proptrade
- 14 Jun 2004 11:58
anyone got any ideas about the block trades that went through today?
website:
http://www.sterlingenergyplc.com/
weather: www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/084938.shtml?50wind120
cynic
- 18 Nov 2006 08:43
- 6556 of 7811
sww .... thanks m8; same conclusion from different angles, though i happily admit yours is based more on research than mine ..... the markets aren't always clairvoyant, but it is amazing how often they are .... this is the reason why it often pays to buy shares that are rocketing (for good reason rather than hype), and to avoid those that are plummeting (until they perhaps find solid foundation at a much lower level)
seawallwalker
- 18 Nov 2006 08:50
- 6557 of 7811
cynic, thanks, I will understand that one day.
It a good philosophy if I can apply it.
I am finding that I need to do less research otherwise I am prone to knee jerk reactions.
In respect of Sterling, I definitely know too much about this Company and therefore am aware of the possible pitfalls.
That makes me see them happening when probably they are not if you understand what I am trying to say.
Sterling is heavily dependant on Chinguetti being a success, and currently it's not that's a fact.
That's why the sp is where it is.
cynic
- 18 Nov 2006 09:23
- 6558 of 7811
i see no reason to buy either ..... much happier with TLW and BUR, though I am getting a bit bored with that one so may cut at least part of my holding ...... oil prices are currently heading sharply south too, along with other commdotiy prices ..... ergo, not really the right sectors to be in, unless there are specific situations - e.g. questionably/arguably GOO and CHP
Currently I do not hold any mining stocks either, though it just may be that gold (precious metals) may buck the general commdoity malaise.
The indices (Dow and FTSE) make interesting punts at the moment, though they can be a bit scary ...... Stops work fine, but of course can annoyingly cut in prematurely
seawallwalker
- 18 Nov 2006 10:54
- 6559 of 7811
Posted by emptyend on TMF
Starts:- Interesting to read the FT comment today on oil prices!.....
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/a00ddb1a-76a9-11db-8284-0000779e2340.html
"US crude prices dropped below $55 a barrel yesterday, their lowest level for 17 months, as anxiety and weakness spread across the commodities complex this week."
....ie across the very liquid contacts which the hedge funds and others had mainly been speculating on.....
"False rumours that crude storage facilities at Cushing in Louisiana, the delivery point for the West Texas Intermediate contract, were full, triggered selling on Thursday. The rumours underlined market concerns about excessive levels of US crude stocks and selling was also encouraged by concerns about mild winter weather in the northern hemisphere."
You know what I think?.....plain, straightforward market manipulation games between investment banks and hedge funds, ahead of a contract expiry! Obviously someone somewhere was a forced seller of the Dec contract in some size - and IMO someone somewhere else worked out that they could short the market profitably by manipulating it [via a combination of large shorts and false rumours] over a couple of days. Standard investment banking tricks - when they think they can get away with such things [which they usually can, of course, because the wholesale markets are "consenting adults" markets - assuming one ignores collateral damage elsewhere] ends
HTH to understand what's happening to oil prices this week gone.
cynic
- 18 Nov 2006 11:03
- 6560 of 7811
America certainly seems far more lax in its control of false stories than would be allowed over here ..... For all that, I never buy into all the conspiracy theories that seem to abound on this BB ...... No price, whether share or commodity, can rise inexorably and without correction ...... Ultimately, market forces prevail - i.e. supply and demand ...... surely there is no need to expand on that?
seawallwalker
- 18 Nov 2006 11:09
- 6561 of 7811
No.
Just posted it for a balance.
Applies to Tullow of course which I also hold.
queen1
- 18 Nov 2006 12:32
- 6562 of 7811
Cynic & SWW - As I said, all IMO. And I'm not buying at present but I am holding. In fact I bought in at 7p and have held ever since. Long term I still see a bright future for SEY. Day-to-day volatility will always be there to unnerve holders. I agree that it's not a raging buy at present although I see no reason whatsoever to sell. Hold I shall then :-)
cynic
- 18 Nov 2006 15:02
- 6563 of 7811
or you may think it worthwhile to sell into any rally and buying better quality
queen1
- 18 Nov 2006 17:06
- 6564 of 7811
You may, or you may be happy with your current portfolio mix :-)
seawallwalker
- 18 Nov 2006 17:35
- 6565 of 7811
lol queen1.
I like that.
I'm never happy myself, always something I bought and can't work out why?
I makes for some excitement some times though, especially when one of them was Langbar!!!!
I almost but not quite believed the story there and actually bought some, then some poor kind soul posted a link to show the deposit from Brazil to ABN Amro, and would not answer my question as to what was I looking at?
That was when I realised it was most likely a scam.
The there was PRE and the Danbury Dome. That was another good one, lots of blarney there, nearly cost me a lot of money.
Then there was......... I could go on, but that's why I have trimmed my portfolio of most of the one's I bought when I was bored. Not a good discplined way to trade but there you go.
cynic
- 18 Nov 2006 17:42
- 6566 of 7811
nor is just hanging on to a stock in the vague hope it may go up ...... frankly, i see nothing very enticing about SEY, especially in the current climate of falling crude prices
seawallwalker
- 18 Nov 2006 19:24
- 6567 of 7811
Exactly why I had a clear out.
stockdog
- 18 Nov 2006 21:16
- 6568 of 7811
SWW, Cynic, Queen - Talking of charting - rather than H&S of the last few months, actually I see Three Bumps and a Craggy Mountain of the last two years - we've just come back down to the level of the bumps before the mountain, according to classic theory, which is actually a new quite strong base of support.
We'll see.
Main article of MoneyWeek this weeek is a number of commentators expressing doubts about the continued commodity bull, incl. oil.
We'll see.
seawallwalker
- 19 Nov 2006 08:33
- 6569 of 7811
Post image did not work.
queen1
- 19 Nov 2006 14:10
- 6570 of 7811
SWW - I've had more dogs in my portfolio over the years than Battersea have in their home so I know where you're coming from :-)
Cynic - Apt nickname. IMO there's more than a vague hope that SEY will go up but as ever only time will tell.
Stockdog - Nice image!
maddoctor
- 19 Nov 2006 14:44
- 6571 of 7811
if this were a head and shoulders then sey would be heading to 0p - more likely at present in previous congestion and could go anywhere
seawallwalker
- 19 Nov 2006 16:31
- 6572 of 7811
maddoctor - who are you to talk, you're mad!
Seriously, ta is fine but e & p oilers are news driven so lets await some news then that's good.
Meantime it may be stuck in a very narrow channel, of course if oil drops more then the H & S may well apply.
(As usual dyor and don't depend on others for advice what to do).
seawallwalker
- 20 Nov 2006 08:11
- 6573 of 7811
For information only posted over the road on advfn
Starts:- This news is 2 days old.
"An army general in Madagascar has declared military rule in the country."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/6161398.stm
Before anyone panics here is what JLP say this morning.
"Media Report 18 November 2006 on Madagascar
Jubilee announces that it is aware of a media report alleging a possible coup
could have occurred in Madagascar.
The Company has made stringent enquiries of its advisers, employees and
consultants resident and operating in Madagascar, both in the regions and the
capital Antananarivo. The Company has received unanimous assurances from the
aforementioned that the capital and surrounding areas are peaceful and that
business is as normal."
And it looks like its all over..........
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/low/world/africa/2781291.stm
I wonder why JLP commneted at all?
All the same these African Nations, always someone wanting to be the Boss. -Ends
cynic
- 20 Nov 2006 08:21
- 6574 of 7811
love it ..... "a media report alleging a possible coup could have occurred" .... doesn't get much more unsubstantiated than that!
seawallwalker
- 20 Nov 2006 08:24
- 6575 of 7811
Incredibly vague......
The arrest of the leader is a bit of the same.
Funny old game news reporting.
BBC as well!
Slipping standards.
Still, there's a 4% drop in JLP, and that's the only news reported, so it has had an effect.
Sterling looking weak, but it may have nothing to do with Madagascar.