.

Cheers Cynic.....let's hope that a good flow test is announced soon !....

and i wasn't really joking about owing you a drink .... where are you based?

In England.....but have lived abroad......sorry....can't give too much info.....

Interesting post from "oilfarmer" over on III :


Re: Upgrade of Contingent Resources to 2P Reserves

PLUS the Upgrade of Prospective Resources to Contingent Resources

The Original Feb2009 RPS CPR showed an Upside Contingent Resource of 166MMbbls for Bentley Field alone – see below!!

This specifically EXCLUDED East Bentley [referred to as Prospect A] AND the West Jurassic [referred to as LeadB] and it also Excluded the West Dornoch AND the South East Jurassic.

THEN later in 2009 - XEL declared that 3D Seismic implied the Bentley Field [Excl. East Bentley &c..] to be 200MMbbls – see below.

Now with 9/3b-6 the East Bentley [Lead A] has come into play as an "Upside structure"

Therefore 70MMbbls [the E/B Upside] I believe should be ADDed to the previous 200MMbbls!!

Then there remain to be accounted for:-

1. The West Jurassic [MMbbls tba]
2. The South East Jurassic [Oil Found in top 15ft - MMbbls tba]
3. The West Dornoch [MMbbls tba]
4. The East Bentley Gas Cap – if it Exists – to reduce OPEX by 5%

I therefore suggest the Upgraded Reserves [2P??] Figures for Bentley AND East Bentley will be declared at 270MMbbls.

This leaves W.Dornoch; WJurassic; and S/E Jurassic to be Declared as Prospective Resources. The East Bentley Gas Cap has also to be declared intact and commercially viable.

I have tracked the Build Up of these Resources from the RPS 2007 Resources Report to see how they have been - accounted for / not accounted for - in order to see where Reserves/Resources are going to end up!!

I suspect Next CPR will show 2p of 270MMbbls from Bentley AND East Bentley Combined

With Prospective Resources - from the other 3 Prospects [WD; WJ; and S/E Jurassic], being upgraded and declared as ADDITIONAL Contingent Resources.

Resources/Seismic LINKS below:-


1. RPS Energy 2007 Resources Report

http://www.xcite-energy.com/docs/XEL_RPS_NI51-101.pdf

2. RPS Energy February 2009 (CPR) - Competent Person’s Report

http://www.xcite-energy.com/docs/CPR09_release.pdf

3. Results of 3D Seismic

http://www.xcite-energy.com/news/XEL%203D%20Update%20v5%20Jun09%20clean.pdf


GLA/IMOHO/DYOR - Oilf.

no doubt the above will be translated into english at some point

however, as far as i understand things, the Bentley field has pretty much been determined as as very large ....... BUT because it is unsexy heavy oil, which inter alia requires quite significant doses of "viagra" early in its life to persuade it to flow, the key question for immediate answering is, "What is the flowrate like without this stimulation"

Ricardo, there is quite a lot of significant background information available in various research notes, this is an extract from Edisons (Oct 10). Naturally it doesn't answer the question of 'how will it flow?', but does give a flavour of the challenges.


The only well to be successfully tested to date in Bentley is 9/3b-5, drilled by Xcite in December 2007. The test was carried out in January 2008 and designed to recover oil to surface to prove fluid characteristics. The test string contained an electrical submersible pump (ESP), which was necessary as the viscous oil was not able to flow naturally. Stable flow rates were not achieved during the test, curtailed due to bad weather, but an average flow rate 109bopd was achieved, with a range of circa 100-250bopd.

Subsequent test data analysis by Xcite and Schlumberger showed that the well had a high skin (a measure of formation damage in the well). If the well is modelled for no damage and a full pay zone perforation, a corrected flow rate from the well would be 647bopd. (Note that this flow rate is for a vertical well. The CPR estimates that a rate of around 3,700bopd could be achievable for a horizontal well.) Comparison with the analogue field, Bressay, is also important. The stable flow rate achieved from Bressay 3/28a-2 well was over 3,200bopd from a 140 ft vertical section with similar oil. Xcite requires 1,200bopd from its 500m horizontal #6 well to prove the Bentley downside commerciality in the CPR, with 1,800bopd for base case and 2,400bopd for the upside case. Success with the #6 well will be measured in terms of both proving actual flow rate (as a function of the available well) as well as the ability to control the flow of oil to the surface.

thanks Peter .... F cold playing joke golf today; glad i'm off to sunnier climes for a week ..... looks a tricky call on XEL flowtest and certainly beyond my little brain's capability of calculating

thanks Peter .... F cold playing joke golf today; glad i'm off to sunnier climes for a week ..... looks a tricky call on XEL flowtest and certainly beyond my little brain's capability of calculating

Strong start, might we get much nearer 300p today ?

Well worth watching.


http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/stocktube/611/david-hart-of-westhouse-securities-takes-a-portfolio-approach-to-investing-in-exploration-stocks-611.html
David Hart of Westhouse Securities takes a portfolio approach to investing in exploration stocks

Monday, November 29, 2010

David Hart, Oil & Gas analyst at Westhouse Securities, tells Proactive Investors why a portfolio approach is better for investing in exploration companies. He looks at Petro Matad, Encore Oil, Nautical Petroleum, Xcite Energy, Rockhopper Exploration and Desire Petroleum...........

Betty is now underway to the rig..... at long last... :)

Its official.

Betty Knutsen to arrive Bentley field at 14:00 hours today. Info just updated as follows :


Voyage Related Info (Last Received)
Draught: 8.5 m
Destination: BENTLEY
ETA: 2010-11-30 14:00
Info Received: 2010-11-30 01:08 (0d, 0h 39min 56s ago)

Must admit I can't understand the child like behaviour of monitoring ship movements every minute of every day. XEL are expected to report the flow test results during the first week of dec and I'm quite happy they will ensure all is in place to achieve that deadline (including the sailing of the Betty).

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201011300700100056X

What a nice RNS, protecting shareholders rights. One gets the impression they are aware that someone is going to come steaming in with a cheap takeover the moment the new well completion design is proven and proves Bentley to be commercial.

Make them wait and pay the proper price, great foresight by the board.

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Mr. P ...Reg;Latest RNS ......the interpolation thus being that there are perhaps indeed predators lurking in the wings ? .....and who is to say what will constitute fair value ? ..For example would 400p be fair value ?. Personally i would bite thier hand off .....Furthermore this begs the question .Do you see the very need for such an RNS as indirectly implying the drill/ flow test will prove an odds on success ?

400???? ..... i don't think i'ld complain much either

200 MMBO recoverable with the tax incentives is worth 2 Billion US$.

I would accept 650p and no less.

Good post over on TMF

http://boards.fool.co.uk/xcite-go-with-the-flow--12109512.aspx?result=RecSuccess


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Cynic, hows the sunshine.,. can't see it myself as have head well and truly stuck in the ground....emu

really quite nice ..... even saw some of your cousins today in the game reserve ...... i've got a great pic which i may forward to Toya to post for me, unless one of you guys know how to do it (i did it once but it was hugely complicated for my ossified brain)