Sharesure
- 30 Jun 2007 18:48
Amerisur Resources is exploring for oil and gas in South America, currently in Colombia and later it plans to exploit its licences in Paraguay. It has a new Board of Directors and following a recent Placing at 6p (250m shares) sufficient cash to see through its current drilling plans and carry out some further corporate asset improvement opportunities.
Valuation of Amerisur Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on c.800m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $70/barrel is 0.75p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved in the ground.
Amerisur (formerly Chaco Resources) now has two exploration blocks in Colombia which it is currently evaluating and preparing to drill, one of these in the last quarter of 2007. It has also applied for further blocks in Colombia which are also believed to offer near term production. It also has three substantial areas in Paraguay and is awaiting news on a fourth. The next six months (May-November 2008) should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company to becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. Any potential reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.
Platinillo, Colombia :
100% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Previously this a well flowed at 533 b/d before it was capped.Modern extraction methods may achieve up to double this output/well. Drilling completed for assessment and details of reserve figures and resumption of production daily figures awaited at Dec.2009. (Some guessestimates suggest the field might contain as much as 70m-100m barrels.)
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Tigra/Fenix block
100%% Further 3D seismic is completed; previous drilling has resulted in 30,000 barrels of oil from this block. Other blocks nearby in the Magdalena basin have also produced well. Drilled 11/2009; optimistic RNS (17 leads to follow)but reserve figures awaited
RNS :Expect further news on this block imminently and maybe a JV or other arrangement to speed up the timescale to production
Additional blocks to be announced
New local management team, in particular the CEO, is reputed to have some excellent contacts which will bring some high quality blocks to Amerisur in the coming months.
Curupayty Block, Paraguay :
1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.
RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.
San Pedro Block, Paraguay :
1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.
RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.
Parana Basin, Paraguay :
Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.
RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with Amerisur
Corporate Activity : The new Chairman is believed to have been brought on board to prove some or all of the existing Colombian assets and get these oil producing, arrange a JV on the Paraguayan assets before negotiating a sale of the company as consolidation of explorers in the region continues. An exit sp north of 1.00 over the next 12 months might be a reasonable target provided the drilling programme lives up to expectations, the price of oil remains at/above current levels and an approach is made for the company.
bigwavedave
- 10 May 2008 10:34
- 758 of 3289
FT today (Sat):
Amerisur Resources , an oil and gas explorer and developer focused on South America, held firm at 6p in spite of rumours about a positive update from its Platanillo-2 well in Colombia.
capetown
- 11 May 2008 19:55
- 759 of 3289
Shame they did not tell us more of what the rumours actually are,but always good to have a mention,maybee some buying on monday as a direct result of this little snippet,#CHEERS BWD.
bigwavedave
- 11 May 2008 20:09
- 760 of 3289
capetown. No probs. I had the same thought re the rumours but I guess the FT could be referring to the general feeling that an update on flow rates etc is a long time coming. On one hand I cannot get excited about a one-liner even if it is in the FT. On the other, I think the timing is interesting and I don't think AMER has been mentioned in the FT before.
Moneylender
- 13 May 2008 09:14
- 761 of 3289
As its quiet sofar today, I have done some
revenue forcast for the first quarter. I have kept it very basic
as I am not an accountant.
Alea production 200bod
Plat2 production 400bod, estimated
Total 600bod
Period Jan through March
Total production 600X90daysX25%X$70(apx Oil price)
$945000= 472500 worst case scenario.
Increasing production to say 1000bod will give a revenue
of 787500
The journey has started!
M
capetown
- 14 May 2008 15:38
- 762 of 3289
Todays sellers must be convinced that no news is forthcoming that would make them want to at least hold,horrible sea of red today.
stockdog
- 14 May 2008 16:14
- 763 of 3289
All those larger trades showing as a sell could just be early (pre-8.45am) buys being reported late as above NMS of 100,000 - why else would the SP rise, unless an overhang has been cleared today?
razmun
- 14 May 2008 16:15
- 764 of 3289
i dont think all the sells shown are sells
razmun
- 14 May 2008 16:16
- 765 of 3289
sorry i had already posted before i realised stockdog had.
capetown
- 15 May 2008 12:30
- 766 of 3289
Shall i stay negative,that way the sp will keep rising?
Looks like the party is about to start.
dcb
- 15 May 2008 12:34
- 767 of 3289
Hope so, i've had these for over ywo years
capetown
- 15 May 2008 12:47
- 768 of 3289
dcb DITTO,we are the lucky ones,think about those that got in at 19p+,i hope they will be well rewarded too.
maggiebt4
- 15 May 2008 14:53
- 769 of 3289
So do I cos that'll be me!
capetown
- 15 May 2008 19:36
- 770 of 3289
maggie,i will DRNK TO THAT!!,good luck.
maggiebt4
- 15 May 2008 20:04
- 771 of 3289
You'll be able to afford to buy me one! :-)))))
capetown
- 15 May 2008 20:28
- 772 of 3289
DONE!
capetown
- 16 May 2008 11:21
- 773 of 3289
Let the music play.
sivad
- 16 May 2008 11:59
- 774 of 3289
I can tell you that once the news update is released -which is not now far away the current price will be a distant memory.
tudwick
- 16 May 2008 12:07
- 775 of 3289
Sivad, on (hopefully) a good update, what, in your opinion, would you expect the sp to creep up to initially ? I know it's obviously only guesswork, but interested to know your thoughts nonetheless please, if you're willing to
bigwavedave
- 16 May 2008 12:08
- 776 of 3289
sivad - as long as it goes in the right direction!
Seriously though, the wait has been long and frustrating. One can assume that various testing continued at Alea and seismics at Fenix have been completed/analysed. If their bullish tone of the Jan rns is justified then we should all have something to look foward to - increased flow rates etc? Further drill program? A neighbouring field is producing very nicely thank you - they cannot truck it out fast enough. Could do with the same kind of news here. The silence from the company has gone on long enough.
Sharesure
- 16 May 2008 13:39
- 777 of 3289
This does look like news is getting close to being announced - about time. If 'the sweeper', who has supported this stock for so long, is to be believed the newsflow which should start to be released soon is excellent.Just hope he isn't talking his book.