http://www.falklands-oil.com/

http://www.rockhopperexploration.co.uk

http://www.argosresources.com/




Rockhopper was established in 2004 with a strategy to invest in and undertake an offshore oil exploration programme in the North Falkland Basin. It was floated on AIM in August 2005. Rockhopper was the first company to make a commercial oil discovery in the Falklands. Today Rockhopper is the largest acreage holder in the North Falkland Basin, with interests in the Greater Mediterranean region.

Lets hope the Captain of our new submarine has passed his charts refresher course then eh!

You fly to gibralter....down to dakar....from there to st helena ....on to tristan....and then a little hop to the the falklands...easy..peasy....

I think you will find that non-stop via The Azores, with in-flight refuelling is the fastest way (as per the Vulcan's).

LOL....Chris.....are there many sand banks down there.,.

Balerboy - :O) you gotta laugh!

rf...lol...interesting route you are flying there!!..no Airports on St helena or Tristan De Cunha.

Stanley Airport is the same size and cannot take Typoons or any other normal fast Jet...they had arrester gear fitted post 1982 for the Phantoms untill MPA was built.

MPA can handle any Jets and could be reinforced within a few hours using Mid Air refueling, which is how the current Typoons got there...the general plan is that the resident forces only have to hold out till the rapid reinforcement occurs.

Not sure that worked the last time.....MPA would quickly go the way Moody Brook went. Prime target.
We might have to ask friends to provide the tanker coverage for the numbers required unless we are prepared to wait for the new tanker fleet to come in a few years time...

avsec...has you should know, there was no chance of rapid reinforcement in 1982 and only a handful of Marines,half of which had borrowed guns from the local volunteers, plus HMS Endurance was hardly a fighting ship compared to the current coverage.


MPA and the current Military asset's in the Falklands as always been geared towards the rapid reinforcement scenario, since 82'.

FALKLAND ISLANDS GOVERNMENT

PRESS STATEMENT

10 November 2010

Response to joint letter from Royal Navy Admirals November 10th 2010



The Falkland Islands Government is satisfied by and grateful for the levels of defence on the Islands, which Her Majestys Government has assured us are adequate to maintain an effective deterrent.

There are no direct defence cuts relating to the Falkland Islands. Members of the Legislative Assembly are content with the reassurances that they have been given by Her Majestys Government that the Strategic Defence Spending Review does not in any way change the UKs ability to maintain the deterrent in the Islands.

No airports on st helena ..or tristan....no wonder napoleon was dumped there....

.

You can all come and hide in my mine if they attack.

Not if it's an exploding one ....oilies about to rise ?...crude rising....

Rockhopper Exploration plc has been 'nominated' by Shares readers in the Best AIM Company Achievement category. The Awards ceremony is tonight.

Nominations are:

Blinkx plc
H&T Group plc
Hightex Group plc
Mulberry Group plc
Nautical Petroleum plc
Rockhopper Exploration plc

Shame there is not one for best moneyam thread!!!!

Best of luck for rockhopper as the board have ran a very good ship and and i think 2011 will be an even better year for them,lots of up upside in the future.

Summary of the GS note :

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/22966/falklands-oil-exploration-will-be-an-important-focus-in-near-term-goldman-sachs--22966.html


Falklands oil exploration will be an important focus in near term Goldman Sachs

Friday, November 12, 2010 by Jamie Ashcroft


Goldman Sachs believe that the Falklands offer the best regional value

The Falklands will continue to be an important focus for European exploration and production (E&P) oil and gas investors in the near term, according to research by Goldman Sachs.

Goldman singled out the headline grabbing frontier play in a comprehensive note to clients, entitled: 50 E&Ps to change your portfolio.

Many investors will have been familiar with the key players since the group of companies clubbed together back in 2009 to take the Ocean Guardian drilling rig out to the remote area in the South Atlantic.


So far the North Falklands basin has been the most explored with Rockhopper Exploration (LON:RKH) and Desire Petroleum (LON:DES) drilling through most of 2010. The South Basin has been actively explored by Falkland Oil & Gas (LON:FOGL) this year, and Borders & Southern (LON:BORS) has plans to take a rig out there in Q4 2011.

There has also been a new addition to this hardy group of AIM oil explorers in recent months, with the listing of Argos Resources (LON:ARG). The company has been described by the cognoscenti as the last remaining entry into the Falklands because its assets are comparatively early stage meaning it still has some catching up to do with the rest of it peers.

Argos expects to start drilling in 2011.

Goldmans research was led by analysts Christophor Jost and Ruth Brooker.

Jost and Brooker claimed that the Falklands offer the best regional value among the various investment themes in the report.

On our estimates, the Falklands is the cheapest area, despite the good performance relative to the rest of the sector over the past 3-4 years, the analysts said.

That said, Goldmans analyst team highlighted that the 4 main explorers had been out-performing the rest of the sector even before a well was drilled in the south Atlantic.

The Falklands explorers saw c.75% relative outperformance vs the sector before drilling, Jost said.

The analyst added: The anticipation has proven justified in the north where Rockhoppers Sea Lion discovery has opened a new potential play, although the failure at Rachel highlights that risks remain.

Whilst the North Falkland basin has been the main focus of attention in recent months, Goldman emphasised that the trickier deep-water South Falkland basin may hold greater potential.

Despite FOGLs disappointment at Toroa, the southern basin offers higher potential upside than the partially de-risked northern play but with a higher geological risk,

Given a combination of high impact exploration and a proven basin in the north, we expect the Falklands to be an important focus for the European E&P investor in the near term.

We see value in all the Falklands players under our coverage ... all Falklands explorers look cheap on our estimates, the analysts wrote.

Although the re-rating potential is vast, the outcome is binary in the event of the basin being successful, the companies will re-rate, but the downside in Borders and Southern and Falkland Oil & Gas is large in the event of failure.

In reference to the North Basin the analysts add: Now that the Sea Lion discovery has flowed, the risk profile of the stock has reduced, in our view, and it is no longer such a binary call as its peers to the south,

Instead, we believe that the value is a result of the markets inefficiency in pricing in the value for the potential of a newly opened play.


Borders and Southern (LON:BOR)

The Goldman report - written before Borders and Southerns drill programme was set back until Q4 2011 - began coverage on the South basin explorer with a buy rating and a 12-month price target of 104 pence.

The analyst said that the high-risk, high-impact exploration has the potential to transform the stock. Once underway, two wells will be drilled.

In the event of the two prospects being totally de-risked, we believe that the stock could re-rate upwards to the tune of over 1,500%,

Failure, however, would result in significant downside in our view (potentially as much as 85%) unless there was sufficient encouragement for follow-on wells.


Falkland Oil & Gas (LON:FOGL)

The analysts said that the Falkland Oil & Gas story is not dead, as it initiated its coverage with a buy rating and a 12-month price target, of 200 pence, that implies 96 percent upside.

Falkland Oil & Gas was the first to break ground in the frontier play, and the unsuccessful Toroa well which failed to find any hydrocarbons - prompted farm-in partner BHP Billiton (LON:BLT) to pull out of the next exploration phase.

Goldman believes the stock is undervalued ahead of the next well.

The key catalyst will be the next well at Loligo success or failure will be the key driver of share price performance.

The analysts believe that success at Loligo would re-rate Falklands Oil & Gas.


Rockhopper Exploration (LON:RKH)

Goldman highlighted that the Sea Lion discovery fully supports the current share price. The analysts initiated its coverage with a Conviction Buy rating with a 12-month target set at 640 pence .

They believe that the Sea Lion discovery offers a significant opportunity.

The analysts expect exploration and appraisal drilling to be the key share price catalysts.

We believe that Sea Lion has partially de-risked the basin, meaning that Rockhopper has high visibility on a potentially transformational pipeline of lower risk drilling catalysts,

We believe that further appraisal drilling on Sea Lion could help to reduce the commercial risk on the asset and potentially increase the estimated volume of reserves.


Desire Petroleum (LON:DES)

Goldman began its coverage on Desire Petroleum with a buy rating and a 12-month price target of 197 pence.

We believe that Rockhoppers Sea Lion discovery has helped to de-risk Desires substantial acreage in the north eastern part of the North Falklands basin,

Desires acreage in this part of the basin amounts to over 1000 sq km giving it substantial running room to drill a significant number of potentially transformational wells over the next few years.

The analysts believe that successful exploration could increase Desires valuation by 6 times, however they cautioned that the downside could be close to 100 percent if no further discoveries are made in the basin.

Nevertheless the analysts state: We believe that the market tends not to be aggressive enough in valuing new basins after the initial discovery, and while we appreciate the risks involved, we are willing to give Desire value for exploration drilling out to 2013 in the area.

http://www.diamondoffshore.com/ourFleet/documents/November122010web.xls

Ocean Guardian one additional option well


International Semisubmersibles (26)
Ocean Guardian 1,500' Falkland Is. Current Contract AGR/Desire/ Rockhopper Nine firm wells plus one remaining optional well mid 240's mid Feb. 2010 early Mar. 2011

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1/ Liz
2/ Sea Lion
3/ Ernest
4/ Toroa
5/ Rachel-1
6/ Rachel Sidetrack
7/ Rachel North

8/ Jacinta - tba
9/ Helen - tba

Plus one option left.

http://www.rockhopperexploration.co.uk/pdf/Rockhopper-Operational-Update-13-10-10-final-RNS-new.pdf


Diamond Offshore Drilling (UK) Limited, the owners and managers of the Ocean Guardian semisubmersible
drilling unit, which is operating in the Falkland Islands and is currently engaged in the
drilling campaign, has recently made a proposal to Rockhopper, at Rockhoppers request, for a
continuation of the drilling campaign under a new rig contract consisting of a possible three firm wells
and five options extension. The execution of any such contract with Diamond Offshore Drilling (UK)
Limited would be subject both to the deposit by the Company into an escrow account of significant
funds sufficient to cover the day rate and other obligations and to agreement on a form of contract
acceptable to both parties.

marky, yes, DOD has made an offer to RKH however as yet the offer has not been accepted.

RKH should also be in discussions with others about potential rig lease, I mean, you have to shop around to get the best deal.