to do.

The chart says resistance around here but I have that feeling in my waters we may break up

After some thought I have decided to let this trade run for a while. Maybe a few months, maybe years.

Reasons for staying long:
I believe the world and UK economy to be going in the right direction and that AV. will produce outcomes better than the average increase in UK or world GDP, thus the dividend will rise by more than inflation.

Around 1% of my portfolio is in this sector which is too low already.

I believe there is a slow gradual change in outlook towards this sector which has been under-rated for some time.

Share buyback which runs to Christmas is a significant proportion of daily share volume.

Reasons for selling
FTSE has risen 900 pts in a few weeks as is overbought. True but most of the rise due to commodities and weakening pound.


finally there's nothing else I'm itching to buy.

Not sure what to do Skinny. I have very little cash available to invest right now and the pot I do have I usually use for trading spikes or distressed sellers.

I could buy AV. or ESUR or frankly a whole raft of stuff.

488 is a good price I think. I'm happy to pay 488 but will it go lower. Stupidly low?

Hi CC - I left an order in on Wednesday @486.5p which wasn't filled.

I'll have another look on Monday.

I've got both ESUR and DLG on S/B after the recent fall and I hold AV. & LGEN long term.

Hmmmm.

Interim Results

Aviva has grown operating earnings per share by 4% and increased the dividend by 10%.

The 10% increase in the interim dividend is our fourth consecutive half-year of double digit dividend growth and further proof of Aviva's progress.

During these choppy market conditions, it is reassuring that Aviva's results are consistent, dependable and growing.

Aviva remains financially strong with a capital surplus of £11 billion. In the first half of 2018, we started a £600 million share buy-back and paid off €500 million of expensive debt.

We remain on track to achieve our financial targets.

Profit

· Operating EPS up 4% to 26.8 pence (HY17: 25.8 pence)

· Operating profit‡,#,1 down 2% to £1,438 million (HY17: £1,465 million). Excluding disposals, operating profit rose 4% to £1,421 million (HY17: £1,365 million)

· IFRS profit after tax £376 million (HY17: £716 million)

Dividend

· Interim dividend per share up 10% to 9.25 pence (HY17: 8.40 pence)

Capital

· Solvency II capital surplus2 £11.0 billion (2017: £12.2 billion), including £1.8 billion of distributions to investors.

· Solvency II cover ratio‡,2 187% (2017: 198%)

· Operating capital generation# £0.9 billion (HY17: £1.1 billion)

· IFRS net asset value per share 411 pence (2017: 423 pence)

Cash

· Cash remittances‡,# £1,493 million (HY17: £1,170 million)

· UK Insurance special remittance £500 million. Cumulative special remittances from UK Insurance since 2016 totalled £1.25 billion, ahead of £1 billion target.

· Holding company liquidity £1.43 billion (February 2018: £2.0 billion)


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Broker Forecast - Barclays Capital issues a broker note on Aviva PLC
BFN
Barclays Capital today reaffirms its overweight investment rating on Aviva PLC (LON:AV.) and raised its price target to 610p (from 581p).

Story provided by StockMarketWire.com

Broker Forecasts data provided by www.sharesmagazine.co.uk