Gone in this morning.(long)
Had a punt on this one this morning after further investigation and research. Risk reward ratio looks to be in the buyers favour at this market SP. Myers has a very good track record of late both long and short. SP is lower than when he tipped it. Cawkwells apprentice seems to be doing well.
The Bard of the Boleyn Is Hunting for a Bargain
Hunting PLC at 382p has a market cap of 500 million. The company has two divisions: firstly Gibson Energy, Canadas largest mid stream oil company (mid stream links upstream which is production and downstream which is refining i.e. it is involved in transportation, storage, pipelines etc.) Secondly it has Hunting Energy Services which provides services to major upstream oil companies (well construction: that sort of thing)
The investment case for Hunting is straight forward. In August it announced the sale of Gibson to Riverstone holdings, a large private equity group for 600 million. This would leave it with 400 million net cash (300p per share) and Hunting Energy Services which is forecast to make 43p of earnings in 2009.
Put another way Riverstone is paying Hunting aproximately 450p per share for Gibson and it will still be left with a debt free profitable business. So whats the catch I hear you ask? The catch is that Riverstone may walk away from the deal which was struck with oil at $140 per barrel against todays $52pb. Against this however is the fact that it has paid Hunting 50 million upfront which will not be refunded if the deal fails . Furthermore the company announced on 3rd November Hunting and Riverstone are working together towards completion of the disposal of Gibson Energy in early December 2008
In my opinion three things can happen in early December. One the company announces the completion of the disposal . Two it announces a date for completion of the disposal. Three it announces the deal is off. If one the shareprice rockets: two it goes up a fair bit, three it falls but given that the price is already discounting the deal fails, the fall should be short lived and investors are left with a bombed out Oil services play. Given that there is a good chance the deal goes through, the present price gives punters a chance to invest in a first class debt free oil services group for next to nothing.
Bear raiding prodigy Lucian Miers is the Bard of the Boleyn
Posted by Lucian Miers on Tue Nov 25, 04:52 PM in Comment
Looks cheap and look at the NAV under pinning it.
Hunting PLC
SUMMARY CHARTS DIRECTOR DEALINGS FORECASTS WIRES
2008 2009
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Blue Oar Securities
28-11-08 BUY 61.00 27.80 9.10 92.10 42.00 10.20
Oriel Securities
27-11-08 HOLD 56.80 26.70 9.50 79.70 37.70 9.50
Arden Partners
24-11-08 BUY 76.70 36.80 9.00 76.10 36.00 9.50
Evolution Securities Ltd
01-11-08 BUY 63.30 28.80 8.80 117.70 55.80 9.50
Kaupthing Singer Friedlander
30-10-08 BUY 48.50 53.40 9.00 88.50 36.50 10.00
ABN AMRO
29-08-08 BUY 59.65 26.39 9.08 97.27 44.99 9.53
Seymour Pierce
16-05-08 BUY 99.90 46.00 9.00 115.10 53.00 10.00
2008 2009
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Consensus 61.45 29.81 9.04 85.29 38.78 9.50
1 Month Change 4.05 -0.32 0.00 -7.39 -3.43 -0.12
3 Month Change -33.31 -15.12 -0.02 -11.41 -7.03 -0.01
GROWTH
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
Norm. EPS 7.06% -32.70% 30.09%
DPS 23.02% 16.64% 5.09%
INVESTMENT RATIOS
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
EBITDA 127.20m 73.46m 95.67m
EBIT 100.20m m m
Dividend Yield 2.01% 2.35% 2.47%
Dividend Cover 5.72x 3.30x 4.08x
PER 8.69x 12.91x 9.92x
PEG 1.23f -0.40f 0.33f
Net Asset Value PS 164.45p 454.24p 490.07p
dyor