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My share of the year 2004 is......... (GLD)     

hawick - 30 Dec 2003 16:29

(Anyone lucky enough to buy my 2003 share of the year enjoyed a roller-coaster. At one time Holllis Eden on Nasdaq reached 5 bagger status before falling back. i recommended selling at 2.25 bagger time but hey not bad!)
I don't expect this year's one to be quite so dramatic but here's hoping! I think it could easily be a bagger+ though!
Gladstone is a relatively little known software stock with solutions for internet and broadband that appears to be ahead of its competition. The market cap is 5.8 million but the total assets are 8 million. Anyone sneaking out results in Xmas week might well cause suspicion but GLD's were really good. It has turned a 1 million+ loss into a small profit and there is a lot more to come as the company has now a strong customer base. It looks like they are on the acquisition trail as a close reading of recent statements shows a Director taking a more active role in the search but they could easily become a target themselves. They have cut costs too and a very confident board paint a rosy but not rose-tinted picture of the outlook. A reorgnisation of the share capital will reduce the shareholder base from 8000 to nearer 2000. A sensible move as some paid several pounds a share in the dotcom days and they are now to be offered a return wothout costs on their investment.
At 12.75p they are in a narrow trading range which has lasted most of 2003 but when or if they breakout a substantial upside move is on the cards.
Undervalued. Buy.
graph.php?epic=GLD

hawick - 29 Oct 2004 22:45 - 55 of 85

Hope so mackem but we have hit another quiet phase just as the chart was ready to burst. Patience, but no worries, value will out and I still think sooner rather than later!

beaufort1 - 02 Nov 2004 09:29 - 56 of 85

Right again Hawick - chart still as strong as ever after another spurt upwards!
Looks like it could continue up to 30p

PS what's your share of the year for 2005????

Orion - 02 Nov 2004 21:30 - 57 of 85

This has been up all year slowly but surely - should be in the 30's after the figures come out.

hawick - 03 Nov 2004 10:49 - 58 of 85

LOL beaufort (but will see if i can come up with one if people want, a few candidates around!!).
Just one word of caution, yesterday's move might have been a few T-20s speculating on good results and one or two days after the numbers might be volatile, but the results will be great and 30p is a very reasonable - indeed modest - target over the coming months.

beaufort1 - 03 Nov 2004 14:18 - 59 of 85

Agreed Hawick - the price might come off a bit after the results - I suppose the key will be what the projections are for 2005 - if predicted EPS is about 3p, then the 30p SP level ought to be reasonably secure.

Orion - 04 Nov 2004 09:06 - 60 of 85

eps of 3p and shareprice of 30p is actually not reasonable - it is way too low, especially when considering this company is in growth stage.
Similar companies showing growth are on p/e's of 20-30 - not 10!

beaufort1 - 11 Nov 2004 17:55 - 61 of 85

Just look at that chart! Progress after the results all depends on the outlook.

hawick - 12 Nov 2004 11:49 - 62 of 85

Beaufort this might demonstrate better why i, like you, am excited by the chart!
graph.php?startDate=01%2F04%2F01&period=

beaufort1 - 12 Nov 2004 14:32 - 63 of 85

Nothing between 28p and 1. Glad I didn't hold these early in 2002!!
That's a very long upswing from MAy 2003.
Still a long way to go, although they have basically doubled so far this year.

beaufort1 - 15 Nov 2004 16:11 - 64 of 85

Now up to 26p, the SP curve is going almost straight up now.

beaufort1 - 24 Nov 2004 09:30 - 65 of 85

Good results - pretty much inline. Bit of a sell-off this morning (perhaps not surprisingly). We await predictions for y/e Aug 2005.

paul30661 - 24 Nov 2004 10:07 - 66 of 85

Question is, is this sell off a good time to stock up on some more ?

hawick - 24 Nov 2004 10:22 - 67 of 85

Real robust set of numbers. As anticipated with a bullish outlook too! Bit of buy on rumour sell on fact today and t-20s, exactly as i forecast a few posts ago! Very happy!

beaufort1 - 24 Nov 2004 10:30 - 68 of 85

WOuld hope to see some broker projections soon for 2005 and 2006.

beaufort1 - 24 Nov 2004 15:09 - 69 of 85

SP holding up reasonably well considering. Most of recent gains being retained.

andysmith - 29 Nov 2004 19:00 - 70 of 85

Disappointing drop off this week, part wishing I hold sold and taken 80% profit, part thinking about waiting for the bottom and topping up?
What do you think, Beaufort/Hawick?
Did any of you here about a fight at a meeting, director kneed in bollocks?
You thoughts apreciated

hawick - 29 Nov 2004 21:51 - 71 of 85

Heard a rumour Andy! Someone who invested in boom apparently blamed CEO for everything.

I think a few people punted in before results and now the shares have eased back they are getting out. I am keeping what I have and think everything remains positive, I think the pullback represents a very decent value opportunity.

andysmith - 30 Nov 2004 21:00 - 72 of 85

Thanks for your thoughts, When full year results confirmed at EPS 2.15p then GLD are now trading back around PE10 which does seem low. With planned share buy-back and provided same or better profit forecast for next year it seems like top-up time soon or am I talking nonsense.
When are confirmed results and 2005 forecast due out?

I am new to this game and picked GLD before tipped in IC so quite chuffed but if fall below 20p I might get worried!! Don't want to lose a profit for once!!
Don't suppose GLD board could be selling a few to get price down ready for buy-back? like I said I am new, can this happen?

When you say bought in boom, I assume you mean a few years ago?
Hope it doesn't balls things up!!

Thanks Andy.

hawick - 01 Dec 2004 11:51 - 73 of 85

Well found! Andy if you are in for the next 6-12 months then i cannot see GLD being below their recent highs by then. I suspect reading the report they are close to a small acquisition and that would lead to new shares, and or cash being invested to grow the business. If it did fall to 20p I would look at buying more.
Good chart support around 20p, back at the uptrend too. I think it will consolidate 20-25p before going up again.
In the dotcom boom, it hit 500p! Another poster on another board, with a supposed 'reputation' (lol!) seems to think it was a great wheeze and when he made a joke of it was surprised that the CEO was a tad miffed. Oh dear!

hawick - 02 Dec 2004 10:59 - 74 of 85

Hi Andy et al. Shares mag play of the week today!
Must have found our thread at last! :)
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