Velocity
- 20 Jan 2005 21:49
I suspect trading tomorrow will probably answer this conundrum, but I know there are some far wiser owls than me that contribute to this bb & I would be interested in their opinions.
My question is this: the chart below looks to me like a pullback of the uptrend (ie when it went north through 14.00) however I am unsure as it has now broken down through 14.00 whether this is trending up or down :-(
So what do you think - up or down, or should I just flip a coin :-)) ?
skinny
- 14 Feb 2013 09:11
- 699 of 960
Looking good Houston!
Chris Carson
- 14 Feb 2013 15:18
- 700 of 960
Out for now on the spreads @ 110.9 + 23.1
HARRYCAT
- 18 Feb 2013 12:54
- 701 of 960
Merrill Lynch note:
"Man has bounced very sharply of late. We think there are three potential explanations for this.
Normalisation. Our view is that Man’s “normalised” earnings power is well ahead of its current run rate, and that if it shows any signs of returning to this sort of level, it is extremely cheap. If current financial conditions represent normalisation elsewhere (as we think they do), then this happy day could be approaching.
AHL. Historically, Man has responded as AHL has approached performance fee territory. We show a chart of AHL later in this note, but in summary, the strategy has performed strongly this year (up around 3.7% judged by the daily fund the company reports), and is around 9% below performance fee territory.
Restructuring. There is also, apparently, a theory that the company’s new CEO, Manny Roman, will “do something” at the company’s FY 12 results. Broadly, we believe the first two arguments. The first is what lies behind our buy case on Man. We don’t really believe the third, as it is in our view hard to see what exactly the company could do that it is not already doing."
HARRYCAT
- 26 Feb 2013 14:52
- 702 of 960
Might be worth a dabble if this drops sub 100p?
goldfinger
- 26 Feb 2013 16:02
- 703 of 960
Wouldnt that mean it had dropped below its 25 day EMA Harry?.
Bad sign if that happens imo.
HARRYCAT
- 26 Feb 2013 17:48
- 704 of 960
It did the same at 90p and bounced back strongly, so not sure if the 25 is much of a barrier either way.
HARRYCAT
- 28 Feb 2013 08:23
- 706 of 960
RESULTS FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2012
Key points
· Funds under management (FUM) at 31 December 2012 of $57.0 billion (31 December 2011: $58.4 billion)
· Sales of $12.8 billion, redemptions of $20.1 billion, FRM acquisition $8.3 billion, investment movement of $1.3 billion, FX translation effects of $(0.3) billion and other movements, principally guaranteed product de-gears, of $(3.4) billion
· Adjusted profit before tax (PBT) of $278 million, comprising adjusted net management fee PBT of $223 million and net performance fee PBT of $55 million
· Further impairment of GLG goodwill ($746 million) in addition to the impairment reported at 30 June 2012 of $233 million (GLG $91 million and Man Multi-Manager $142 million)
· Statutory loss before tax for the year ended 31 December 2012 of $745 million, reflecting impairment of goodwill and other adjusting items
· $95 million of operating cost savings announced in January 2012 have been delivered
· Further annual cost savings of $100 million announced in July 2012 are on track for delivery by the end of 2013
· Surplus regulatory capital of $795 million at 31 December 2012
· Proposed final dividend of 12.5 cents per share; total dividend for the year expected to be 22 cents
Manny Roman, Chief Executive Officer of Man, said:
"2012 was another tough year for Man. Trading conditions were highly challenging as markets continued to be dominated by political uncertainties in Europe and the US and macroeconomic risks. Investor appetite remained muted and as expected there was a further decline in Man's product margin mix and revenues.
Management's priority last year was to maintain the focus on delivering investment performance for our investors, while reducing our cost base to a level which reflects the economics of a reduced and different mix of asset flows. On both counts we made good progress.
As of mid-February 2013, most of our strategies were off to a good start and there is no doubt investor sentiment has improved somewhat. The number of requests for proposals and the pipeline of new mandates have increased to a degree. However, given the lead time required by institutional investors to invest, gross sales are likely to remain muted in the first half and we are yet to see a slow down in the rate of redemptions.
We have introduced changes to senior management to further enhance Man's focus on investment performance. We will maintain our efforts to make Man lean and efficient. We have identified areas where over the medium term we can build and enhance our investment platform and deliver profitable growth for our shareholders. This gives grounds for cautious optimism for the medium term, but there should be no doubt that business conditions remain very tough. We will continue to focus on delivering performance for our investors; from that, all else flows."
Dividend
The Board confirms that it will recommend a final dividend of 12.5 cents per share for the financial year to 31 December 2012, giving a total dividend of 22 cents per share for the year. This dividend will be paid at the rate of 8.26 pence per share.(ex-divi 24th Apr 2013)"
Chris Carson
- 28 Feb 2013 12:25
- 707 of 960
Went short @ 105.92 on the spreads, target 95.0, stop now at entry for risk free trade.
Chris Carson
- 04 Mar 2013 08:10
- 708 of 960
Target hit and out for now @ 95.0
menorca1
- 06 Mar 2013 11:52
- 709 of 960
KEEP an EYE @ 99.60p
Retracement done and now moving forward after bullish Candlestik de last couple days ( morning start ). Share price bouncing from 50 days MA.
skinny
- 06 Mar 2013 12:03
- 710 of 960
MRSI - where is the fibonacci chart option on advfn please?
menorca1
- 06 Mar 2013 13:10
- 711 of 960
Wanting to break 100p once again was at 100p offer a couple minutes ago, should be poistive if it does soon.
menorca1
- 06 Mar 2013 13:20
- 712 of 960
All the Indicators looking positive as the are bouncing from oversold position
Share price kept ( bounce from ) the UPTREND bottom trendline
Dil
- 07 Mar 2013 01:35
- 713 of 960
Interesting , general market remains bullish then could be looking at an easy 40% upside within 3-6 months.
menorca1
- 07 Mar 2013 08:11
- 714 of 960
A full penny up for starters and moving well over 100p, yesterday at the end was the market drop that brought down the stock.
Very volatile at the start as usual on the order book
skinny
- 07 Mar 2013 08:13
- 715 of 960
MRSI - see post 710.
menorca1
- 08 Mar 2013 09:16
- 716 of 960
I had a closer look at the 5 days chart and I am reaching the conclution
Someone or a group of shorters are taking a short position every time the share price reaches or close enough 100p.
Most likley they know if it breaks that point the share price will move againts them so they have to supported taking further short
Chris Carson
- 08 Mar 2013 09:44
- 717 of 960
menorca - I am not a chartist, does the gap to 91ish have any significence or is it totally irrelevant?
Chris Carson
- 11 Mar 2013 11:22
- 718 of 960
No reply your worship.