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Centamin Egypt : Worth waiting for... (CEY)     

pthwaite - 20 Sep 2004 10:27

CEY is a gold mining company operating in Egypt. It was ordered by the Egyptian Government to stop drilling pending a legal dispute brought against the company by a government minister.

Since then, the whole Government cabinet was replaced a few months ago and the minister now in charge of Mining is believed to be positive on Western investment in the country. CEY are pushing for this minister to allow them to continue drilling ASAP; investers are waiting....patiently.

As soon as the company gets the go-ahead to continue drilling, the share price will move north; CEY has plenty of gold in this mine and it is (apparantly) the case of "raking" it out rather than drilling for it!

Check them out...worthy of a punt.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

HARRYCAT - 21 Jan 2011 12:57 - 509 of 2354

Broker note from Canaccord today:
"At current prices, Centamin is trading at 0.84 times our spot NAV estimate. We continue to believe that the Sukari asset remains a best-in-class development project and the recent sell-off may provide Centamin with an opportunity to make an acquisition, which could be value accretive at these lower sector equity multiples.
Although it is difficult to forecast how the succession from Mubaraks presidency will affect Egypt over 2011, we believe it is important to note that the legislation surrounding the mining licence at Sukari is written via government legislation, that there are no other significant operating gold mines in Egypt and that it would take a significant political shift in the country to affect Centamins right to mine (and to continue to provide much needed revenues to the government via its interest in the project). In the short term, we can see the potential for weakness in the share price; however, should the political situation in North Africa stabilise, or at least not spread into Egypt, we believe Centamin will track back relatively easily towards our target P/NAV multiple of 1.0 times. Despite our recent reduction in target price, we see value in the shares at these levels with what may turn out to be false underperformance once the situation in North Africa settles."

hlyeo98 - 21 Jan 2011 13:30 - 510 of 2354

Good article, Harrycat.

required field - 24 Jan 2011 08:29 - 511 of 2354

Gold up $6....I'm expecting CEY's sp to recover very soon and start to climb....

hlyeo98 - 24 Jan 2011 08:31 - 512 of 2354

If it goes below 140p, I am going to buy more.

HARRYCAT - 24 Jan 2011 14:03 - 513 of 2354

140p looks possible, imo. Keeping an eye on the Tunisian developments, an eye on the gold price and an eye on the chart. Who says blokes can't multi-task???

hlyeo98 - 24 Jan 2011 14:05 - 514 of 2354

Harry, you don't just multi-task, you also have the third eye... well done.

required field - 25 Jan 2011 10:00 - 515 of 2354

140p....will it hold ?... hope so...need this to climb....

cielo - 25 Jan 2011 12:22 - 516 of 2354

One guilty party selling and able me buy cheap. ............

Gloval AEGON has cut stake under 5%

Cut from 56,131,880 to 51,071,412 or 4.72%


aldwickk - 25 Jan 2011 12:28 - 517 of 2354

Got a buy order in for 140p

HARRYCAT - 25 Jan 2011 14:20 - 518 of 2354

Tunisia not yet sorted. Think I may watch for another day or two. Risk missing the boat though.

midknight - 25 Jan 2011 15:43 - 519 of 2354

Gold news:

http://www.thestreet.com/story/10984102/3/gold-prices-tank-to-3-month-lows.html

skinny - 26 Jan 2011 07:18 - 520 of 2354

Egypt protests: Police disperse Cairo crowds

Egyptian police have used tear gas and water cannon to break up rare anti-government protests in the capital.

Thousands of people had joined the protests in Cairo, inspired by the uprising in Tunisia and vowing to stay in place until the government fell.

At least three people died during Tuesday's nationwide internet-inspired "day of revolt", which the government blamed on a banned opposition movement.

TANKER - 26 Jan 2011 08:01 - 521 of 2354

sell before it is to late

HARRYCAT - 26 Jan 2011 08:02 - 522 of 2354

,

aldwickk - 26 Jan 2011 08:27 - 523 of 2354

I hope the falling knife is not to sharp , just topped up again

required field - 26 Jan 2011 09:37 - 524 of 2354

Ditto.....ridiculous drop now....this will turn into a nice profit....buy guys....

HARRYCAT - 26 Jan 2011 09:38 - 525 of 2354

Three dead in Egypt last night & rioting continues. A little too early yet, imo.

required field - 26 Jan 2011 10:20 - 526 of 2354

Coming back strongly.....just has to climb....

required field - 26 Jan 2011 10:28 - 527 of 2354

I'm always amazed as to why people sell when a rebound is on the way....crazy....

HARRYCAT - 26 Jan 2011 10:34 - 528 of 2354

How do you know a rebound is on the way? Buying when the sp is still falling is just as crazy, surely?
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