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ITE Group PLC (ITE)     

goldfinger - 19 Jul 2010 12:45

Good to see we have solid broker backing here and not suprised with it being so cheap. A foward P/E of just over 11 to 2011 is very miserly.

ITE Group PLC

FORECASTS 2010 2011
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Numis Securities Ltd
15-07-10 BUY 33.50 10.20 5.70 39.00 12.00 5.90

Singer Capital Markets Ltd
15-07-10 BUY 34.20 10.30 5.70 41.40 12.60 6.00

KBC Peel Hunt Ltd
15-07-10 HOLD 33.95 10.25 5.70 39.52 12.04 5.90

Investec Securities
24-06-10 BUY 36.04 11.01 5.72 40.24 12.24 5.95

Altium Securities
22-06-10 BUY 33.80 10.40 5.50 38.80 11.90 5.70

Collins Stewart
18-05-10 BUY 10.50 12.60

2010 2011
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 33.87 10.32 5.70 39.57 12.09 5.92

1 Month Change 0.03 -0.08 -0.00 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03
3 Month Change 1.06 0.23 0.01 1.56 0.47 -0.04


GROWTH
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

Norm. EPS 36.55% -18.72% 17.11%
DPS 10.42% 7.64% 3.70%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

EBITDA 47.78m 35.41m 40.99m

EBIT 42.71m 31.50m 36.30m

Dividend Yield 3.76% 4.05% 4.20%

Dividend Cover 2.40x 1.81x 2.04x

PER 11.10x 13.66x 11.66x

PEG 0.30f -0.73f 0.68f

Net Asset Value PS -2.50p 24.10p 29.10p

goldfinger - 08 Jan 2013 08:41 - 4 of 16

ITE

Looks like a temporary market discrepancy
here. Often thrown up and profitable to take
advantage of it.

Brokers have SP targets well north of
present SP.

Looks excelent value.

G Sachs CONVICTION BUY!!.

Date Company Name Broker Rec. Price Old target price New target price Notes

11 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Peel Hunt Buy 225.65 260.00 250.00 Retains
11 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Westhouse Securities Add 225.65 261.00 261.00 07
07 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Goldman Sachs Conviction Buy 225.65 315.00 325.00 Retains
05 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Investec Buy 225.65 247.00 255.00 Reiterates
05 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Numis Buy 225.65 294.00 294.00 Retains
04 Dec 12 ITE Group PLC Canaccord Genuity Buy 225.65 243.00 243.00 Reiterates

goldfinger - 08 Jan 2013 09:06 - 5 of 16

ITE

And again with ITE we find that the
company is relatively cheap on a
historical basis.

Forward P/E of 12.7 to 2013, P/E for 2012 17.5

ITE Group PLC

FORECASTS 2013 2014
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

N+1 Singer [R]
04-01-13 BUY 58.50 18.30 7.00 58.50 18.30 7.40
Peel Hunt
04-01-13 BUY 57.48 17.56 6.83 58.62 17.81 7.17
Numis Securities Ltd
03-01-13 BUY 56.00 17.90 6.90 57.00 18.30 7.20
Investec Securities
13-12-12 BUY 56.20 17.80 7.00 57.20 18.10 7.50
Westhouse Securities
11-12-12 ADD 56.30 57.50
Canaccord Genuity Ltd
04-12-12 BUY 57.00 17.80 7.00 58.30 18.00 7.40

2013 2014
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 56.75 17.84 6.97 57.66 18.05 7.33
1 Month Change 0.44 0.11 0.03 0.25 0.04 -0.04
3 Month Change -0.13 -0.01 0.07 0.41 0.19 -0.07


GROWTH
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

Norm. EPS -0.99% 36.98% 1.21%
DPS 6.78% 10.68% 5.08%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

EBITDA £53.08m £59.55m £59.15m
EBIT £38.46m £46.50m £46.50m
Dividend Yield 2.77% 3.07% 3.22%
Dividend Cover 2.07x 2.56x 2.46x
PER 17.45x 12.74x 12.59x
PEG -17.70f 0.34f 10.39f
Net Asset Value PS -15.22p 43.10p 47.50p

hemscott premium.

goldfinger - 31 Jan 2013 09:09 - 7 of 16

ITE ITE Group PLC.

31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Westhouse Securities Add 258.90 253.50 261.00 274.00 Reiterates

31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Investec Buy 258.90 253.50 285.00 285.00 Reiterates

goldfinger - 31 Jan 2013 09:32 - 8 of 16

31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Numis Buy 256.25 253.50 305.00 305.00 Retains

SP TARGET 305p.

goldfinger - 01 Feb 2013 08:36 - 9 of 16

01 Feb ITE Group PLC ITE Goldman Sachs Conviction Buy 265.30 256.00 325.00 - Retains

SP Target 325p CONVICTION BUY.

goldfinger - 01 Feb 2013 11:26 - 10 of 16

Broker updates after the bolt on
yesterday.........


31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE N+1 Singer Buy 256.20 253.50 - 280.00 Reiterates
31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Canaccord Genuity Buy 256.20 253.50 243.00 280.00 Reiterates
31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Investec Buy 256.20 253.50 285.00 285.00 Reiterates
31 Jan ITE Group PLC ITE Westhouse Securities Add 256.20 253.50 261.00 274.00 Reiterates

goldfinger - 07 Feb 2013 12:18 - 11 of 16

Just about to break out

Up over 4% on the morning.

goldfinger - 06 Aug 2013 15:07 - 12 of 16

ITE.

One to keep an eye on.

Looks like SP not far off base trendline
of uptrend channel and lower indicators getting
set to turn positive...........

p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=e4b0roEg7urV

goldfinger - 08 Aug 2013 13:55 - 13 of 16

Positive Broker Following......

Date Company Name Broker Rec. Price Old target price New target price Notes

16 Jul 13 ITE Group PLC Canaccord Genuity Buy 289.40 317.00 317.00 Reiterates
16 Jul 13 ITE Group PLC Westhouse Securities Neutral 289.40 285.00 285.00 Reiterates
16 Jul 13 ITE Group PLC Numis Buy 289.40 365.00 365.00 Reiterates
09 Jul 13 ITE Group PLC Investec Buy 289.40 325.00 335.00 Reiterates
04 Jun 13 ITE Group PLC Goldman Sachs Buy 289.40 365.00 380.00 Downgrades

goldfinger - 05 Feb 2014 08:43 - 14 of 16

5 Feb 2014 ITE Group PLC ITE Westhouse Securities Add 269.45 268.20 320.00 320.00 Retains

SP TARGET 320p

HARRYCAT - 03 Mar 2014 11:41 - 15 of 16

Canaccord note on the impact of the Russian/Ukraine dispute:
"Mounting tension in the Ukraine is creating increasing risk for ITE, given its core focus on Russia and the former CIS. Ukraine is a relatively small part of ITE’s business – management recently commented that it was monitoring “political uncertainty” there, but that the impact would be “immaterial” on group profits – however, the Ukraine generates over £7m of gross profit or 8% of the group total. At this stage, ITE’s events in Ukraine are still taking place, and the impact will likely be more an issue for FY15. Of greater concern, however, is the potential response from the international community on Russia, where ITE generates 65% of group profits. US Secretary of State John Kerry has warned that “American businesses may pull back” from Russia, and there are already warnings of trade sanctions, visa restrictions. This clearly represents an escalating risk for ITE.
Impact on the Canaccord Genuity view In the short term, the biggest risk to ITE’s profit forecasts is the further weakening of the Ruble. At the time of ITE’s Q1 update in January, we adjusted our forecasts to a Ruble/£ rate of 56. It has now weakened to 61 and we estimate that every 1 RUB move impacts ITE by c.£0.5m. The further impact on ITE’s business is harder to call and, given the annual booking cycle for its events, we see this as more of a risk for FY15. At this stage, we are downgrading our forecasts to reflect the FX impact, moving our FY14 PBT (norm) from £58.8m/18.6p to £56.2m/17.8p, based on a GBP/RUB rate of 61, a 4% downgrade. We have a 4% downgrade to FY15 on FX, but clearly, there is greater risk here.
Valuation ITE’s shares are off by 7% YTD, but against a weak sub sector backdrop, and the shares have been relatively resilient since the situation in Ukraine escalated – indeed, they have risen since the January trading update (which resulted in modest FXdriven downgrades). The shares are trading on a calendarised 2014F PER of 15.5x and an EV/Ebitda of 12.4x, which feels relatively high to us given the increasing risk to its core market. We reduce our multiples-derived TP from 315p to 263p, which would put the shares on an 11.5x EV/Ebitda and 14.0x cash adjusted PER. We reduce from Buy to HOLD."

HARRYCAT - 11 Dec 2014 13:25 - 16 of 16

Ex divi 8th Jan 2015 (4.9p)
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