http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/cn_business_columnists_punter/displayarticle.asp?id=455477
Private Punter - October 13
WHILE the Chancellor-in-waiting delivered something of a sobering speech last week, various sectors on the stock market reacted by moving in different directions.
The main forward drivers, which culminated in a positive end to the week for blue chip stocks, came predominantly from oil, gas and mining companies, where some recent lost ground was clawed back.
Lower down in these sectors, some smaller players also attracted buyers, particularly those with gold interests on the back of a sustained recovery in the price of the metal.
One company in particular has caught my eye and, despite shares having already jumped from 60p to a current 95p in the last six weeks, I believe there could be much more upside to come.
While many junior miners and explorers are bereft of achieving substantial production through lack of funds, Highland Gold by contrast appears to be an exception to rule.
With a current market capital of 300m, Highland has seen its income grow rapidly in recent years, jumping from 42m in 2004 to last year's impressive 103m. In addition, the recent interim results were upbeat while the strong balance sheet is supported by 118m in cash. Given what appears to be such a fast-growing company that is adequately funded, one might ask the question why the shares are substantially below their 3.30 peak achieved some three years back.
The answer to this most likely lies in the fact that Highland's operations and assets are located deep in the easternmost reaches of Russia.
Seasoned investors will always be wary of the region, particularly as a number of other listed companies have endured challenges to the legitimacy of their assets. Here, Highland has to a degree been no different, having had its own personal spats with the Russian regulators a few years back. But any problems appeared to have been ironed out and the company has already witnessed a 14% jump in gold production at its Mnogovershinnoye Mine for the first six months of the year, which saw some 78,000oz of gold produced. While Mnogovershinnoye is currently its principal producing operation, Highland has recently commissioned its second project, the Novo mine, which although jointly owned, should generate strong returns.
The mine is expected to produce over 1.5m ounces of gold over its lifetime and will initially provide some 38,000oz along with 750,000oz of silver as well as a substantial amount of zinc concentrate.
However, the potential upside does not stop here as the proven gold-producing Taseevskoye mine is yet to come along with several other exploration areas. The most promising of these may well be the Unkurtash project which has substantial estimated reserves of more than 5m ounces of gold.
Although Highland, with its head office based in Jersey, appears to be at the much riskier end of investing, it could well deliver significant returns in the coming years. Interestingly, there are some punchy investors on board here including Standard Life, which has a 3.5% holding, although that was diluted down from 8% a couple of years back.
This arose when Roman Abramovich, better known for his interests in Chelsea Football Club, acquired a substantial stake at 1.60 per share via his investment vehicle Millhouse. That set him back around 200m for a 33% holding and he is closely followed by the major Canadian mining company, Barrick Corp, which sits on 20% of Highland.