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Centamin Egypt : Worth waiting for... (CEY)     

pthwaite - 20 Sep 2004 10:27

CEY is a gold mining company operating in Egypt. It was ordered by the Egyptian Government to stop drilling pending a legal dispute brought against the company by a government minister.

Since then, the whole Government cabinet was replaced a few months ago and the minister now in charge of Mining is believed to be positive on Western investment in the country. CEY are pushing for this minister to allow them to continue drilling ASAP; investers are waiting....patiently.

As soon as the company gets the go-ahead to continue drilling, the share price will move north; CEY has plenty of gold in this mine and it is (apparantly) the case of "raking" it out rather than drilling for it!

Check them out...worthy of a punt.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

HARRYCAT - 14 Jun 2011 20:58 - 837 of 2354

hlyeo, I can think of a number of regimes that have been overthrown and the new government revoke the licences pending renegotiation. Not happened yet in the developed countries as far as I know, but never say never....!
Something, for sure, is depressing the CEY sp and it's not the price of gold, so if you don't like the 'political uncertainty' theory, what's your diagnosis?

required field - 18 Jun 2011 11:05 - 838 of 2354

Sharp rebound overdue here.......price of gold holding holding up well.....

required field - 21 Jun 2011 08:28 - 839 of 2354

Starting to rise....go baby go....

HARRYCAT - 21 Jun 2011 08:29 - 840 of 2354

Are you still in bed rf? ;o)

required field - 21 Jun 2011 08:30 - 841 of 2354

No.....but only just....

Balerboy - 21 Jun 2011 08:31 - 842 of 2354

lol....at his age????

required field - 21 Jun 2011 08:32 - 843 of 2354

Hoping for a serious rise here.....

Balerboy - 21 Jun 2011 08:36 - 844 of 2354

your getting one from harry and me.,.

dreamcatcher - 21 Jun 2011 15:32 - 845 of 2354

Can you keep that sort of thing private Bb. lol

HARRYCAT - 08 Jul 2011 08:33 - 846 of 2354

Sp seems to have settled around this level, so hopefully recovery on the way in a couple of months after elections.

aldwickk - 11 Jul 2011 07:43 - 847 of 2354

Sheba has reached agreement with Centamin on the terms of a recommended offer.

Centamin will purchase the entire issued and to be issued share capital of Sheba.

The Offer values Sheba at approximately 7.48m. (on a fully diluted basis), or 6.15p per Sheba Share, which represents a premium of approximately 124% to the closing price of Sheba Shares on 8 July 2011, being 2.75p.

HARRYCAT - 11 Jul 2011 08:13 - 848 of 2354

A little bit more info on Sheba:

StockMarketWire.com
Centamin Egypt is making a recommended 7.48m offer for Sheba Exploration (UK).

PLUS-quoted Sheba operates through its sole subsidiary, Sheba Exploration Limited, in Ethiopia.

Sheba owns and operates three gold and base metal exploration licences in the regional state of Tigray, in northern Ethiopia.

It is Centamin's stated strategy to grow its portfolio of assets beyond its Sukari gold project in Egypt.

Sheba's licences lie within the Arabian Nubian Shield which hosts not only Centamin's 14.5 million ounce resource at Sukari, but other significant gold and copper deposits.

The recommended offer comprises a cash payment of 3.0p and the number of ordinary shares in the capital of Centamin equal to the number of Sheba shares held by the Sheba shareholder divided by 40.

The offer values Sheba at approximately 7.48m on a fully diluted basis, or 6.15p per share, which represents a premium of approximately 124% to the closing price on 8 July.

aldwickk - 11 Jul 2011 09:12 - 849 of 2354

I hold both

niceonecyril - 12 Jul 2011 07:16 - 850 of 2354

Centamin will announce its results for the quarter ended 30 June 2011 (Q2) on Tuesday, 02 August 2011.



The announcement will be screened via the Regulatory News Service of the London Stock Exchange at 7am (UK time). A group analyst briefing will be held at the offices of Buchanan (107 Cheapside, London, EC2V 6DN) at 11am (UK time) on the day of the Q2 results, and a conference call for analysts and investors with the Centamin management team will take place simultaneously.

goldfinger - 14 Jul 2011 15:53 - 851 of 2354

From Hemscott Premium......

Broker Recos..... Looks way undervalued to me on a forward P/E of just over 9 to 2012, should be a t least double that imo.

Centamin Egypt Ltd

FORECASTS 2011 2012
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Evolution Securities Ltd
11-07-11 ADD 144.98 12.78 137.94 11.73
Fairfax IS
05-05-11 BUY
Canaccord Genuity Ltd
21-04-11 BUY 12.80 19.50
Numis Securities Ltd
13-04-11 BUY 103.91 9.84 127.28 11.68
Westhouse Securities
17-03-11 HOLD

2011 2012
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 127.80 11.93 133.48 14.09
1 Month Change 0.42 0.01 0.11 -0.05
3 Month Change -17.49 -0.88 -4.75 2.33


GROWTH
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)

Norm. EPS 399.87% 204.69% 18.08%
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)

EBITDA 67.40m 154.30m 166.51m
EBIT 40.60m 103.30m 124.20m
Dividend Yield 0.00% % %
Dividend Cover x x x
PER 32.92x 10.80x 9.15x
PEG 0.08f 0.05f 0.51f
Net Asset Value PS 26.64p p p

HARRYCAT - 14 Jul 2011 16:06 - 852 of 2354

I agree it's undervalued, but Egypt is still struggling badly to find political stability atm and that is what is increasing the risk factor here.

required field - 15 Jul 2011 08:32 - 853 of 2354

If the market turns blue....145p back on the cards perhaps ?.....more upside than downside, here...

skinny - 17 Jul 2011 12:17 - 854 of 2354

Egypt's PM pushes on with major reshuffle amid protests.

Egyptian Prime Minister Essam Sharaf has begun his promised cabinet reshuffle as protests continue over the slow pace of political reform.

skinny - 18 Jul 2011 15:22 - 855 of 2354

CEY gathering momentum this afternoon - gold over 1600$ an ounce.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=CEY&Size=

goldfinger - 18 Jul 2011 15:47 - 856 of 2354

CEY

Latest broker targets on Digital look....

12-Apr-11 Canaccord Genuity Buy 151.30p 200.00p 195.00p Upgrade
28-Feb-11 Numis Securities Buy 118.50p - - Reiteration
16-Feb-11 Evolution Securities Add 141.90p 175.00p - Upgrade

Looks way undervalued considering Gold SP has risen considerably since those broker targets were given.
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