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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 14:16 - 712 of 2350

He wont, I have already been in contact with Ian at MoneyAM, he sent me this link which two of the conditions would wash him away - http://www.moneyam.com/tandc/contentstandards.php

kkeith2000 - 19 Jul 2007 14:46 - 713 of 2350

Hello Mine Man its nice to hear from you and welcome

moonshine - 19 Jul 2007 14:46 - 714 of 2350

Hi MM, nice to hear from you.

Presume you know who RAS is?

SECRUOSER - 19 Jul 2007 14:47 - 715 of 2350

Hi Mine Man. Hows it going?

explosive - 19 Jul 2007 15:12 - 716 of 2350

SER doing a BLR?? Can't see that one, SER is a share with alot of value so any rises will be small over a sustained time period inline with oil prices...

RAS - 19 Jul 2007 15:28 - 717 of 2350

Well it's never done that before explosive, so that doesn't seem to be the way it works at all.

I think it will do a BLR when news that the finance package is completed comes out.

The market doesn't believe this will ever happen at the moment, hence the low price.

Maybe once they have the finance and have started drilling, and the price is more like 10-12p or more, it will start to rise slowly over time like you suggest.

capetown - 19 Jul 2007 15:36 - 718 of 2350

It needs to do a BLR to get back to pre consolidation levels i believe,BLR did.

explosive - 19 Jul 2007 15:41 - 719 of 2350

RAS - The point I was making was even with finance and more wells the underlined reserve will still be the same, SER will only increase its rate of production. I personally don't think this will cause any significant jump in the sp. Lets see what financing deal SER can get with the recent interest rate hikes and strength of the $... Of cousre should another reserve be discovered of commercial interest then great but I suspect the field has been well analysed for such a find in the past.

RAS - 19 Jul 2007 15:49 - 720 of 2350

I think that the key to future value in the short-medium term is increased revenues and profits from Tapia. The reserves may stop it going any lower but the fact is if they get production up to say 400 bpd, with their exceptionally low ltr costs they should be making a profit of around 2.5m per year, which justifies a shareprice of around 25p on it's own.

In addition to this you have the higher risk/higher reward of the CBM on which they are making headway and the blue-sky potential of Eureka Canyon with possibility of undiscovered deep reserves. Both these sides of the business will also be unlocked by the big increase in cashflow from increasing the production at Tapia.

So it all boils down to getting this finance package, which is why I say it is so important and will get the shareprice out of this rut for good :)

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 16:07 - 721 of 2350

Hi Moon et al! Well, what a shambles over on the dark side lol! (for those that post there).

The SP is really in the dumps considering the promise of finance, which is now less than the 'weeks away' than it was last week!

moonshine - 19 Jul 2007 16:08 - 722 of 2350

Any guesses?

13/07/07 16:54 5.25 436,000 O 5.25 6.0 Sell 8,050 467,204 0
13/07/07 16:28 5.75 436,000 K 4.75 5.5 ? 0 0 0

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 16:10 - 723 of 2350

I am going to grab a few grands worth in a min if the price is right :O)

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 16:12 - 724 of 2350

Just added another 62,180 and it didn't even blink blue lol!

moonshine - 19 Jul 2007 16:15 - 725 of 2350

Somethings definitely going on, I don't think I have ever seen them enabling such large volume trades before this week.

SECRUOSER - 19 Jul 2007 16:19 - 726 of 2350

The online sell limit has jumped from 15k@4.75p to 250k+@4.85p, so looking a lot better.
Can still buy 300k for 5.18p though.

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 16:26 - 727 of 2350

I got the 62,1980 at .518 online with Selftrade, I was going to ring and see if I could squeeze a bit more but thought it may go back to 5p on the bid whilst they were phaffing about doing the order!

moonshine - 19 Jul 2007 16:46 - 728 of 2350

3M B trade now??

REDHILL - 19 Jul 2007 17:13 - 729 of 2350

Hi all. Broker to broker.Normally means a new MM will appear soon.

Mine Man - 19 Jul 2007 17:15 - 730 of 2350

Hey Moon, I bet they will all think that is me throwing the dummy out lol!

moonshine - 19 Jul 2007 17:19 - 731 of 2350

For sure, MM. It has been said! ;-)
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