Interesting posts Fred. Wheres do you get the Broker recos from please?.
Tend to stick to just UK shares and companies Ive fot a fair idea about.
Been looking at your post friday re- to stop losses. At the moment I actually base my margin trade sizes on stop loss I would use if I were to use one physically. My preferences is for nearest support level but if this is too far away I will go for a monetary figure which is not more than 1.5% of my total margin pool and then look to get a return of arounf 2.5 to 3 times the figure risked as profit.
Between Jan and feb last year I was using this method but found that the market was so volatile with massive spikes occuring in just minutes that I entirely dropped stop losses except for putting one in at around 25% from mid price every evening just in case of a profit warning on opening. After the open I delete them.
Position size is the most important aspect along with tactical closure I reckon when using margin trades. Open too big a position and you can find the trade running away from you unless you are prepared to take a very quick loss although I do agree that you have to let your trade breath. I use ATR (along with beta)a lot these days and detest volatility on my non intraday trades.
Sometimes I put them back on when Im away from my PC and I also use trailing stop losses when I get into a good positive run on a stock.
Read dozens of books on the subject of Trading and TA over the years but reckon this is the best one of the lot, drills into you that to preserve your capital base is VIP. Well worth reading if your into trading and TA books
Product code: 16175
ISBN: 0071381562, ISBN13: 9780071381567, 288 pages, hardback
Published by McGraw-Hill Professional, illustrated edition edition, 2003
Description of High Probability Trading
"The Goal Is to Teach All Traders to Think with the Mindset of a Successful Trader..." While successful trading requires tremendous skill and knowledge, it begins and ends with mindset. What do exceptional traders think when they purchase a quality stock and the price immediately plummets? How do they keep one bad trade from destroying their confidence - and bankroll? What do they know that the rest of us don't? "Some trades are not worth the risk and should never be done."High Probability Trading" shows you how to trade only when the odds are in your favor. From descriptions of the software and equipment an exceptional trader needs high probability signals that either a top or bottom has been reached, it is today's most complete guidebook to thinking like an exceptional trader - every day, on every trade. "It's not how good you are at one individual thing, but it's the culmination of every aspect of trading that makes one successful."Before he became a successful trader, Marcel Link spent years wading from one system to the next, using trial and error to figure out what worked, what didn't, and why.
In "High Probability Trading", Link reveals the steps he took to become a consistent, patient, and winning trader - by learning what to watch for, what to watch out for, and what to do to make each trade a high probability trade. "Why do a select few traders repeatedly make money while the masses lose? What do bad traders do that good traders avoid, and what do winning traders do that is different? Throughout this book I will detail how successful traders behave differently and consistently make money by making high probability trades and avoiding common pitfalls..." - From the preface.Within 6 months of beginning their careers full of promise and hope, most traders are literally out of money and out of trading. "High Probability Trading" reduces the likelihood that you will have to pay this "traders' tuition," by detailing a market-proven program for weathering those first few months and becoming a profitable trader from the beginning.Combining a uniquely blunt look at the realities of trading with examples, charts, and case studies detailing actual hits and misses of both short- and long-term traders, this straightforward guidebook discusses: the 10 consistent attributes of a successful trader, and how to make them work for you; strategies for controlling emotions in the heat of trading battle; technical analysis methods for identifying trends, breakouts, reversals, and more; market-tested signals for consistently improving the timing of entry and exit points; how to "trade the news" - and understand when the market has already discounted it; and learning how to get out of a bad trade before it can hurt you.
The best traders enter the markets only when the odds are in their favor. "High Probability Trading" shows you how to know the difference between low and high probability situations, and only trade the latter. It goes far beyond simply pointing out the weaknesses and blind spots that hinder most traders to explaining how those defects can be understood, overcome, and turned to each trader's advantage. While it is a cliche, it is also true that there are no bad traders, only bad trades. Let "High Probability Trading" show you how to weed the bad trades from your trading day by helping you see them before they occur.Packed with charts, trading tips, and questions traders should be asking themselves, plus real examples of traders in every market situation, this powerful book will first give you the knowledge and tools you need to tame the markets and then show you how to meld them seamlessly into a customized trading program - one that will help you join the ranks of elite traders and increase your probability of success on every trade.
About Marcel Link
Marcel Link, a fully licensed commodities broker and CPO, is currently a proprietary trader for Schonfeld Securities in New York. He also owns and operates his own Web site (LinkFutures.com). The site, which receives about 10,000 impressions per day, provides daily commentary on the markets, technical analysis, training, marketing, and other information vital to traders. Previously, he was a floor trader at the New York Mercantile Exchange for British American Capital, Esco Commodities, and Cargill, where he also wrote several computerized trading programs and provided a bi-weekly newsletter to clients. He is licensed for NASD Series 3, 7, 55, and 63.
cheers for now.