Buy DS Smith for long term gains
The FTSE 250 listed packaging group has a good first half with profits up sharply, says Questor
First half pre-tax profits jumped 45pc to £123m, despite revenue falling 5pc on the euro’s weakness
First half pre-tax profits jumped 45pc to £123m, despite revenue falling 5pc on the euro’s weakness Photo: ALAMY
By John Ficenec, Questor Editor
11:49AM GMT 05 Dec 2014
DS Smith
303.8p+15.4p
Questor says BUY
DS SMITH’s first-half profits beat market expectations, sending shares in the recycled packaging group up more than 5pc yesterday.
Investors were rewarded with a 16pc increase in the interim dividend, and Questor thinks the shares are worth hanging on to for future gains.
The FTSE 250-listed company is operating in some very tough European markets, but online shopping and discount retailers are driving sales higher.
DS Smith generates about 65pc of its earnings in Europe, while more than 70pc of its revenue comes from outside of the UK.
Economic conditions across Europe are subdued. However, Miles Roberts, chief executive, is confident on the company’s outlook: “Packaging has never been more important for our customers.”
The recycled packaging maker’s customers include Procter & Gamble, Nestlé and Unilever, who demand boxes that hold products in a “shelf-ready” format. DS Smith can charge more for these boxes as they reduce costs for retailers, who in turn need fewer staff to stack shelves.
Transporting food long distances and keeping it fresh on shelves for longer will see more plastic and boxes being used in stores.
The boom in online retailing is also increasing the demand for cardboard packaging. The material remains the cheapest and easiest method to transport individually wrapped items through the post.
The like-for-like volume of packaging that DS Smith sold increased by 2.3pc during the six months ended October. Pre-tax profits jumped 45pc to £123m, despite revenue falling 5pc on the euro’s weakness.
DS Smith has been reducing costs since it paid €1.6bn (£1.35bn) for Swedish rival SCA in 2012. The deal increased DS Smith’s exposure across northern Europe, with the company now generating three-quarters of its sales from the continent as a whole.
The profit performance was 15pc ahead of analysts’ expectations, with a particularly strong performance in central Europe, Italy and the UK.
The sharp increase in profits meant the profit margin for the group rose 120 basis points to 8.9pc, towards the top end of company’s targeted range.
DS Smith can continue to increase shareholder returns against a tough European backdrop. It is now selling more cardboard boxes at a faster rate and at a higher profit margin, even after adjusting for additional sales from the SCA acquisition.
DS Smith is generating plenty of cash, and net debt – total debt less cash – has fallen to £694m, down £133m from a year ago. Those debt levels don’t look that risky against a balance sheet net asset value of £1.13bn at the end of October.
Investors are enjoying a decent income stream from DS Smith and the interim dividend was increased from 3.2p to 3.7p, ex-dividend April 5 and payable May 1.
The shares provide a full-year prospective dividend yield of 3.8pc, with payouts having increased about 12pc a year for the past four years.
With its finances looking reasonably robust, DS Smith is looking to expand into new markets. The company has recently purchased a Spanish packaging company and has signed a letter of intent. The deal, if completed, would expand the company into Turkey.
Shares in DS Smith have risen 17pc since Questor said they looked oversold on August 7 at 259.6p. However, there could be more gains to come. The shares trade on 12.2 times forecast earnings, falling to 11.3 times next year, which is in line with packaging sector peers on about 12 times forecast earnings.
DS Smith is growing earnings and the dividend by double digits, while the cash on the balance sheet also provides options for growth or returns. Buy.