PapalPower
- 15 Apr 2008 04:11
- 50 of 55
Here are the thoughts of Daniel Stewart :
First Artist - BUY
Price: 70p Target price: 194p
Code: FAN.L Analyst: James Hollins | 020 7776 6571
Solid H1, materially undervalued stock
First Artist has reported a solid set of H1 results, highlighting the resilient nature of its business model as a focussed marketing services group operating across media, events and entertainment/sports representation. The group has reported revenue growth of 48.1% (27.4m vs 18.5m), with each division trading well.
Group EBITA came in at 0.77m (+8.0% vs 0.71m), with the top-line growth partially offset by the relatively low margin contribution from Dewynters, higher sports division losses (H2 weighted) and higher head office costs.
Increased interest payments (0.75m vs 0.42m H1 2007) resulted in group breakeven at the pre-tax line against a small profit in H1 2007 (0.27m). A minor tax inflow resulted in H1 2008 EPS of 0.57p
Following the group's H1 results we are leaving our FY08E and FY09E earnings estimates unchanged. We believe that the H1 performance has underpinned our estimates (c.45% of forecast revenue covered in H1).
The group is benefiting from a resilient and diverse revenue stream, picking up new clients across its business divisions and supplementing organic growth.
We expect the cross-sale opportunities to drive further growth and see solid potential upside from internal, high-margin client referrals, as well as further acquisition opportunities.
Our unchanged estimates drive P/E multiples of just 4.1x FY08E and 3.8x FY09E (EV/EBITDA of 3.8x FY08E, dropping to 3.4x FY09E).
These multiples completely fail to reflect the true value of First Artists diverse and resilient revenue streams, market-leading positions in theatre, entertainment and sports marketing, upside from owned IP monetisation, continued heavy external investment in core markets, and international growth and acquisition opportunities.
With the debt level of 11.8m, First Artist has a net debt/EBITDA ratio to FY08E of just 2.1x (1.8x FY09E), with interest covered 4.1x (4.4x FY09E) and a substantial FCF yield in FY08E of 29.4%.
Across all metrics (P/E, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, cash interest cover), we believe that First Artist is materially undervalued and we retain our Buy recommendation and 194p price target (target multiple 6x FY09E EV/EBITDA, 10.4x P/E).
hlyeo98
- 15 Apr 2008 08:28
- 51 of 55
The above is an old article in February.
hlyeo98
- 03 Aug 2008 04:38
- 52 of 55
FAN is 38p now...this is one of those thought to reach 200p...what a failure. AVOID at all means.
cobras
- 04 Aug 2008 16:11
- 53 of 55
i agree,,dont really understand wath huppen to first artist,,i hold share and im loosing quite at bit,never thought would go that low,,,
hope they will back up again soon finger crossed
halifax
- 08 Aug 2008 13:28
- 54 of 55
More negative news today, what next?
halifax
- 11 Aug 2008 11:46
- 55 of 55
Shares suspended and reverse takeover, what next TW?