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NIGHTHAWK 6 BAGGER ON DEBUT. (HAWK)     

oilyrag - 12 Mar 2007 07:10

Pre IPO price 4p
Opening price on debut 25p
Floatation price 46p to raise 14million to extend Jolly Ranch
Current fair value estimate 114p
Market cap 70.59 million.
Value of Cisco Springs investments 98 million.
Value of Vogel investments 75 million.
Desparado trucking now Nightfox 250,000 for a 50% stake with partner Running Foxes.
Centurion Project Kansas, 150,000 for a 50% stake.
Jolly Ranch Colorado, 40,000 acres cost 356,000 for a 50% stake.
Cash in bank 7.75 million.

As this EPIC opens on AIM today anything could happen. On the one hand you have traders trying to cash in a sixfold profit. You will also have a clambering of traders after shares because, firstly they could only get 75% of their allocation because of demand. Secondly at 25p this company is still way under valued.

gibby - 26 Oct 2008 20:25 - 579 of 1373

lol - agreed geordie - i do - right up 'em!!

CWMAM - 27 Oct 2008 07:22 - 580 of 1373

Final resuls out ,should move SP.

oilyrag - 27 Oct 2008 07:37 - 581 of 1373

My prediction is for a rise on opening, followed by a fall back around 9.30 ish, followed by another rise from 11.00 ish. But then what do I know.

End of day to be blue. Maybe.

CWMAM - 27 Oct 2008 07:40 - 582 of 1373

End of day blue will be good,lets be positive!!

dealerdear - 27 Oct 2008 07:48 - 583 of 1373

Looking at the financial results I can't see anything to recommend this company.

I said last week 10p as a price target. Unless the markets improve, I would have thought 5p was more realistic.

The reason? Some companies are trading on p/e of 2 so why should a massive loss making company have any value in today's market. Potential means sod all today at the moment I'm afraid.

oilyrag - 27 Oct 2008 08:03 - 584 of 1373

Loss making my arse. Their tangible assets have increased by 28 million over the last year. Thats an underlying profit for the year.

cynic - 27 Oct 2008 08:09 - 585 of 1373

dd ..... in this instant, you are not necessarily correct, though it would certainly take a brave man to start throwing money into the market long

dealerdear - 27 Oct 2008 08:20 - 586 of 1373

Listen, I'm not saying we are but IF the FTSE is going down to 2000 - 2500 why should HAWK stand alone in surviving it?

cynic - 27 Oct 2008 08:24 - 587 of 1373

personally, i don't think FTSE will fall to 2000 at any point in this recession, and even then, there are always shares that buck the trend .... similarly in bull markets

geordieguy - 27 Oct 2008 08:32 - 588 of 1373

3250 similar to last bear market before sudden bounce

oilyrag - 27 Oct 2008 09:18 - 589 of 1373

First part of prediction correct, although at 1.5p gain, not as much as I envisaged.

Second part almost there as it has fallen back a little to 0.5p gain with a little time still to go.

gibby - 27 Oct 2008 12:07 - 590 of 1373

cant see market dropping below 3000 even as bad as it seems - we will wake up one morning to a sudden bounce - just not sure when!!!!

geordieguy - 27 Oct 2008 12:09 - 591 of 1373

thats when we kick gorgy ass

geordieguy - 27 Oct 2008 12:09 - 592 of 1373

gordy

halifax - 27 Oct 2008 13:03 - 593 of 1373

Final results not going down too well.

gibby - 27 Oct 2008 15:19 - 594 of 1373

nice little earner on hawk today - but better on gkn - i think hawk will hover a bit and rise slowly even with things as they are - everything in place

halifax - 27 Oct 2008 15:41 - 595 of 1373

Only if the price of oil recovers as their operating costs seem very high.

cynic - 27 Oct 2008 16:02 - 596 of 1373

i would expect crude (nymex) to recover to $95/100 over the next few months, as at current levels (about $65) it is uneconomic even for the likes of iran, and even saudi reckons to need at least $55 ...... i am almost certain that aramco (aka saudi) will not actually shut down wells as that is too expensive, but will pump it out and put into their underground storage facilities.

geordieguy - 27 Oct 2008 16:12 - 597 of 1373

iran gets a bit less than quoted oil price i think as well cynic. oil will get back to 100 again but not so sure so soon, maybe into 2009 later on

silvermede - 27 Oct 2008 21:31 - 598 of 1373

US-focused oil company Nighthawk Energy* (HAWK) announced it expects to make the transition from developer to producer in the coming year as it reported a sharp rise in pre-tax losses. Losses for the year to June 30 climbed to 2.5 million dollars from 1.5 million dollars, as revenues climbed to 139,000 dollars from 132,000 dollars. Nighthawk said the drilling programme at its Jolly Ranch projects in Colorado had exceeded expectations. "Nighthawk made exceptional progress during the year ended 30 June 2008 and we expect to see a major transition from development to production over the next 12 months," commented managing director David Bramhill. Nighthawk has spent 26.8 million dollars during the year and has 21 million dollars on the balance sheet following a 14 million pound raise in January of this year. "This places Nighthawk in a strong position compared to many of its AIM peers as we believe we will see increasing self sufficiency during this year," commented broker Daniel Stewart. "We identify Jolly Ranch as the key to the success of Nighthawk for both conventional and un-conventional oil upside," it added. "Further comprehensive work is required here and we expect further news in this regard on a continuing basis; however, a third party independent assessment would greatly assist in transparent valuation." Daniel Stewart has a 'buy' recommendation and a 100p price target for the shares, which climbed 1.5p to 23.5p. GE&CR reckons that the shares are worth 147p even at $60 oil.
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