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Traders Thread - Thursday 18th December (CCL)     

Crocodile - 17 Dec 2003 21:33

Premarket Futures FTSE UNCH DAX -7 DOW -2 S&P -0.4 Nasdaq +2

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

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S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +11  Hang Seng +56  Asia News

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10 Year Bond

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UK/US charts have 1,2 or 5 day views. and now FT NEWS & Price link to UK, US & Asian markets. The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
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U.S. stocks ended the session little changed with the Dow up 15.70, S&P up 1.35 and the Nasdaq down 2.96

National Express coach and rail firm said trading for the year to was in line with market expectations, as customer numbers grew at its UK trains division.and it was comfortable with full-year forecasts of 100 million pounds profits

United Business Media publishing, broadcasting and market research company said that second half revenues should be ahead of last year, despite the weakness of the U.S. dollar. Trading conditions in the U.S. had improved and there has been a greater than expected recovery in Asia. It also said it was buying Eurisko, a market research company in Italy, for 33 million euros.Britannic Group said it was on track to resume dividend payments of 10 pence per share to shareholders and annual bonuses for most of its with-profits policyholders following extensive restructuring. It has also paid back 50 million in bank borrowings.

Redrow housebuilder said it expected to raise its annual dividend by at least 20 percent this financial year and maintain similar growth next year, buoyed by strong housing sales.

News will be posted at approx 7:35am

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

Carnival (Q4)National Express (Trading Statement) Smith & Nephew (Trading Statement) Advanced Technology bonissue of warrants ex date

09.30 Nov PSNCR, 7bn exp. 09.30 Chancellor Brown Comments on the Pre-Budget Report 09.30 Nov Retail Sales m/m, 0.1% exp. 09.30 Nov Preliminary M4 Money Supply y/y, 6.7% exp. 09.30 Nov CML, BBA & BSA Lending

US: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley

13.30 Initial Jobless Claims (w/e 13/12) 15.00 Nov Leading Indicators, 0.3% exp. 17.00 Dec Philly Fed, 25.90 prev.

Europe: Infogrammes, Cap Gemini, Nordex

08.00 Dec German IFO Expectations, 108.7 prev. 11.00 3rd Quarter Labour Costs

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Melnibone - 18 Dec 2003 16:41 - 52 of 60

Hi zarif,

I'm not really much of an expert on the DOW, not much
of one on the FTSE come to think of it :-), but if you
twist my arm I would say that if the S@P/DOW continue to
rally, then I would look for highs of 1085/10,235 and then a
sell off.

If it doesn't go higher I would expect a retreat from 10,200
on profit taking and a retest of the new 1075 support,
previously resistance, on the S@P.

Don't know if that fits in with your own views, but there you
have it.

Melnibone.

zarif - 18 Dec 2003 16:44 - 53 of 60

Thanks melnibone same guesstimates as mine. I believe we are due a correction soon as things are getting silly but then again all we can say is that the market is always right!!!!

rgds
zarif

ThePlayboy - 18 Dec 2003 16:48 - 54 of 60

FRI FTSE PP

R2 4438
R1 4417
PP 4383
S1 4362
S2 4328

Close above Thu R2 after gaining 3.2pts in the auction! 2 day ftse chart still in uptrend targeting 4415, brk of uptrend at 4390!

little woman - 18 Dec 2003 17:02 - 55 of 60

very small S&P short

Druid2 - 18 Dec 2003 17:12 - 56 of 60

Nice rise on the FTSE today which has also helped my EZJ longs which I hope to hold until 500p. What has happened to ETL ? Seem to be stuck in the lower 40's !!

Melnibone - 18 Dec 2003 19:07 - 57 of 60

S@P is testing the 1085 resistance level.

US has got 2 Hrs left to decide what it wants to do.
Take profits, or push on to a new leg up so that
the Fund Managers can end on super end of year
reports for their clients; oh, not forgetting those
fat bonus's they'll collect before taking it back
after the hols so that they can cover the same ground all over again.

Bush would like that, nice rising markets into his re-election
campaign whilst his buddy, Al Greenspan keeps the rates low
to get some inflation going and fuel some more spending.

Dollar will keep going down at these low interest levels. If the
Euro gets much stronger it's going to effect exports and may increase
pressure on Europe to keep interest rates lower, or, heaven forbid,
start cutting them again. That'll please Gordon, especially now
they've changed the rules so that the BOE will meet re-rigged inflation targets
without having to raise rates and further increase the strength of
the pound and the difficulty of exports.

Cynical? Moi. ;-)


Melnibone.

little woman - 18 Dec 2003 19:50 - 58 of 60

US is still climbing

Melnibone - 18 Dec 2003 19:59 - 59 of 60

Yes, I've been watching the price whilst reading some other stuff.

Seems as if the S@P is visiting the highs it opened
at on Monday. Be interesting to see what happens when it
hits them. If it actually closes over the 1085/1086 area
we'll have to start strapping our horns on again. :-)

FTSE after hours trading doesn't seem impressed with it,
it's only a smidgin over 4400.

Melnibone.

little woman - 18 Dec 2003 20:27 - 60 of 60

Yes, as it passed 1085 I switched from Short to Long, and have recovered most of my losses! I'm watching as I expect to close my position any second, but it still seems to be creeping upwards.

I presume there is still 30 min to go before close.
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