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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

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Proselenes - 22 Jun 2012 13:21 - 847 of 2393

Looks like it could be an August spud for Loligo - that would be fine with me, in fact beneficial for share price strength. Oil price should be strong and upwards going into Q3 and the markets normally rally after the summer doldrums.

So its all looking like the "perfect" storm for FOGL come August - markets in a good (better) mood, oil price robustly moving upwards in Q3 and Loligo spuds......... all good.

halifax - 22 Jun 2012 13:30 - 848 of 2393

PP dream on.

Proselenes - 23 Jun 2012 06:51 - 849 of 2393

It is very interesting, and as I have been saying for some time - FOGL has been and still is the perfect buy at the moment. Minimal downside and loaded with massive upside for Q3.

Here is a chart of FOGL versus the other FI explorers last couple of months.

42262312.png



And here is the chart of FOGL versus a range of other oil and gas stocks last couple of months.

broad.png


When you look at the figures some people have lost a fortune in the last couple of months because they are in love with other stocks and holding them for no valid reason except blind love and hope. When markets wobble sell the weak and buy the strong - its very simple. The strong will go up more first, the weak will only rise again later.

blackdown - 23 Jun 2012 09:07 - 850 of 2393

B***s

Proselenes - 23 Jun 2012 16:49 - 851 of 2393

FOGL a chosen stock a couple of times...........

http://issuu.com/spreadbetmagazine/docs/spreadbet-magazine-v6_generic?mode=window&pageNumber=1

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Proselenes - 25 Jun 2012 12:29 - 852 of 2393

FOGL a top pick, along with TLW, OPHR, CHAR and BLVN for Jefferies.

TRP is not a top pick..........

http://ca.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idCABRE85O0FL20120625

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FoodSexMusic7 - 25 Jun 2012 16:11 - 854 of 2393

The underlying fact is that RKH, the only company down there to actually find out can't even get a farm in agreement. Mark my words, 'how ever good the return on ivestments are, they won't be as good as what Proselenes is making them out to be'

Proselenes - 26 Jun 2012 07:12 - 855 of 2393

Farm out done. Always said FOGL is the most attractive of all companies down there and therefore would be first to farm out, and so they are..........

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201206260700181122G

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cynic - 26 Jun 2012 07:16 - 856 of 2393

but will that actually do much to inspire sp? ..... no doubt an initial knee-jerk, but then what?

greekman - 26 Jun 2012 07:26 - 857 of 2393

The long awaited farm in has arrived and 'still' people hint they are not happy (they are really, but we all know that).
And EDF are a French company via the EDF Group, so the French are on board, so another country re Argentina V the UK (if it comes to that, but it won't).
Good news, whichever way you look at it!

cynic - 26 Jun 2012 07:43 - 858 of 2393

i didn't say i wasn't happy; i just wonder whether this is genuinely good news - apart from cash injection, though presumably for loss of equity

greekman - 26 Jun 2012 07:58 - 859 of 2393

Hi Cynic,

I did jump the gun a bit with the 'not happy' comment, but you must admit, you do live up to your name.
Not that, that is a bad thing.
Cynicism is always good to keep things on a sensible, level keel.
But to answer your questions, I feel the deal is very good for Fogl and EDF, as the loss of equity V shared risk, plus cash injections = probable reward is excellent.

HARRYCAT - 26 Jun 2012 08:01 - 860 of 2393

I think it may be because I seem to remember that he sold most of his FOGL holding the other day, which is very unlucky timing. I wasn't even aware that they were looking for a farm in partner, but have kept hold of my FOGL stock, which is also just luck.

greekman - 26 Jun 2012 08:05 - 861 of 2393

As expected, straight back into auction.

hlyeo98 - 26 Jun 2012 08:05 - 862 of 2393

I think this shows FOGL is not very confident on its own.

cynic - 26 Jun 2012 08:11 - 863 of 2393

yes i did, but i never do "sour grapes" ..... for all that, initial reaction is very muted indeed, so perhaps i'm not so silly

Proselenes - 26 Jun 2012 08:39 - 864 of 2393

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/44627/falkland-oil-gas-reveals-tie-up-with-french-utility-edf--44627.html

Falkland Oil & Gas reveals tie-up with French utility EDF

8:23 am FOGL says it expects to receive the Leiv Eiriksson rig in July, once fellow Falkland explorer Borders & Southern has completed the Stebbing well FOGL says it expects to receive the Leiv Eiriksson rig in July, once fellow Falkland explorer Borders & Southern has completed the Stebbing well

AIM quoted Falkland Oil & Gas (LON:FOGL) today confirmed that it has sealed a farm-out deal ahead of its upcoming drill programme.

The deal sees French utility firm EDF enter the Falklands.

Via Edison International – a company in which it owns a controlling stake – EDF will pay FOGL’s back-costs in the region of US$50 million and it will pay its own share of the costs for the upcoming drill programme. A US$3 million option fee had already been paid to FOGL.

Edison will own a 12.5 per cent stake in FOGL’s southern licences, which hosts six prospects, and it will own 25 per cent of the northern area licences, where there are five prospects.

Also Edison will pay FOGL an additional US$40 million in cash – with US$20 million being paid on completion of the farm-out and US$20 million due next year.

"We are delighted to have agreed favourable farm out terms with Edison. Edison is an experienced international exploration and production company, now owned by a major European energy company,” said FOGL chief executive Tim Bushell.

“The discussions we have held with Edison over the past few months augur well for a successful relationship.

“This farm out provides further industry validation of the potential of our licences and gives us greater financial flexibility for our future exploration programme."

FOGL says it expects to receive the Leiv Eiriksson rig in July, once fellow Falkland explorer Borders & Southern has completed the Stebbing well – which spudded in early May.

The first well of the programme will be on the Loligo prospect in the Northern licence area. And FOGL says the location of the second well will depend on the results of the first well.

If Loligo is a success FOGL says it will drill either a Loligo follow up well or it will drill the Nimrod Complex. Alternatively it will drill the Scotia prospect. Each of these prospects are located in the Northern licence area.

Meanwhile FOGL says that Borders and Southern’s Darwin gas condensate discovery is positive for its prospects in the Southern licence area. That is because it has demonstrated the presence of mature source rocks and a working hydrocarbon system, it said.

And it says the result has reduced the risks associated with at least six of FOGL’s prospects in the Southern licence area that have similar characteristics to the discovery. These prospects are located around 10 to 50 kilometres from the Darwin discovery, FOGL added.

The company said that further drilling in the current campaign will depend on well results and rig availability.

blackdown - 26 Jun 2012 08:43 - 865 of 2393

Lots of words. Lots of oil?

cynic - 26 Jun 2012 08:55 - 866 of 2393

so far, no oil or even gas; just hot air :-)
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