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Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP)     

goal - 15 Mar 2005 17:17

http://www.gulfkeystone.com/ The firms exploration programme in Algeria is going well and "the shares look good value", say the Investors Chronicle. Your comments please. goal.

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Ruthbaby - 01 Aug 2016 09:26 - 5450 of 5505

I see a 1p a share bid has been tabled by DNO.....

HARRYCAT - 02 Aug 2016 15:14 - 5451 of 5505

Canaccord comment yesterday:
"Gulf Keystone has proposed a balance sheet restructuring, which would see the equitisation of $500m outstanding debt and coupons for 95% of the equity, leaving current shareholders with 5%. In addition, the company proposes an open offer of 20 new shares for each 9 held, at 1.09 dollar cents to raise $25m. The new equity would then own pro-forma 10% of the company, existing shares 4.5%, convertible bondholders 20%, and guaranteed noteholders 65.5% and the market value of the equity would be $250m. In addition, guaranteed noteholders would own $100m ‘reinstated notes’ with maturity October ’21 (currently $575m maturity April and October ’17) at 10% coupon (or at GKP’s option 13% PIK to October ’18). GKP would also have the right to raise a further $25m debt. In addition the debt service reserve account, DSRA, which required a minimum $32.5m cash to be maintained, would be removed. Assuming full subscription of the open offer the company would then have cash of c.$85m and net debt of $15m. An SGM to approve the plan is scheduled for 5th August.

Canaccord Genuity view
We think this restructuring is a lifeline for the company and current shareholders. Considering the balance sheet stress – coupon payments of $26m due in April had not been paid, $575m debt maturities looming in ’17, and likely diminishing production due to limited investment capacity – shareholder dilution seemed inevitable and current equity could have suffered more than the plan elicits. Assuming approval and a fully subscribed open offer, the company’s cash resources should allow it to invest in the Shaikan field (WI 58%), initially to maintain gross production around 40 kbopd, and then in the longer term to increase towards full recovery of the field’s reserves (2P gross 639 mmbbls at September ’15). If the restructuring is not approved, then current equity holders can expect to receive little or no value for their shares.

Valuation and rating
We have assumed that the restructuring is approved and that the open offer is fully subscribed. On that basis, with a much more sustainable foundation, we think it is appropriate to base our TP on NPV15 (from NPV20) central valuation, in line with our treatment for Gulf Keystone’s peers in KRI under our coverage (Genel,LSE | BUY, 91p : TP 195p; DNO, OSLO | HOLD, NOK8.35 : TP NOK10).

It is important to bear in mind that holding or buying the stock today provides the right to the open offer. So, for example, a pre-restructuring SP of 7.5p/sh would correspond to a post-restructuring average price of 2.9p/sh assuming full take up of the open offer, close to our NPV15 central valuation of 2.8p/sh.

We expect that the restructuring will be approved but beyond that there are still risks concerned with the asset and Gulf Keystone’s ability to maintain and then grow production, as well as more general operational and political uncertainties in the region. Neverthless, assuming approval, we raise our rating to Speculative BUY (from Sell) with a revised TP of 7.5p/sh pre-restructuring (equivalent to 3p/sh post restructuring). Failure to pass the plan at the SGM would result in a significant downgrade for equity valuation and the future of the company."

Ruthbaby - 15 Aug 2016 12:27 - 5452 of 5505

A little strange that this share is still been traded @ around 5p when the dilution has been approved.
Would have expeceted it to be nearer 1p by now but it is not..
Why?

HARRYCAT - 31 Aug 2016 12:40 - 5453 of 5505

Open Offer Launch
The Company announces that it has today launched an open offer (the "Open Offer") for up to 2,294,295,672 new common shares in the Company (the "Open Offer Shares") at a price of 0.8314 pence per share, to raise up to US$25 million.

Subject to certain exceptions, the Open Offer is being made to the Company's shareholders who are on the register of members on the record date, being 5:00 p.m. (London time) on 30 August 2016, on the basis of 20 Open Offer Shares for every nine existing common shares in the Company. The Open Offer will close at 11.00 a.m. on 15 September 2016.

The Open Offer is being conducted in connection with the Company's Balance Sheet Restructuring Transaction ("Restructuring") announced on 14 July 2016, and the Open Offer is conditional on implementation of the Restructuring.

HARRYCAT - 05 Sep 2016 11:50 - 5454 of 5505

It has emerged that Los Angeles-based Capital Group, Gulf Keystone’s largest shareholder, is preparing to plough up to $20m into an emergency 2bn share offering which is needed to keep the company afloat while it restructures its hefty debt pile.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/09/03/us-fund-giant-to-stump-up-20m-to-keep-gulf-keystone-afloat/

driver - 05 Sep 2016 14:24 - 5455 of 5505

Not good.

cynic - 05 Sep 2016 14:41 - 5456 of 5505

the very brave would have shorted when it was recently and undeservedly still 5p
it's questionable whether it is even worth 1p

mentor - 08 Sep 2016 11:37 - 5457 of 5505

I this half dead horse soon ready for a punt again?
RI closing 11 am 15th September

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=GKP&Size=

cynic - 08 Sep 2016 11:45 - 5458 of 5505

now you really are a brave chap!
penny for your thoughts in more ways than one :-)

Ruthbaby - 08 Sep 2016 13:12 - 5459 of 5505

Not a RI but an Open Offer......
22 billion shares about to come on the market pretty soon and a presently tabled offer from DNO of about 1p.
If the bhs don't sell immediately then a consolidation is surely on the way.....

mentor - 08 Sep 2016 15:38 - 5460 of 5505

Thanks Ruthbaby

I did not look for the RNS today, I should have

goal - 16 Sep 2016 09:33 - 5461 of 5505

16 September 2016

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. (LSE: GKP)
("Gulf Keystone", "GKP", or "the Company")

Results of the Open Offer
for up to 2,294,295,672 new common shares in the Company (the "Open Offer Shares")
at a price of 0.8314 pence per share, to raise up to US$25 million
The Company is pleased to announce the results of the Open Offer which closed for acceptances at 11.00 a.m. on 15 September 2016.

The Open Offer has been oversubscribed and valid acceptances have been received in respect of the entirety of the Open Offer Shares.

Qualifying Shareholders who have validly applied for Open Offer Shares will receive their full Open Offer Entitlement.

Applications under the Excess Entitlements Facility will be scaled back in accordance with the terms of the Open Offer.

The Open Offer is being conducted in connection with the Company's Balance Sheet Restructuring Transaction ("Restructuring") announced on 14 July 2016, and the Open Offer remains conditional on implementation of the Restructuring.

Subject to the implementation of the Restructuring, it is currently expected that admission and commencement of dealings in the New Common Shares will occur on or around 14 October.

This announcement should be read in conjunction with the full text of the prospectus published by the Company on 31 August (the "Prospectus"). All capitalised/defined terms in this announcement and not otherwise defined shall have meaning given to them in the Prospectus.

For further information visit the Restructuring microsite which can be accessed through the Company's website www.gulfkeystone.com.

mentor - 06 Oct 2016 10:51 - 5462 of 5505

2.26p +0.075p

Large volume already as much as yesterday on less than 3 hours trading.
A bit of recovery this morning despite a negative report on the mail......

How a Tory MP made £370k from oil firm Gulf Keystone with debts of £470m while small investors suffer share price crash.

Despite this lamentable state of affairs, a handful of men at the top of the business have been making large sums.
Intriguingly, they include Conservative MP Nadhim Zahawi, who before the Gulf Keystone debacle was probably best known as the multi-millionaire founder and former chief executive of online pollsters YouGov. .................

How-Tory-MP-s-370k-oil-firm-debts-470m-small-investors-suffer-share-price-crash

p.php?pid=staticchart&s=L%5EGKP&width=255&height=330&p=0&t=1&cb=p.php?pid=staticchart&s=L%5EGKP&width=300&height=205&p=2&t=1&dm=2&vol=1&cb=Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=gkp&Size=350*340&Skin=BlackBlue&Type=2&Scale=0&Start=20160930&Fix=1&MA=&EMA=&OVER=&IND=;&XCycle=DAY1&XFormat=%7BMMM%7Ddd&Cycle=MINUTE2&Layout=Default;HisDate&SV=0&E=UK

mitzy - 14 Oct 2016 08:39 - 5463 of 5505

Share price lower again today.

cynic - 14 Oct 2016 08:40 - 5464 of 5505

the surprise is that the company is still afloat

mentor - 14 Oct 2016 09:10 - 5465 of 5505

1.27p - 0.08p

Some it seems were already selling them ahead of today's date on looking at the volume of the last 3 days ........

commencement of dealings in the New Common Shares will occur on or around 14 October.

driver - 14 Oct 2016 14:30 - 5466 of 5505

Not Good..

driver - 14 Oct 2016 16:29 - 5467 of 5505

Am I missing some thing if the total issued share capital of the Company now comprises 22,942,956,605 Common Shares, and the old M/Cap was about 15m before the Restructuring Transaction shouldn't the sp be about .0007p ?

mentor - 14 Oct 2016 16:52 - 5468 of 5505

how do you work it out? .. 0.007p

then I can tell you where you are wrong if so

driver - 14 Oct 2016 17:12 - 5469 of 5505

mentor

22,942,956,605 X .0007 = £16060069

It was about that before Restructuring
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