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Steps needed to prevent bulletin-board misuse -- August 13 2010 19:18
Online investor bulletin boards occasionally provide me with some snippets of useful information but I always take pains to validate this information from more reputable sources before I trust it. ................
Turning to my own trades not influenced by bulletin boards I have been monitoring price swings in BATM Advanced Communications (ticker symbol: BVC) for several weeks.
BATM is a leading producer of broadband and telecoms system components. It also has a rapidly growing medical diagnostic division. But it has given investors a painful time in 2010. Its shares fell sharply in February after it stated that revenues had weakened due to the loss of a key customer.
As our price chart shows, the shares fell further in May in response to an interim management statement that repeated Februarys warning.
This caught my attention because it was old news which I assumed had been reflected in the share price since February. Mays statement also noted that the revenue trend was improving in spite of the loss of that key customer. Investors ignored this positive news.
Prices fell, yet again, last Tuesday morning in response to a poorly received first-half earnings statement. The company reported a small loss.
Given that the stock market is usually forward-looking, I could not help but wonder how many times the shares could sell-off on the same bad news.
It seems the downturn came to an end at 8:06am six minutes after the markets opened. Prices fell about 15 per cent and then began to recover. The briefness of the sell-off plus the length of time that the bad news had been in the market led me to conclude that all the nervous money was finally shaken out. I decided to pounce at what I believed to be a bargain basement price.
I do not think it much of a gamble. Tuesdays report also contained a healthy dollop of good news. Revenues in BATMs medical division are 50 per cent ahead of last year and growth shows no sign of slowing. Medical profit margins are low in this financial year because the company is spending heavily to exploit its opportunity. But margins should improve in 2011 in line with rising revenues.
BATMs troubled telecoms division also reported good news. Orders were quickly received for two new products, while a third major product is undergoing trials, so the company expects division revenues to rise sharply in 2011.
Robin Speakman of Shore Capital provides the cherry on the cake. BATM has valuable real estate holdings on its books. He estimates that their value equates to about 10p per share. Few investors are aware of this. The companys cash and near cash is worth another 10p per share. But the current share price is only 24.25p. At this price, its like buying a cash pile with a high potential telecoms supplier and a booming medical testing division thrown in for free.
Stock market historian David Schwartz is an active short-term trader, writing about his own trades and strategies
David Schwartz buys for his portfolio
13 September 2010 -- BATM Advanced Communications Limited
Interim Management Statement
BATM Advanced Communications Limited ("BATM" or the "Company") (LSE: BVC),
a leading designer and producer of broadband data and telecoms systems and
medical laboratory systems, is today issuing its Interim Management Statement
for the period from 1 July 2010 to 31 August 2010.
Current trading update
Total revenues in the first two months of the second half of 2010 were $ 18.6
million, compared with $19.1 million in the equivalent period in 2009. Revenues
for the period are broadly inline with those of the equivalent period in 2009
and also with management's expectations.
During these two months the sales mix was 68% from the Telecoms division and 32%
from the Medical division as compared to 75% and 25% in the second half of 2009
and 65% and 35% in the first half of 2010.
The gross margin has slightly increased during the first two months of the
second half of 2010 over the first half of 2010.
Financial position
The Company's balance sheet remains very strong and at the end of August
the effective cash balance stood at $53.4 million, a decrease of $9.4 million
compared to the position at 30 June 2010, largely due to the Dividend payment in
July amounted to $8.8 million and a slightly increase in inventory balances.
BATM sales fall amid lost Nokia business
By Courtney Weaver -- Last updated: September 14 2010 02:57
BATM Advanced Communications faces falling revenues over the next two years as it struggles to rebuild its telecoms unit after losing much of its business with Nokia.
The Israel-based telecoms equipment manufacturer said that revenues in July and August had fallen to $18.6m, compared with $19.1m for the same period last year, and predicted sales at the telecoms division would remain flat for the next 18 months.
To combat the loss in revenue, the group has come to rely on its less lucrative medical division that produces both laboratory diagnostic tools and equipment used to destroy medical waste. While last year the medical unit represented just 25 per cent of total sales, it now represents 32 per cent. By 2013, the split between the two divisions could be 50-50, said Jon Fletcher, an analyst at Altium Securities.
The share of the lower-margin medical division increasing means less profitability, he said, predicting that it would take 18 to 24 months for BATM to find a source of revenue to replace its business with Nokia.
The Finnish company was forced to reduce its business with BATM earlier this year as it lost out market share to Chinese competitors, a problem also faced by Alcatel and Huawei, two of BATMs other manufacturing partners.
According to BATM, the loss of the partnership led to a $16.7m drop in revenues between the first half of 2009 and the first half of 2010.
Outlook for the telecoms division improved slightly over the past two months thanks to increased business from US telecoms operators. Clients such as Verizon and AT&T have boosted their bandwidth capacity following the release of the iPhone4 and growing popularity for other smartphones, a service that BATM provides.
The company changed its management team in June to work out a new strategy for its telecoms division and is working on alternative sources of revenues, including a new licensing agreement with a top chip designer and finding ways to sell directly to companies .
Shares in BATM, which have fallen 42 per cent over the past 12 months, on Monday fell p to 24p.
BVC.LS - Batm Advanced Communications Ltd (LSE)
Date | Open | High | Low | Last | Change | Volume | % Change |
10/26/10 | 22.5000 | 22.5000 | 22.2500 | 22.2500 | -0.5000 | 200690 | -2.20% |
Composite Indicator | ||||||||||||
Trend Spotter TM | Sell | |||||||||||
Short Term Indicators | ||||||||||||
7 Day Average Directional Indicator | Buy | |||||||||||
10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel | Sell | |||||||||||
20 Day Moving Average vs Price | Sell | |||||||||||
20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator | Sell | |||||||||||
20 Day Bollinger Bands | Sell | |||||||||||
Short Term Indicators Average: | 60% - Sell | |||||||||||
20-Day Average Volume - 304665 | ||||||||||||
Medium Term Indicators | ||||||||||||
40 Day Commodity Channel Index | Sell | |||||||||||
50 Day Moving Average vs Price | Sell | |||||||||||
20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator | Sell | |||||||||||
50 Day Parabolic Time/Price | Buy | |||||||||||
Medium Term Indicators Average: | 50% - Sell | |||||||||||
50-Day Average Volume - 473362 | ||||||||||||
Long Term Indicators | ||||||||||||
60 Day Commodity Channel Index | Sell | |||||||||||
100 Day Moving Average vs Price | Sell | |||||||||||
50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator | Sell | |||||||||||
Long Term Indicators Average: | 100% - Sell | |||||||||||
100-Day Average Volume - 557068 | ||||||||||||
Overall Average: | 72% - Sell | |||||||||||
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