My recent findings from another board...
After Tom Ws recent front page article on Gold..
http://sharecrazy.com/beta/daily/982/why-gold-is-nor-rising-but-why-you-should-fill-your-boots-with-gold-stocks
and the rising price of gold..
http://www.kitco.com/images/live/gold.gif
Ive been researching the market for small cap, producers who stand out from the crowd hoping to make a good medium term investment.
Ive set certain filters with weighting factors eg, cost of production per ounce etc, etc, and narrowed it down to just 2 in the end POG Peter Hambro Mining and Higland GOLD HGM, with the latter looking the most undervalued.
The company mines in Russia.
Half way result headlines to 30/6/2008 were as follows ..
FIRST HALF HIGHLIGHTS
Group profit after tax of US$22.2 million compared to a loss for the same period in 2007 of US$2.8 million
Gold revenue for the first half of 2008 increased by 77% over the same period in 2007 to US$73.7 million on sales of 81,036 ounces
Average realised gold sales price was US$909/oz, up by 39% (first six months of 2007 - US$655/oz). The Group remains unhedged
MNV - Cash operating cost (US$/ounce sold)
472
MNV - Total cash cost (US$/ounce sold)
529
Cash and short term deposits of US$308.7 million at 30 June 2008
Novoshirokinskoye mine on schedule for commissioning at the end of 2008.... ENDS
Net Cash on the books circa of 100 million to 120million, market cap 190 million, profitable a solid balance sheet and a new mine coming on tap producing hopefully by late December 2008. Throw in the eploration side of the business for good measure and we have what looks like a sound value investment.
Chart and TA is looking positive aswell..
long Term Chart
Short Term Chart Showing Double Bottom Formation...
Traders Chart
Chairmans Comments on last results (30/6/2008)...
Commenting on today's announcement Duncan Baxter, Non-Executive Chairman said: 'We have benefited in the first half from the efficiency measures taken in 2007 to improve production at Mnogovershinnoye (MNV) and this is reflected in significantly improved results and we look forward to seeing further progress being made during the rest of the year. Novoshirokinskoye (Novo) is on track to become our second producing mine by the end of the year. In the light of recent Board and Executive appointments and the turmoil in the financial markets which is likely to result in liquidity constraints for the foreseeable future, the Board will examine all aspects of the business to focus on the best way to exploit the Company's strong net cash position. This may have an effect on timing for various projects and will also include looking at opportunities of acquiring additional producing assets.' ENDS
Brokers Estimates....
2008 2009
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Investec Securities
21-11-08 BUY 14.48 3.16 19.28 4.43
Arbuthnot Securities
21-11-08 BUY 26.31 5.76 24.54 5.45
Seymour Pierce
14-11-08 HOLD 5.32 5.22
Fox Davies Capital
14-11-08 BUY
Alfa Bank
11-11-08 UREV
2008 2009
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Consensus 20.04 5.32 0.00 21.75 5.22 0.00
1 Month Change 0.69 -0.27 0.00 -1.09 0.00 0.00
3 Month Change -6.73 -0.10 0.00 -14.86 -2.77 0.00
GROWTH
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
Norm. EPS % 45.38% -1.88%
DPS % % %
INVESTMENT RATIOS
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
EBITDA 10.67m 27.90m 32.35m
EBIT 10.67m 23.82m 23.66m
Dividend Yield % % %
Dividend Cover x x x
PER 15.03x 10.34x 10.54x
PEG f 0.23f -5.60f
Net Asset Value PS 73.85p p p
All in all looks like a sound investment case here with the added bonus maybee of a bid from one of the big boys given the supply shortage in the general market and the amount of cash the company as on its books.
DYOR.