proptrade
- 14 Jun 2004 11:58
anyone got any ideas about the block trades that went through today?
website:
http://www.sterlingenergyplc.com/
weather: www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/084938.shtml?50wind120
namreh3
- 24 Oct 2005 17:54
- 5165 of 7811
Thanks lads.
Nam
seawallwalker
- 24 Oct 2005 18:00
- 5166 of 7811
You and me too, even a penny adds to profit prop.
I think a lot of small holders are being shaken out here and as you see from the trades, the shares are being bought in lumps of 100k plus.
I dont have level 2 but with Money I was able to investigate better who the major holders were and how much stock they had.
I am aware that currently around 40% is held and not available for retail, unless the Hedge funds sell out of course, but would they do that at a tremedous loss?
I suppose it has been known, but with Chinguetti producing 75000 boo per day, at $50 which gives Sterling $5.75 just from the Premier deal alone per barrel, you work it out what they get in a year.
Surmise that the Mauritanian Government are paying a miminmum of the same as Premier, and see why the stock will be gobbled up.
Hardman are saying the field will peak produce in 18 months and then carry of for 15years.
Add Tiof if it happens and Tevet if that happens, plus Banda and I really can not see how this can fail.
Unless someone knows sometging different.
I would put cash figures in for you before tax, but I am wondering if my calculator is being too generous.
seawallwalker
- 24 Oct 2005 21:46
- 5167 of 7811
Oil stocks add to losses at close
AFX
NEW YORK (AFX) -- Oil stocks closed broadly and solidly higher Monday after Citigroup recommended investors buy into the recent share price weakness in the group. Among the stocks closing higher were Exxon Mobil Corp. , up 2.7%; ConocoPhillips , up 3.7%; Sunoco up 5.2%; and Giant Industries, up 6.5% and the leading percentage gainer in the session.
Any reason seems to do
Pond Life
- 24 Oct 2005 22:16
- 5168 of 7811
Oil stocks add to losses at close? Shurely shome mishtake>
seawallwalker
- 24 Oct 2005 23:14
- 5169 of 7811
qishhh
mtld1
- 24 Oct 2005 23:18
- 5170 of 7811
SW Sounds like 1996 Charonnay was a good choice.
Andy
- 24 Oct 2005 23:58
- 5171 of 7811
lol!
I wish some of my stocks had similar "losses" lol!
namreh3
- 25 Oct 2005 08:08
- 5172 of 7811
No evidence of reservoir development and low RMM H/C to C5. Not looking very promising on this evidence.
Nam
stockdog
- 25 Oct 2005 08:42
- 5173 of 7811
SWW - at least the Chardonnay is a solid C2 producer - some consolation for rather meagre C1-C5 evidence on Tevet - lol!
sd
Andy
- 25 Oct 2005 10:11
- 5174 of 7811
namreh3,
Maybe not, but don't forget SEY have a free carry on all these wells!
Others have expressed a different opinion, I await the next RNS for confirmation before jumping to a conclusion one way or the other.
namreh3
- 25 Oct 2005 10:41
- 5175 of 7811
Thanks Andy
Sensible and cautious. Veteran campaigner. Appreciated.
Nam
proptrade
- 25 Oct 2005 11:08
- 5176 of 7811
morning team SEY....can't decide about mkts at the moment. really want to get this week out the way and push on into November....
Andy
- 25 Oct 2005 11:17
- 5177 of 7811
prop,
You and me both!
Friday may be bad if US puts up their rates, although I think the expectation of that is at least partly priced in now.
stockdog
- 25 Oct 2005 11:54
- 5178 of 7811
proptrade - I think the next few months will test whether our stock-picking has been any good. If so, our holdings should appear to rise above the crowd as the rest of the market sinks. Whether they actually make a profit, who can say.
sd
proptrade
- 25 Oct 2005 12:37
- 5179 of 7811
wise words on a sensible thread...
we may be OK but there is just a jittery feel still around. pick the winners and leave the crappy stocks is my hard and farst rule..
namreh3
- 25 Oct 2005 14:10
- 5180 of 7811
Someone had the jitters just before lunch, it appears. A double strawberry daiquiri should 'steady the buffs'.
Pip pip.
Nam
ps HNR seems to have firmed a tad on the news today. Perhaps oversold?
proptrade
- 25 Oct 2005 14:35
- 5181 of 7811
sector malaise....hold your water boys and girls!
seawallwalker
- 25 Oct 2005 15:50
- 5182 of 7811
Right about the CO2.
And methane.
I needt to be bottled and pressurised.
Can't stay, good to see some thread action here.
seawallwalker
- 26 Oct 2005 00:22
- 5183 of 7811
Reasons to be cheerful - Part One
Hi all. Remember this email from last June approximately?
Extract sent by Harry Wilson to me.
Firstly, we receive a discovery bonus from Premier of $2m for each new discovery over 50 million barrels declared commercial there are presently 3 potential field developments where this might apply Tiof, Tevet & Banda. Secondly, we receive from Premier a sliding scale royalty payment on 6% of the gross production taken out of the license (this will be reduced by the government back-in where we also have an interest). By way of example, the sliding scale royalty is $2.75 per barrel when oil price is $28 31 per barrel and $4.75 per barrel when oil price is $40 43 per barrel. This royalty payment comes to us without any costs apart from tax. So it is clearly in Sterlings interests to see as much drilling by the partners as possible in the license. I hope this is clear."
(The remainder of the mail asked after the wife and family plus a dinner invitation if I recall, or was that Tony Blair's?)
The 6% Premier Royalty payment mechanism is detailed below :
Oil Price / Royalty
< $16 $0.25
$16 - $19 $0.75
$25 - $28 $2.25
$34 - $37 $3.75
$43 - $46 $5.25
For every $3/bbl change in oil price, the royalty changes by $0.50/bbl. There is also a small esculation of the prices with time."
$49 = $5.75
$52 = $6.25
$55 = $6.75
$58 = $7.25
$62 = $7.75
From this deal alone assuming 75000 barrels of oil a day ( Hardman says up to 75000 b/d) for 365 days of the year assuming $45 per barrel which is OPEC's stated fair price I believe.............
so :- say it only produces an avarage of 50000 barrels per day,
50000 barrels at $5.25 for 365 days of the year, add the same again for the Mauritanian Government deal, (which is a guess, we have been told it is similar in structure to the Premier deal on royalties), how much does that make for this deal alone?
Now do the same calculations for 75000, (ever the optimist), and what do you get?
So, why do you think nearly 40% of this stock is owned by hedge funds and institutions?
Tell me I dont have a handle on this deal and explain why please.
namreh3
- 26 Oct 2005 08:14
- 5184 of 7811
You do have a giant crank SWW (allegedly), on SEY, just as Fundamentalist did a few years ago with DNX.
Keep the faith people. Look what happened to Brent Walker and Polly Peck (sorry - bad examples. Doh)
Nam