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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

cynic - 11 Jul 2007 21:13 - 684 of 2350

and here's mine .... no I'm not having a dig (sorry about the pun), but purely on the back of PT's analaysis, as already posted on TA thread

SER .... so here's my basic analysis ...... chart below shows that though sp has decidedly pierced 25 dma, it has promptly fallen foul fo 200 dma, a much more potent resistance.


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

ptholden - 11 Jul 2007 21:44 - 685 of 2350

It's not the first time Cynic and I do wonder how much credence can be applied to MAs when dealing with stocks of this nature?

explosive - 11 Jul 2007 22:40 - 686 of 2350

I think the time frame is wrong for a start, use at least one showing from consolidation. What you have then is a stronger position, no difference in sp and traveling through time positive RNS's to fuel an upward trend. The 3 month snap shot above only reiterates investor lack of confidence on the run up to news. Each view to their own though!!

cynic - 12 Jul 2007 07:32 - 687 of 2350

i only used a 3 month chart as it is so much easier to see clearly the point i was making ...... had i shown a 3 year chart, all the lines would have been too close together.

if you wish to view a different chart, then why don't you post one?

RAS - 12 Jul 2007 13:51 - 688 of 2350

I have always found anything but trendlines, and sometimes RSI/Williams to be completely useless on this stock. Yes, it may have bounced off the 200dma once, but zoom out a bit and the 200dma looks irrelevant. You only have to take a look at a longer term chart of SER to see it has never really followed well defined trends or patterns. Having said that, if it breaks through and stays above the 50,100,200 etc sma then that will signal a change in trend. But you wouldn't need a chart to tell you when that happens as SER rises very fast when it rises.

cynic - 12 Jul 2007 14:02 - 689 of 2350

the caveat re charts on minnows and newcos has already been posted by both PT and myself ...... SER is not for me, but i shall watch with interest

RAS - 17 Jul 2007 09:50 - 690 of 2350

Why not and why?

john50 - 17 Jul 2007 20:24 - 691 of 2350

From advfn

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john50 - 17 Jul 2007 20:33 - 692 of 2350

http://www.bry.com/index.php?page=oilprices&direction=3Years&day=17&month=07&year=2007

Tapia Oil now at $65 a barrel

halifax - 17 Jul 2007 20:38 - 693 of 2350

Why don't you guys wake up to the reality that you are flogging a dead horse. Look at the chart from 2001!

ptholden - 17 Jul 2007 21:01 - 694 of 2350

Dead horse if you have been in since 2001, I haven't. Next few weeks will tell if it's going to get going again or not. Downtrend res to get through from the last spike, fails that test then it's time for pastures anew.

RAS - 18 Jul 2007 08:38 - 695 of 2350

Look lads, halifax, I used to hold these for most of the last year then sold out after the results. But I have now bought back and will buy more in the next few days while the price is at this level.

The company has announced that financing is now weeks away , this is the key to this share turning from dead horse into phoenix bird.

halifax, the chart from 2001 shows the past - now it's time to look forwards and make some money.

driver - 18 Jul 2007 08:45 - 696 of 2350

Welcome back ras, as you say a time to accumulate not reflect on the past SER are now in an excellent position to multi bag.

halifax - 18 Jul 2007 10:09 - 697 of 2350

In this case the chart from 2001 proves that history has had the habit of repeating itself!!

RAS - 18 Jul 2007 10:29 - 698 of 2350

Yeah right, whatever Mr halifax.

I bet you know next to nothing about the history of this share, or what it has been doing over the past 6 months, or what it is about to do.

Get doing your research and stop looking at charts from 6 years ago.

potatohead - 18 Jul 2007 11:38 - 699 of 2350

Driver
MGI pharma webcast tonight mate.. it could be finally the news we are waiting for.. according to OD on the darkside zyc300 enrollments was almost complete, they only had 1 more person to enroll, this is according to mgi.. not ERX.. this was last week.. they also said they are looking to enroll a further 10 people.. so looks extremly positive..

driver - 18 Jul 2007 13:31 - 700 of 2350

PH
Cheers

explosive - 18 Jul 2007 14:34 - 701 of 2350

Halifax if the chart from 2001 proves that history is going to repeat itself then we should be expecting another blowout!

RAS - 18 Jul 2007 14:43 - 702 of 2350

lol. And presumably another 300% dilution with HB and CE?

explosive - 18 Jul 2007 16:19 - 703 of 2350

RAS now they were the good old days on this one, after dilution you could buy cheap and sell high with the volitile swings in the market..... Now its a case of waiting for news!!
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