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Direct Line Announcement of Offer Price

The offer price has been set at 175 pence per Ordinary Share, implying a total market capitalisation of Direct Line Group £2,625 million.

Barclays Capital Equal weight 334.25 420.00 357.00 Downgrades

16 Jul Direct Line Insurance Group PLC Peel Hunt Add 337.55 - 400.00 Reiterates

https://www.reuters.com/article/britain-stocks-factors/uk-stocks-factors-to-watch-on-july-16-idUSL4N1UC229

* BRITAIN INSURANCE: The cost of a comprehensive motor insurance policy fell
11 percent in Britain in the second quarter, the biggest annual price fall since
2014, a survey said on Monday.

Watching ESUR as well.

Ex dividend 7p today.

The chart looks interesting.

Trading Update for the third quarter of 2018

Highlights

· Motor in-force policies grew by 1.9% (own brands: 3.0% growth) compared to the prior year, driven by strong retention levels, particularly in Direct Line. Premiums were lower by 1.2% (own brands: 0.5% lower) as a result of lower average premiums, primarily due to changes to propositions in the price comparison website channel, partially offset by positive rate movements. Underlying claims inflation was at the upper end of the Group's long-term expectation of 3% to 5%.

· Home own brands in-force policies grew by 0.3% and premiums grew by 0.9% compared to the prior year. Retention levels improved in the quarter while new business volumes declined. Premiums in the partnerships channel decreased by £51.3m, primarily due to the exit from the Nationwide and Sainsbury's partnerships. The Group expects claims inflation to remain within the Group's long-term expectation of 3% to 5% and that subsidence claims, including those associated with the dry summer weather in the UK, will not materially be above normal annual expectations.

· The Group's investment in its direct Rescue and Commercial brands, Green Flag and Direct Line for Business, continued to make good progress, as premiums grew by 13.1% and 7.6% respectively. In Commercial, NIG and other premiums fell by 3.2% due, in part, to exiting several larger risks which were not expected to achieve target returns.

more.....

Peel Hunt Add 315.50 400.00 Reiterates

Shore Capital Buy 315.50 370.00 Upgrades