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AVIVA again, New thread. worth considering (AV.)     

Fred1new - 27 Apr 2007 17:13

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AV.&Si



I hold these stock.

DYOH (do your own homework.)

To-day there was a slight drop in price, but number of analysts are giving favourable reports.

What triggered my interest was better than expected results and if I am right looking at charts it shows an inverted head and shoulders. Hopefully a good sign. Also the current rate of Share price growth is about 90% pa over the last 5weeks. This is unlikely to continue indefinitely but SP could hit 850p over next few weeks.

To-day at close, there were some large buys of about 5million shares. 40million approx.

Another trigger for me was the following which should increase earnings.

Aviva to form JV in Taiwan with First FinancialAFX
LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Aviva PLC, the UK's largest insurer, said it has entered into a joint venture with First Financial Holding Co Ltd to sell insurance and pension products in Taiwan. The joint venture company, First-Aviva, will distribute long-term savings and pension products in Taiwan through an exclusive agreement with First Financial's flagship unit, First Commercial Bank. Aviva, which will have a 49 pct stake in the joint venture, added that the initial paid up capital of the new company will be 34 mln stg.First Commercial Bank is Taiwan's second largest bank network, with five mln retail customers, it added.TFN.newsdesk@thomson.comkkb/faj/slm




Date: Wednesday 25 Apr 2007
LONDON (ShareCast) - If the message gets home that Aviva will not bid for Prudential, the stock should rebound strongly, especially if Aviva can sustain its current impressive performance. There is still work to be done but, at 794.5p, the shares are a strong buy says the Independent.
Date: Tuesday 24 Apr 2007
LONDON (ShareCast) - Aviva stood out among the risers on a tough day for blue chip stocks. The life insurer posted an upbeat first quarter statement with brokers pleased with the numbers.



DYOH

optomistic - 08 Sep 2011 12:37 - 89 of 407

84.8K Director buys in the last two days..... Not a massive amount but it could be taken as a positive sign.

skinny - 08 Sep 2011 12:39 - 90 of 407

In fact looking at my own records, I bought @294.12 on 25th May last year.

HARRYCAT - 09 Sep 2011 09:07 - 91 of 407

Are you trading this skinny or holding for better times? Looks like we may get sub 300p again soon.

skinny - 09 Sep 2011 09:12 - 92 of 407

I've traded it half a dozen times or so over the last 18 months - ultimately its nearly always in my SIPP. The yield is 8.03% at this level (assuming it is maintained) and as you point out above - 10p on the 21st.

If you are looking for yields, its worth looking at VOD - with the verizon dividend now coming into play.

HARRYCAT - 09 Sep 2011 17:13 - 93 of 407

In at 302p, for the divi plus a bit of profit, hopefully, though DOW not helping much atm!

BAYLIS - 09 Sep 2011 19:57 - 94 of 407

CHEERS SKINNY . VOD INFO.

skinny - 13 Sep 2011 09:12 - 95 of 407

12 month low hit earlier 284.60.

HARRYCAT - 20 Sep 2011 14:38 - 96 of 407

Question is, will this tank tomorrow when it goes ex-divi? Not much point getting the divi but taking a capital loss. Decisions, decisions.............

skinny - 20 Sep 2011 14:43 - 97 of 407

Harry - I've got the same dilemma with COST and IRV.

skinny - 21 Sep 2011 10:18 - 98 of 407

I came across this on another site. Aviva: Fears for up to 700 jobs as company moves HQ

HARRYCAT - 22 Sep 2011 13:50 - 99 of 407

Note from Panmure Gordon:
Life on Mars
Following the recent equity market correction, we have assessed the impact on our universe of stocks. The chief impact, we believe, is on the life companies and their embedded values. We adjust our target prices for these (generally modest) changes, but our recommendations remain unchanged. The critical point, we believe, to understand is the resilience that insurers earnings have demonstrated through the credit crisis and beyond. While slowing economic activity impacts all insurers volumes whether they are selling life or general insurance products, sales do not collapse.
While 2009 saw some profits dip, a recovery was well established by 2010 and has been sustained during 2011 as evidenced by the interim results. This demonstrates that there is an underlying core of insurance business which continues to be transacted whatever occurs in the wider economy. Of more significance to much of our universe is the squeeze on earnings that is applied by volatile and falling investment markets. Shareholders are no longer directly exposed to equity markets in any meaningful way; equity risk largely remains with policyholders. However, as a barometer of economic well-being, equity markets matter to an insurers customers and affects their insurance spend.

The sector has challenges other than slip-sliding equity markets, such as distressed Sovereign debt issuers and Solvency II, but these, we believe, are already reflected in share prices given that they are relatively old issues. In our view, current share prices reflect a 10% haircut to our forecast year end embedded value and, given the recent market correction, this seems entirely appropriate as a base case valuation. However, we believe selective buying opportunities remain given the low valuations. Our note this morning illustrates this impact of the market correction to date, and the potential impact of a further downward shift in equities.
We remain sellers of Admiral (TP 843p) and believe that a PER of 15.3x 2011E and 14.1x 2012E is too expensive for an insurance company focused on a highly commoditised product (motor insurance) in a cyclical market. On the Buy tack, we continue to recommend buying Aviva (TP 521p) with what we view as a safe yield on our forecasts of 8.8%, and the 8% forecast yield at Resolution (Buy, TP 604p) ignores the special dividend that will be paid in 1H 2012. Both these names offer significant and we believe, safe income opportunities.

skinny - 22 Sep 2011 13:56 - 100 of 407

Credit Suisse Raises Aviva, Legal and General

mitzy - 04 Oct 2011 14:43 - 101 of 407


starting to look cheap.

HARRYCAT - 17 Oct 2011 13:22 - 103 of 407

"Shares in insurance group Aviva were higher on Monday helped by an upgrade by UBS, which raised its rating on the stock from neutral to buy.

The Swiss broker said that while the company is the most exposed to the Eurozone out of all the UK insurers which has driven under performance over the summer if policymakers take steps in the fourth quarter to restore order, then the recent trend should reverse."

HARRYCAT - 17 Oct 2011 16:47 - 104 of 407

Staff being notified of a big announcement to come from management on wednesday. Regret, no details available yet.

skinny - 18 Oct 2011 06:08 - 105 of 407

Harry - what is your source please?

HARRYCAT - 18 Oct 2011 08:15 - 106 of 407

Tricky one to answer without compromising any individual, but it comes from a reliable source at Head Office. I believe what I have already posted is in the public domain, but the details are not, regrettably.

skinny - 18 Oct 2011 08:16 - 107 of 407

Ok - thanks Harry.

HARRYCAT - 18 Oct 2011 08:21 - 108 of 407

I'm not really one for heeding rumours as they usually turn out to be wrong, so just hope that this turns out to be accurate as have bought on the strength of it.
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