mitzy
- 08 Dec 2008 12:40
Up 10% today any interest.
niceonecyril
- 11 Nov 2010 14:30
- 51 of 281
Borke through the 3 barrier,before taking a breather.
cyril
mitzy
- 11 Nov 2010 14:36
- 52 of 281
Well done cyril...400p beckons.
niceonecyril
- 12 Nov 2010 08:05
- 53 of 281
400p would be a nice for starters as this hasgreat potential,a copy of a post containing Fox Davis's report,18 mentioned.
cyril
Fox Davies Capital estimate a risked NAV of 317p based on net risked resources of 77MMboe, with unrisked values of 1,807p and 500MMboe respectively.
Now note this: The estimates of the combined size of the combined discoveries so far range from 95 million barrels oil equivalent (boe) to 670 million boe. The low case scenario is now estimated at 95 million barrels of oil as opposed to 77 million barrels of oil at a risked NAV of 3.17 pence per share. The upside for the initial discovery is now 670 million boe, which would give us a share price in excess of 18.00 per share.
The actual TARGET of the drill is potentially 3.7 Billion Barrels of OIL. YES potentially 3.7 Billion Barrels of OIL! Can you imagine selling and in a few weeks time an RNS stating a billion barrel ++ find!! What would the share price potentially be on 3.7 Billion Barrels of OIL +++!!!
This is a VERY rare opportunity indeed and theres absolutely no way Id be out of this NO WAY!!!! Life changing possibility stock indeed!!!
required field
- 12 Nov 2010 08:54
- 54 of 281
Could be another gem.....
niceonecyril
- 12 Nov 2010 09:08
- 55 of 281
Testing 3 again,could be the besr x mas present ever(30/40days)?
cyril
niceonecyril
- 14 Nov 2010 18:22
- 56 of 281
Nice write up.
cyril
Bowleven.
160 mmboe contingent resources moving to reserves from existing discoveries.
Plans for floating production with Vitol one of the largest oil traders in the world http://www.vitol.com/about-vitol.html ($143b revenues in 2009). "The Etinde project is a core component of Vitol E&Ps West Africa portfolio. We are confident that, if we exercise the option to increase our interest and take over operatorship, Etinde will establish Vitol E&P as a significant upstream participant in the region".
Does not include upside fromj IE appraisal result where there were additional finds in late August announced.
Does not include latest 2 zone Sapele results potential 40-290 mmbls (or 75 - 595 bcf ie 12.5 - 100 mmboe) in lower omicon or 55 - 380 mmbls (all in place) in deeper Omicron.
Targgetting up to 3.7 billion bls in the Cretaceous Sapele well (+ also Cross Cut section).
Analogous prospects already mentioned close to Sapele which will be targetted and now somewhat derisked.
Numerous other prospects (19 min) adjacent to Vogs Logbaba field similar and many much greater in size each varying from 10 - 350 mmbls in size.
Partnered with Addax on Gabon licence.
Market cap just 540m pounds (70m pounds cash) at 280p.
Ratchet up reserves similar to Addax (which were bought by Sinopec) and you can get a 5.4 billion pound company which is about 28 pounds per share.
Turn up reserves similar to Tullow and you could be looking at 50 quid+ pounds/share.
12 - 20 pounds per share would satisfy me if they make additional discoveries and is far from madness. (Fox Davies 1800p unrisked and imo in light of latest news and emerging prospects from seismic on a number of permits will need upward revision).
The fact that they say that just the 2 omicron zones alone to date may be transformational for the company is significant and should not be missed - regardless of the Sapele Cretaceous. Where Blvn are drilling is potentially company making on a grand scale.
niceonecyril
- 18 Nov 2010 09:56
- 57 of 281
Another of Zens analysts,
cyril
Just updating my earlier post from last week.
I've updated this with info available from the farm out document for the Bomono Permit Onshore Cameroon which shows 1.7 - 4.7 billion bls potential from 10 of circa 30 prospects/leads.
Please see section below - updated in CAPITALS in Bomono.
Finally had a good look over all the licences/blocks after the latest updates/results and there really is without doubt amazing potential.
7 Blocks (5 in Cameroon + 2 in Gabon).
163 mmboe 'contingent' P50 net resources in the process of being moved to reserves.
========================
Etinde Permit offshore Cameroon 2316 km2 (Blvn 75% Vitol 25%).
MLHP-7 Block consists of -
Isongo Marine field 466 bcf + 8 mmbls NGL.
Isongo E Field (known as IE) 496 bcf, 95 mmbl NGL + 7 mmbls oil.
Isongo F Field (known as IF) 225 mmbls oil.
Manyikebi Field 56 bcf.
Isongo C and D discovery,
Total discovered resource = 533 mmboe.
Isongo Marine, C, D + E exploration and Isongo G cluster account for a further potential estimate of 366 mmboe.
Vitol have option to acquire a further 10% in this block only for $50m gross work programme.
--------------------------------
MLHP-6 Block under seismic.
-------------------------------
MLHP-7 Block consists of -
Sapele well currently drilling -
Lower Omicron target found 106m gross of 15 - 20m net pay estimate of 75 - 595 bcf or 40 - 290 mmbo potential.
Deeper Omicron target found better quality sands with 64m gross of 10 - 15m net pay estimate of 55 - 380 mmbo potential.
At 3360m (9/11/2010). Target depth a further 1100m at 4450m.
To intersect the up coming Cross-Cut interval (Gas case P50/90 94 - 185 bcf or oil case 32 - 63 mmbo).
Followed by the deeper Epilson complex in the Cretaceous with potential for P50/90 of 887 bcf - 5.28 tcf gas or 628m - 3.7 billion bls oil in this same well. Just weeks away and could be absolutely huge to the company if partially successful.
Management say "further prospects with analogous characteristics have already been identified, highlighting the additional potential on the acreage in the event of a successful outcome on this well" - similarly then there is further potential for billion+ barrel finds if only partially successful at Sapele.
--------------------------------------
Bomono Permit onshore Cameroon 2328 km2. (Blvn 100%).
Comprises Blocks OLHP-1 + OLHP-2.
Still under seismic with substantial amount/interpretation acquired.
2 wells planned for H2 2011.
Multiple prospects with individual sizes ranging from 10 - 250 mmbls oip each.
Page 24 of the Nov 2010 presentation shows at least 19 prospects so far from about 2/3rds of the blocks seismic/interpretation. So again billions of barrel potential here.
Multiple seeps/shows on this 2328 km2 permit and it should be noted that Victoria Oil and Gas' ringfenced 60km2 mini block with the Logbaba field is inside Blvns permit - has 35.2 mmboe P2 confirmed in October 2010 from 2 wells - No1 flowing 10,100 boepd (1,000 bls being condensate) and No 2 well flowing 3600 boepd. Some of the Blvn prospects are in close analogous proximity and VOG estimate that Logbaba has up to 1 tcf of undiscovered resources as well. Many of the Blvn prospects dwarf Logbaba - and as can be seen from the presentation at least 19 prospects so far and likely more when the seismic is completed.
UPDATED WITH THE FOLLOWING FROM THE FARM OUT DOC WHERE BLVN ARE OFFERING 20% OF THE BOMONO PERMIT.
From Jan 2010 - To date at least 10 robust leads have been identified. At least 20 additional potential leads are evident. 1.7 - 4.7 billion bls in place estimates. This figure appears to be from the 10 robust leads so in effect the other leads could increase that figure significantly. This was pre latest seismic so that figure may be enhanced. Wells drilled prior to proper seismic over 50 years ago based on the Bomono oil seeps found oil and gas in Tertiary reservoirs.
-----------------------------
EOV 105 km2 Permit - Gabon (expecting $35m from sale).
Epaemno 1340 km2 Permit - Gabon (Blvn and Addax 50% each).
Multiple prospects with 10 - 350 mmbls OIP "consistent with field sizes in the area" Sub Salt fields and Discoveries east and south of the block.
Drilling by Addax about 1 year away.
--------------------------------------------------
Valuation in current November 2010 presentation 555p at $80/b - 696p at $100/b based only on IE/IF fields in block MLHP-7, Vitol carry, EOV sale and current cash.
*** It does not include the further finds made in the IE-3 appraisal drilling on 28th August 2010 just 10 weeks ago which tested a total of 22,909 boepd in MLHP-7.
14,576 bpd of liquids produced (condensate and oil 36 - 43 API). Two other intervals were not tested. Analysis is taking place and any upside is not included - the rig was moved to Sapele which is currently drilling.
*** No upside included for Sapele (2 zones of net pay) currently drilling on MLHP-5.
*** Extensive and multiple prospects in a proven hydrocarbon area.
Ex Cairn Oil people at Bowleven.
193.5m shares @ 260p = 501m GBP m/cap ($115m/70m pounds cash incl EOV $35m proceeds to come - all post Sapele well drill).
Continuous drill programme after Sapele-1.
F-Davies had 1800p potential (433p risked) which will need revision due to large number of new additional prospects emerging from seismic and interpretation - so therefore potential for 2000p+ exists.
required field
- 22 Nov 2010 11:40
- 58 of 281
Doing very well here today...good climber....
niceonecyril
- 25 Nov 2010 07:31
- 59 of 281
It's goner do a lot better today thats for sure.
cyril
25 November 2010
Bowleven plc ('Bowleven' or 'the Company')
Additional hydrocarbon pay identified at Sapele-1
Sapele-1 Exploration Well, Block MLHP-5, Etinde Permit, Offshore Cameroon
Bowleven, the West Africa focused oil and gas exploration group traded on AIM, announces that the Sapele-1 exploration well drilling in the Douala Basin, offshore Cameroon has encountered further log evaluated pay in the Miocene reservoir objective. This pay is in addition to that encountered at the Lower and Deep Omicron discoveries announced on 9 November 2010.
Highlights
Preliminary log evaluation indicates an additional 6 to 8 metres of net hydrocarbon pay beneath the previously logged section in Deep Omicron
Total net pay across the Omicron discoveries now 31 to 43 metres
Cross-cut event and the Cretaceous Epsilon Complex still to be drilled
Preparing for testing and subsequent appraisal drilling/sidetrack(s) post completion of current well
Drilling update
The targets of the Sapele-1 exploration well, on block MLHP-5 in the Etinde Permit, are a series of vertically stacked reservoir objectives, from the proven Miocene fairway down to the deeper Cretaceous fairway proven to be prolific elsewhere in West Africa.
Since the announcement on 9 November 2010, the well, which is drilling in water depths of around 20 metres, has been deepened by a further 123 metres to a current total depth of 3,483 metres in order to find a suitable point to set casing before drilling ahead into the cross-cut event.
The initial results from this section indicate that the well has intersected additional net hydrocarbon pay of 6 to 8 metres in high quality reservoir sands with an average porosity of 21%.
Forward exploration and appraisal programme
It is now planned to drill to a target depth (TD) of approximately 4,450 metres to test further prospective horizons, including the deeper Cretaceous, a play untested within this part of the Douala Basin.
Drilling activity is expected to take a further 20 to 30 days (excluding testing). In the meantime planning for testing and appraisal drilling/sidetracking activities on the Omicron discoveries is underway. The forward plan will be reviewed by the joint venture on reaching TD.
The Company plans to issue an update announcement on reaching the target depth of the well or, as appropriate, on completion of logging activities.
Kevin Hart, Chief Executive of Bowleven plc, commented:
"Whilst we recognise that further evaluation and appraisal are required, the additional pay encountered in the Miocene section provides further support to our view that the Omicron discoveries are potentially transformational. We look forward with anticipation to recommencing drilling and intersecting the deeper cross-cut event and Cretaceous Epsilon targets."
Maps relating to Sapele-1 are available on our website www.bowleven.com under the heading "Presentations". The presentation is titled "Sapele-1 announcement - 25 November 2010".
niceonecyril
- 25 Nov 2010 07:33
- 60 of 281
From the above
" Transfoemable."
"Whilst we recognise that further evaluation and appraisal are required, the additional pay encountered in the Miocene section provides further support to our view that the Omicron discoveries are potentially transformational. We look forward with anticipation to recommencing drilling and intersecting the deeper cross-cut event and Cretaceous Epsilon targets."
curil
Balerboy
- 25 Nov 2010 08:13
- 61 of 281
nice jump to 3.46+ in the money.,.
required field
- 25 Nov 2010 08:18
- 62 of 281
Doing well...goody...goody....
niceonecyril
- 26 Nov 2010 08:24
- 63 of 281
BLVN to issue 22m new shares and SP rises,i think that says it all?
cyril
Balerboy
- 26 Nov 2010 08:34
- 64 of 281
yes cyril had finger poised to sell some if drop looked likely, nice to see it go north instead.,.
niceonecyril
- 26 Nov 2010 09:05
- 65 of 281
Well i'm not letting any of mine go,read these couple of posts carefully to understand why and remember just 3 days of trading to take up options.
"Whilst we recognise that further evaluation and appraisal are required, the additional pay encountered in the Miocene section provides further support to our view that the Omicron discoveries are potentially transformational. We look forward with anticipation to recommencing drilling and intersecting the deeper cross-cut event and Cretaceous Epsilon targets."
Hang on guys have we missed something. Have they just announced the Omicron find?
Why is Hart saying that the Omicron discoveries are potentially tranformational and not the deeper cross-cut event and Cretaceous Epsilon targets."
To me he is teling us we have hit it but not all of it.
And the follow up,
And may I add they have not finished with Omicron,
Drilling activity is expected to take a further 20 to 30 days (excluding testing). In the meantime planning for testing and appraisal drilling/sidetracking activities on the Omicron discoveries is underway. The forward plan will be reviewed by the joint venture on reaching TD.
Sidetracking how many? Is this the tranformational
cyril
ps Could be a great Christmas present?
Proselenes
- 26 Nov 2010 11:58
- 66 of 281
Sector Watcher Comment from FT Alphaville just out.
An opportunistic fund-raising by BLVN today, following the 70% increase in its share price in the last three weeks. The group plans to place 22m shares, or 11% of the issued share capital, with institutions today. At yesterday's close of 338p/share this equates to around 74m, so even allowing for an assumed discount of say 5% the group should raise around 70m (pre-expenses
Along with the $80m of cash we assumed the group would have following the drilling of the successful Sapele-1 well (the reason for the recent share price strength), this should leave BLVN well-financed for the next 12 months to appraise and develop it's Cameroon asset base. As I said yesterday, I'd be a bit nervous of buying at these levels, especially given the amount of risk that the Sapele well still carries
Whilst undoubtedly good news, i.e. that the well has identified 31-43 metres of net oil pay within three Miocene zones, these are apparently in sub-optimal locations within the mapped structure and have yet to be tested. There is further upside in the deeper Cretaceous horizon, although this is much higher risk as the Cretaceous hasn't been drilled before. Our NAV for BLVN, prior to making any adjustments for Sapele, is only 208p/share. Best case Sapele may add on a further 170p/share. As much as I like CEO Kevin Hart and his technical team, I'd be an outright seller of BLVN at these lofty levels.
.
required field
- 26 Nov 2010 12:03
- 67 of 281
What ?.....no new thread ?.
Proselenes
- 26 Nov 2010 12:05
- 68 of 281
Its a sell RF.
Way over priced now.
niceonecyril
- 26 Nov 2010 12:11
- 69 of 281
Bowleven announces the completion of the placing announced earlier today (the "Placing"). A total of 22,000,000 new ordinary shares (the "Placing Shares") have been placed at a price of 327 pence per Placing Share (the "Placing Price"). Based on the Placing Price, the gross proceeds of the Placing will be GBP72 million (approx. US$113 million). The Placing Shares being issued represent an increase of approximately 11 per cent. in Bowleven's existing issued ordinary share capital.
cyril
niceonecyril
- 26 Nov 2010 12:42
- 70 of 281
Just a few hours to raise 22m,take me longer to borrow 22,lol
cyril