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Another beaten up oil junior starting to bounce (CHAR)     

kate bates - 02 Apr 2009 13:29

Don't like doing threads but have been alerted to this one as it trades well below cash position and allegedly has directorate links with the massive Petrobas. Last broker target was something like 165p - currently 26! The bates is in.

required field - 07 Mar 2011 09:50 - 379 of 474

The sp will recover.....big fund raising can do this......the amount of possible oil in the ground is mind blowing ; 13 billion barrels....only the Saudis have something like that !.

cynic - 07 Mar 2011 10:03 - 380 of 474

as a layman, i'm pretty suspicious of that "big number" ..... if i understand correctly, that is just the amount they THINK is there but has yet to be proved, and further, the % then recoverable, once anything at all is found, is perhaps 40% of that

required field - 07 Mar 2011 10:08 - 381 of 474

It does seem rather large.....TRP is another oilie in that area worth keeping an eye on....

cynic - 07 Mar 2011 10:22 - 382 of 474

recollect getting rather singed on TRP a while back ...... while they will of course rocket if they ever find anything worthwhile, i'ld have thought CHAR to be a better bet in that region - being well counter-balanced by AFR (other coast!) and TLW

markymar - 07 Mar 2011 10:40 - 383 of 474

Do you not think the board think it was at a at silly overhauled price and thought lets raise a huge amount of money which they did and have played a blinder.

Still overhauled!!!

cynic - 07 Mar 2011 10:50 - 384 of 474

perhaps, but quite possibly a turn to be made

HARRYCAT - 07 Mar 2011 16:43 - 385 of 474

Again, just a cautionary note from The FT sector watcher:
"CHAR this morning announces a 90m ($146m) equity fundraising at 250p/share, a hefty 18% discount to Fridays close. I mentioned a couple of weeks ago that there was a good chance of a sizeable fundraising happening soon, hence todays news is no huge surprise. The cash will be used to fund the groups initial drilling activities on its offshore Namibian acreage, including the drilling of a well on its 100%-owned Northern acreage ($65m), a second well on its 50%-owned Southern acreage ($25m net CHAR), as well as the acquisition of 5,000 sq km of 3D seismic ($50m). The first well is due to commence drilling in Q4 this year, although Im not aware that a rig has actually been signed yet.
Id be cautious of getting involved with this one, I suspect that the reason the group has gone to the equity market for cash is that it has not been able to attract decent farm-out terms from industry CHAR has had a data-room open since February 2010. The group maintains that it will conclude a farm-out deal by the end of this month, Ill be interested to see the terms. Whilst the group claims it is targeting over 10bn barrels of prospective resources (net) across 12 exploration leads, these all appear extremely high-risk, and the stock remains a long-term sell in my view.

mitzy - 07 Mar 2011 19:24 - 386 of 474

I am cancelling the FT from tomorrow.

cynic - 07 Mar 2011 19:54 - 387 of 474

i suspect this is just the FT BB and not the pink paper itself

HARRYCAT - 07 Mar 2011 21:27 - 388 of 474

No, not the discussion board, but the oil sector watcher for the FT. He can be a bit bearish!

cynic - 09 Mar 2011 16:37 - 389 of 474

just got out in closing auction for b/e ..... stock seems disinclined to head north

hlyeo98 - 28 Apr 2011 16:27 - 390 of 474

Is CHAR a buy or sell now?

hlyeo98 - 03 May 2011 18:30 - 391 of 474

I guess it's a sell, 215p now, on a daily drop recently.

gibby - 03 May 2011 19:08 - 392 of 474

needs to break 220 otherwise expect further southerly movement

hlyeo98 - 06 May 2011 09:36 - 393 of 474

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CHAR&S

Looks like 180p support, if that breaks further downtrend.

HARRYCAT - 09 May 2011 15:26 - 394 of 474

UBS broker note:
We initiate coverage with Buy ratings on three small-cap, Africa-focused E&Ps Chariot, Cove and Bowleven where we see significant upside
potential through exploration and M&A. To assess this potential, we look at:
The geological history of the basins to which these companies are exposed, and the potential for further or future oil/gas discoveries. Political, fiscal, financing and commercial risks, and management track record. The valuation of the companies based on a NAV approach, and the upside that each company offers in the event of further near-term discoveries.
M&A potential: the attractiveness of each company to a corporate buyer.
We believe the best opportunity lies with Chariot Oil & Gas (Buy, PT 450p), which offers 1630% upside to the current share price for two successful wells, is trading at a significant discount to NAV (60%), and has seen recent share price weakness relating to comments by Namibias minister of mines which we believe do not affect the outlook for Chariot.

mitzy - 09 May 2011 15:44 - 395 of 474

Thanks for that Harry.

jkd - 09 May 2011 18:50 - 396 of 474

do they have their percentages right?
regards
jkd

HARRYCAT - 09 May 2011 20:23 - 397 of 474

I think it is just badly worded. Their current PT (price target) is 450p, but (I think) their next statement implies that should the next two wells be successful, they would anticipate a 1630% increase in the sp (taking it to 3260p from 200p). Maybe?

Toya - 09 May 2011 20:39 - 398 of 474

? Surely not! Even shares in Shell are not that much!

More likely to be 163% - though even that doesn't work as it would bring the price to 355p from the current 218p.
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