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AVOCET MINING PLC Charts and Discussion Thread (AVM)     

Mr Ashley James - 24 Jan 2003 09:22

New Thread as requested by Wirral Owl.

6 Months Chart:-

chart.asp?symb=UK%3AAVM&compidx=aaaaa%3A

10 Day Chart:-

chart.asp?symb=UK%3AAVM&compidx=aaaaa%3Agold.gif

Cheers

Ash

glennb - 11 May 2003 08:42 - 57 of 194

from memory i think avm have hedged a proportion of this years production at 285$ - $310 might not be a bad average to have used. Depends how much AVM have decided to hedge this year

goldfinger - 13 May 2003 21:32 - 58 of 194

A company which is way undervalued in my opinion. Should be at least 45p to 50p based on its latest procution figures for the year.G

goldfinger - 14 May 2003 00:15 - 59 of 194

Analysts Predictions.


Analyst Forecast
AVOCET MINING PLC (AVM.L)

CONSENSUS RECOMMENDATION.


OUTPERFORM.



Consensus Next Earnings Company Fiscal Last
Recommendation (approx.) Year End Month Updated
Outperform 12-Nov-03 March 13-May-03




CONSENSUS ESTIMATES TRENDS


Current 1 Week
Ago 4 Weeks
Ago 8 Weeks
Ago 13 Weeks
Ago
Sales (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-03
Year Ending Mar-04
Earnings (per share)
Year Ending Mar-03 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90
Year Ending Mar-04
Profit (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-03
Year Ending Mar-04
Dividends (per share)
Year Ending Mar-03
Year Ending Mar-04

Sales and Profit Figures in Pound Sterling
Earnings and Dividend figures in British Pence



ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS AND REVISIONS


1-5 Linear Scale Current As of 4
Weeks Ago As of 8
Weeks Ago As of 13
Weeks Ago
(1) Buy 1 1 1 1
(2) Outperform 0 0 0 0
(3) Hold 1 1 1 1
(4) Underperform 0 0 0 0
(5) Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rating 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00




CONSENSUS ESTIMATES ANALYSIS


# of
Ests. Median
Est. High
Est. Low
Est. 1 Year
Ago
Sales (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-03 25.00
Year Ending Mar-04
Earnings (per share)
Year Ending Mar-03 1 1.90 1.90 1.90 4.80
Year Ending Mar-04
Profit (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-03 4.50
Year Ending Mar-04
Dividends (per share)
Year Ending Mar-03 0.00
Year Ending Mar-04

Sales and Profit Figures in Pound Sterling
Earnings and Dividend figures in British Pence



HISTORICAL SURPRISES


Estimate vs. Actual Estimate Actual Difference Surprise (%)
Sales (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-02 0.00 26.00 26.00 --
Year Ending Mar-01 26.00 25.00 -1.00 -3.85
Earnings (per share)
Year Ending Mar-02 0.00 1.44 1.44 --
Year Ending Mar-01 2.60 0.20 -2.40 -92.31
Profit (in millions)
Year Ending Mar-02 0.00 0.94 0.94 --
Year Ending Mar-01 1.70 0.19 -1.51 -88.82
Dividends (per share)
Year Ending Mar-02 0.00 0.00 0.00 --
Year Ending Mar-01 0.00 0.00 0.00 --

Sales and Profit Figures in Pound Sterling
Earnings and Dividend figures in British Pence



ESTIMATE REVISIONS SUMMARY


Number of Estimate Revisions Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Revised Up Revised Down Revised Up Revised Down
Earnings
Year Ending Mar-03 0 0 0 0
Year Ending Mar-04 0 0 0 0


G

shagnasty - 14 May 2003 12:33 - 60 of 194

I reckon this thing hit its peak at 37p when I bgt. in, barring another hike in the pog eg we attack Saudi or similar gut wrenching event, I see it rangebound


but------------!!!!!!!

Wendy D - 14 May 2003 16:00 - 61 of 194

When working out profit figures for this - or any mining company - beware of using cash costs.

If Ashley taught me anything at all (hi, Ash!) it's to find out what true production costs are and work on them.....however, most companies fight shy of publishing true costs, and only quote cash. There can be a HUGE difference.

goldfinger - 14 May 2003 16:16 - 62 of 194

POG now just shy of $355. Noted above re- to costs. This company will come out with around a 7.5 million profit and that is very conservative.G

Mr Ashley James - 16 May 2003 02:55 - 63 of 194

Wendypops,

Hi trying to become a bit of a DJIA specialist so not really concentrating on AVM, but think this will hit 50p to 65p by end March to May 2004 or maybe sooner think this ABC will take us to 40p, believe very quickly when 30.50p pops.

AVM production costs high which gives you leverage if you can see a 6500 DJIA or 6000 DJIA by October, and gold above US$400

Watch gearing, watch Canacord interest, otherwise well boring but potentially hell of a lot safer than Minnie IMHO, saying which Malaysia and Kazakhstan?

Oh well who cares all I care about is the chart nowadays. (;-)0

All IMHO, NAG, DYOR etc, etc

Cheers

Ash

Mr Ashley James - 19 May 2003 14:26 - 64 of 194

Goldfinger,

AVM starting to break up now, needs to break 31p really for next stage 36p/36.50p.

Mr Ashley James - 19 May 2003 19:08 - 65 of 194

1:50PM Gold futures close with a nearly $10 gain ($XAU, $GOX, HMY, GG) by Myra P. Saefong
Gold futures closed the session with a nearly $10-an-ounce gain as concerns about the dollar continued to keep investor interest in the precious metal high. June gold closed at $364.40 an ounce, up $9.50. Metals indexes are following suit, with the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index ($XAU) and CBOE Gold Index ($GOX) both up more than 3 percent. Shares of Goldcorp (GG) are up 6.4 percent to $11.68 and Harmony Gold (HMY) are up 5.5 percent at $13.45.

gold.gif

Mr Ashley James - 20 May 2003 23:02 - 66 of 194

Gold on another 12345 break out, break above US$370 or triple bottom US$365 with break from support around US$367.50 will confirm IMHO

AVM has broken above 31p res, no surprises there

Mr Ashley James - 22 May 2003 00:17 - 67 of 194

Gold has hit US$373.50 today, need I say more.

intraday.gif?s=FOREX_XAUUSDO&t=f&w=15&a=

goldfinger - 22 May 2003 00:45 - 68 of 194

Ash, could be in for a good day Thursday. Many thanks for the charts much appreciated.G

pwmiles - 23 May 2003 19:03 - 69 of 194

Hi Ash. Are you "Investorglobe"? I think you are matey. I have noticed your ramping efforts vis-a-vis Petrel and Gresham. Desperate or what?

I put these things on moneyam where no-one will read them.

Love and kisses

Pat

Mr Ashley James - 23 May 2003 22:10 - 70 of 194

No, nor do I have a clue who you are talking about you vile little man.

Petrel, no idea,post Iraq War Gresham never heard of it.
I only post on MoneyAM now, I hide my true identity with Mr Ashley James and Ash log ons, mainly in the Traders Room where people like you are err not welcome (:-)0

Andy - 23 May 2003 23:26 - 71 of 194

Patrick,

Surerly Petrel is a very risky punt given the turmoil in Iraq?
I'm sure this isn't Ash's style at all.

I think you're totally wrong with "investorglobe", if Ash has an id on ADVFN now, I could certainly guess closer that that! (Although I'm sure he hasn't -:)

have a good weekend!

Wendy D - 24 May 2003 13:37 - 72 of 194

Ashley is FAR too vain to post under anything other than his own name!

8-)

Andy - 25 May 2003 12:31 - 73 of 194

Wendy,

Why no tput your email address in "my account" so that users can email you.

Your email address is NOT released to others, but their mails can reach you.
I think it's a really good idea!

Andy.

pwmiles - 25 May 2003 16:44 - 74 of 194

Hello again Ashley. This is why I thought you were ADVFN's "InterGlobe" (EDIT: oho not investorglobe -- room for denial here?)

From this very thread on moneyam

http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/ShowPostList?fID=1&tID=24&from=64

Mr Ashley James - 19 May'03 - 19:08 - 64 of 72

1:50PM Gold futures close with a nearly $10 gain ($XAU, $GOX, HMY, GG) by Myra P. Saefong
Gold futures closed the session with a nearly $10-an-ounce gain as concerns about the dollar continued to keep investor interest in the precious metal high. June gold closed at $364.40 an ounce, up $9.50. Metals indexes are following suit, with the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index ($XAU) and CBOE Gold Index ($GOX) both up more than 3 percent. Shares of Goldcorp (GG) are up 6.4 percent to $11.68 and Harmony Gold (HMY) are up 5.5 percent at $13.45.

------------------------

From ADVFN CMR "New High by Year-End?" thread

http://www.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/thread.php3?id=955283&from=3445

InterGlobe - 19 May'03 - 18:55 - 3445 of 3569

1:50PM Gold futures close with a nearly $10 gain ($XAU, $GOX, HMY, GG) by Myra P. Saefong
Gold futures closed the session with a nearly $10-an-ounce gain as concerns about the dollar continued to keep investor interest in the precious metal high. June gold closed at $364.40 an ounce, up $9.50. Metals indexes are following suit, with the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index ($XAU) and CBOE Gold Index ($GOX) both up more than 3 percent. Shares of Goldcorp (GG) are up 6.4 percent to $11.68 and Harmony Gold (HMY) are up 5.5 percent at $13.45.

--------------------------------------------------------

There might be another explanation (than that you and InterGlobe are the same) but if so I'd like to hear it. Anyway it's nice to see some of the old gang here etc etc.

If you can believe it, I am still inclined to be friendly disposed Ash, not a mortal enemy or anything ... just like to know what is going on

(congrats on ur GHT success -- oh sorry that was Interglobe!)

Regards

Pat

Andy - 25 May 2003 17:16 - 75 of 194

PAtrick,

two posters possessing ESP perhaps?

An amazing similarity I must admit,I'm sure Ashley will reply in due course!

I'm sure all posters on AM have id's on ADVFN, although some won't admit to it! I still post as ahkeen there, but there again I always did use that name.

Mr Ashley James - 27 May 2003 08:18 - 76 of 194

Patrick Miles,

I no longer post on ADVFN, seeing as post was a copy and paste from Bigcharts, really no surprises that other users had access to this data.

Copy and paste perhaps?

Lawdy, lawdy, there is one born every minute.

Well every village needs one

(;-)

Ash

PS We are all out to get YOU!
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