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STERLING ENERGY big buyers about... (SEY)     

proptrade - 14 Jun 2004 11:58

anyone got any ideas about the block trades that went through today?

website: http://www.sterlingenergyplc.com/

graph.php?movingAverageString=%2C50%2C20

weather: www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/084938.shtml?50wind120

stockdog - 03 Mar 2006 11:07 - 5578 of 7811

They're thinking of changing Sterling's epic to ARF
(Sorry, doggy joke!)

Andy - 03 Mar 2006 18:46 - 5579 of 7811

stockdog,

BOL!

Interesting 2 x 800,000 trades and 1 x 350,000 after the bell, probably buys, but can't say for sure.

stockdog - 03 Mar 2006 19:31 - 5580 of 7811

Marked as buys at 23.32 v. mid price of 23.25 on Digital Look (2 X 800k + 1 X 350k).

Andy - 03 Mar 2006 19:34 - 5581 of 7811

stockdog,

Yes they were probably buys, funny how a lot of large buys are reported after the bell!

I notice it more on SEY than any other stock I follow.

stockdog - 03 Mar 2006 19:39 - 5582 of 7811

Not so funny - trades above market value are allowed to delay reporting by so much depending on how many times NMS.

Sterling's NMS is only 100,000, so an 8 X order may have been placed maybe 4 hours earlier, at least 2, but I don't know the exact formula. Anyone know?

4 hours earlier the quote was 23.25 - 23.50 (with mid quoted as 23.50), a mid price of 23.375, making them possible sells.

Who knows, but watch the SP on Monday morning.

sd

seawallwalker - 04 Mar 2006 17:37 - 5583 of 7811

Stockie - do you think these relatively small amounts really matter at this stage?

SP seems range bound just now, every time it tries to test 25p it drops back.

Needs some good positive news to break through, although it will continue to test that for a while imo without.

stockdog - 04 Mar 2006 19:09 - 5584 of 7811

No - nothing much matters in the market when the fundamentals are as strong as they are for SEY, plus the takeover agenda. But still curious as to how market factors affect the price in the short term. It is a peculiar stock that is so stubborn to reflect value in the SP - compared to FOGL who haven't drilled a cm yet, for example.

That said, looking at the 3 year chart and ignoring 2005's virtually sideways progression, we are right back on track within the original 2003/04 channel. We should be able to maintain this pattern as Ching's cashflow builds up and maybe Exxon/Madagascar hots up later this year. A takeover should probably double the current price - but no idea really. Over a 5 year view a takeover at 50p will look cheap in retrospect, I reckon (that's why they bought it, dummy!).

Is there any reason why we should have to wait till May for prelims this year? Be nice to get them out by end of March, since there are no major capital programmes, Ching has started and hopefully GoM is back on full stream after the hurricanes last year. So nothing to wait for that I can see to be included in them and an early announcement should by now vindicate the $97m loan to Mauritanian govt. I'd like to get a bit closer to the current fundamentals which I feel have drifted out of my grasp with so much happening over the last year.

Here endeth the waffle!

sd

jimward9 - 06 Mar 2006 17:27 - 5585 of 7811

bad weather in gulf expected this year:
sterling look out

Looking at the 2006 Atlantic season, Weather 2000 said its research, along with atmospheric and oceanographic parameters, are pointing towards a lot of activity. The company said it would not be surprised to see 15-22 named storms, eight-13 hurricanes and four-seven intense hurricanes.

The Colorado State forecasting team, which is now led by Philip J. Klotzbach, is a little more conservative in its prediction. The team's 2006 Atlantic hurricane outlook calls for 17 named tropical storms (9.6 is average) of which nine would be Hurricanes (5.9 is average) of which five would be intense hurricanes (2.3 is average).

Weather 2000 pointed out that the recent development of weak La Ni conditions could contribute to a summer environment that looks to be even more conducive for tropical development than was the case last year at this time.

Andy - 06 Mar 2006 17:50 - 5586 of 7811

jimward9,

well I guess with the additional revenue form Ching, we are less dependent of the GOM revenues than we were last year.

I'm not worrying about the weather there, if it happens it happens, SEY seems to have come out more or less ok last year, and if the worst happens, they've probably got some insurance!

Nice .75p rise today, let's hope we are about to break out of the pennant.

proptrade - 06 Mar 2006 17:53 - 5587 of 7811

30p breakout on my estimate...

seawallwalker - 06 Mar 2006 18:37 - 5588 of 7811

That would be nice prop.

I thought it would have gone past 25p by now, but it seems to be butting heads with it!

The higher the better, any bid would reflect the new price accordingly.

proptrade - 06 Mar 2006 19:48 - 5589 of 7811

a bid would need to nearer 40p!

Sunray41 - 06 Mar 2006 20:22 - 5590 of 7811

The glass-ceiling at 24/25 looks like it is nuclear hardened.
When it goes it could be quite something.

proptrade - 06 Mar 2006 22:18 - 5591 of 7811

that is my point..i think that level has been reached and should be breached at last. IMHO of course!

rgds
PT

jimward9 - 08 Mar 2006 18:02 - 5592 of 7811


This link to HNR maybe of interest to SEY holders

http://tinyurl.com/kgcxo

Andy - 08 Mar 2006 22:10 - 5593 of 7811

jimward9,

Thanks, to view it easier, you can click HERE

accord - 09 Mar 2006 07:49 - 5594 of 7811

Andy

Excellent link, thanks

jimward9 - 09 Mar 2006 08:44 - 5595 of 7811

Thanks Andy.
not good with computers yet, but I will get their.

Andy - 09 Mar 2006 09:06 - 5596 of 7811

Jimward9,

If you look above the posting box, there is a chain link looking icon. (IE Fourth from the left, B,I,U, then the chain link)

If you click on it, and paste in the URL such as the Tiny url address you used above, and enter, it will give you what looks like the same screen again, but is in fact a second screen.

If you type HERE into that screen and enter, it will post the HERE like I did in my post above.

SEY up .25p so far today!

jimward9 - 09 Mar 2006 09:47 - 5597 of 7811

Thanks again Andy
If I learn one thing every day, I may know what I am doing in about a year.
jim
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