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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

soul traders - 25 May 2007 09:18 - 604 of 2350

Hmmm. Interesting. I know that whoever got in around the beginning of the year, when I thought this looked cheap, has done well. Needless to say I didn't buy any, as I was busy with other things!

Thanks for the info, Driver. Will have to give this some consideration.

Greyhound - 25 May 2007 09:41 - 605 of 2350

good to reread the oilbarrel comment. The clock is certainly ticking to results/financing or jv - let's just hope it's not much longer and meets expectations.

RAS - 25 May 2007 12:42 - 606 of 2350

Desperate sellers willing to get 5.5p now. Idiots or clever clogs? Remains to be seen but I suspect the former at this price.

john50 - 25 May 2007 17:54 - 607 of 2350

Finished 0.50 down but 62k more buys than sells

explosive - 29 May 2007 21:41 - 608 of 2350

Those RNS announcements may take some time, look at the history this company has with announcements! Been in this many years now and yes progress has been made very slowly.... One day is the story of this share so anyone looking for a multibagger this year, well I wouldn't hold yer breath.

ptholden - 29 May 2007 21:48 - 609 of 2350

Very frustrating for all holders. I'm actually quite looking forward to updating the Header, hope it's with the expected good news and not a total management disaster. Personally, I'm still banking on the former rather than the latter, but then as a shareholder I would, wouldn't I?

explosive - 29 May 2007 22:05 - 610 of 2350

The company has the elements required to grow and this one looks good on paper. The problem is as its always been, with the board. Lets not forget that they are responsible for getting Sefton where it is today. They just don't seam to have mastered how to shout all the good points to the market! I would love to see an investors pack or even the old dallas looking website updated!!..

RAS - 30 May 2007 10:53 - 611 of 2350

The finance package is the key here. If they can just get it, this will transform the company from two cowboys sitting looking at an oilfield into a dynamic operation, drilling wells, doing deals. It can't do anything without these funds. Revenue from production covers operating expenses and admin and sometimes even allows a bit of cash to spend on an extra storage tank or two, or some new pumps etc. But they need $millions at their disposal if they're going to do anything worthwhile.

If they can only announce that they have signed a deal for a few $million credit line, this company will transform over night.

We wait with baited breath!

driver - 04 Jun 2007 16:16 - 612 of 2350

This from the other side PANR up 84% today to SER

Still, the fact remains JJ that PANR has risen 77% to a market cap of 12m on news of a net 12bpd and 1.1mbbls equivalent compared to SER's 150bpd and 7.6mbbls. Those are the cold, hard figures.

(SER) NEXT

RAS - 07 Jun 2007 11:29 - 613 of 2350

Well i've added some more this morning. Gone dirt cheap again.

driver - 07 Jun 2007 11:32 - 614 of 2350

RAS
Results out soon hope there is news on the financing in it, we have been waiting far to long.

Greyhound - 07 Jun 2007 11:35 - 615 of 2350

interesting driver. If we could only get on with getting it out we might see some value added.

driver - 07 Jun 2007 11:41 - 616 of 2350

From the other side.

From: xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Saturday, June 02, 2007 9:10 AM
To: gdillabaugh@seftonresources.com
Subject: sefton final results
Importance: High


Gary hi, not mailed you for a while, do we have a problem.......................

ie: "The Company is pleased to announce that Chantrey Vellacott DFK has been engaged
as the Company's auditors and we expect results to be released in April/May"

We are now past your stated period, this happened last year and does not encourage confidence in the company.

regards Graham.

REPLY:......................

Hi Graham

We await the final sign off by the auditors which is anticipated shortly and a press announcement will then be made. The delays are frustrating for all of us but some things are beyond our control.

Thanks for your continued interest in Sefton.
Kind regards,
Gary

rhino213 - 07 Jun 2007 16:42 - 617 of 2350

diplomats answer there.

see how he appears to answer the question but actually tells us nothing at all. A very useful skill to have.

I think we're looking at the end of june/early july here.

Greyhound - 07 Jun 2007 16:48 - 618 of 2350

rhino, let's hope june/july - which year did you have in mind!

RAS - 07 Jun 2007 16:50 - 619 of 2350

rhino, greyhound,

The stock market rules state that Sefton must get their results out by the end of June ie 6 months after the year end, or they will be suspended.

Still 3 weeks to go until then though.

Greyhound - 07 Jun 2007 16:55 - 620 of 2350

I suspect the results will just come out with no notice once they've had the sign off.

canary9 - 08 Jun 2007 08:25 - 621 of 2350

MRP placing announcement today was deeply discounted......must be very difficult to raise money in this market for small exploration and production companies!!!!
Same could happen here....hence SP dropping perhaps!

RAS - 08 Jun 2007 10:37 - 622 of 2350

canary,

Big difference is, MRP doesn't produce and has no revenue.

Sefton produces, is cashflow positive and has around $3m revenue per year, therefore can pay interest on debt finance and also has proven developed (ie producing) assets to borrow against.

Having said that worst case scenario if Sefton did a smallish discounted placing just enough to fund the drilling of a few wells and start steaming I still think the market would react positively, as the increased revenue from the new wells and steaming would allow them to be self funding or if not be in a much better position to get debt finance.

Basically SER is priced to do nowt at the moment imo, its at base level. No progress whatsoever is priced in imo, so anything that leads to progress will add considerable value.

You will also notice that MRP is recovering now from this morning's drop as people realise that this placing, although at a big discount, is what will enable the company to finally move onto production as laid out in their RNS.

canary9 - 08 Jun 2007 11:48 - 623 of 2350

Thanks RAS, I have small investments in both companies as I like the propects for such low Mkt Cap exploration companies that are starting to build their production. I follow your logic, except clearly MRP could not convince the backers of that....or the backers are getting greedy and making up for losses on previous placings!
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