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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

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Gerponville18 - 30 Jun 2012 16:14 - 894 of 2393

Hi Guy's, A very big stock sell on FOGL at 16:35 on Friday(1,175.000 @ £0.85p)..........What does this investor know that we don't?

Great minutes of the meeting .........Well done. Not sure I am eager to buy more Border's shares though!

cynic - 30 Jun 2012 21:21 - 895 of 2393

???????????????? 1175 shares?????????????????

mcgrath1958 - 30 Jun 2012 23:10 - 896 of 2393

No Cynic , it was actually one million and 1175 at 85p , good question Ger 18, why did that person sell?

Proselenes - 01 Jul 2012 02:32 - 897 of 2393

Gerponville18, its not very clever to miss out also the 1M buy earlier in the day. A 1M buy and a 1M sell - kind of suggests someone sold 1M to another party, or it was a rollover.

You should be aware any trade reported after 16:30 is therefore a delayed reported trade, meaning it happened earlier in the day, when the trade could have been a buy or a sell - but "computer software" will report it as a sell or a buy based on the closing price of the stock at 16:30 against the price at which the trade happened, which is not shown, all you see is a "late trade" with a timestamp of past 16:30 - they do not tell you actually what time in the day the trade occurred.

This is all pretty basic stuff of the way the markets work.

Gerponville18 - 01 Jul 2012 15:54 - 898 of 2393

Thank you very much for the reply Proselenes.

I am an engineer after all; we do not know all the "pretty basic stuff" of the financial world. Anyway, I am sure we will be toasting the success of this share on its way to many £ signs in the not too distant future........The very best Champagne of course!

cynic - 01 Jul 2012 18:07 - 899 of 2393

i hold but with distinctly less enthusiasm some on here

Balerboy - 02 Jul 2012 07:52 - 900 of 2393

Falkland Islands Holdings reduces stake in FOGL
StockMarketWire.com

Proselenes - 02 Jul 2012 07:59 - 901 of 2393

Explains the weakness last week, FKL were selling. They also say no more sells now until earliest on Loligo results.

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201207020700115853G

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halifax - 02 Jul 2012 11:26 - 902 of 2393

does that mean if Loligo turns out to be a duster they may sell their remaining 12million shares?

cynic - 02 Jul 2012 13:26 - 903 of 2393

that could apply to anyone holding tlw or pmo or any less well funded oilies than those

halifax - 02 Jul 2012 14:00 - 904 of 2393

cynic the wording of FKL's RNS does not instill confidence.

cynic - 02 Jul 2012 14:51 - 905 of 2393

can't disagree, but i'm not exactly a heavy holder of fogl either

Proselenes - 02 Jul 2012 15:07 - 906 of 2393

Pretty much what we know, big gas kick, results next week. Was it a gap cap on top of oil...... or more condensate/gas ? Find out soon........

http://www.pandjenergy.co.uk/


............“A strategically important exploration well being drilled to the south of the Falkland Islands is expected to complete within the next 10 days or so.

Rumours are circulating stock market boards that the rig Leiv Eiriksson has encountered hydrocarbons while drilling Stebbing for Borders & Southern. They include that a large gas kick occurred, leading to a pause in drilling operations.”.........

Proselenes - 06 Jul 2012 06:36 - 907 of 2393

Business-as-Usual-for-Big-Oil-Despite-Falkland-Tensions.html

Business as Usual for Big Oil Despite Falkland Tensions

By Jen Alic | Thu, 05 July 2012 22:44 | 0

Benefit From the Latest Energy Trends and Investment Opportunities before the mainstream media and investing public are aware they even exist. The Free Oilprice.com Energy Intelligence Report gives you this and much more. Click here to find out more.

While tensions between Britain and Argentina have been rising as a natural response to the 30th anniversary of the Falkland War, oil is the primary driver of a renewed Falkland dispute that will determine the fate of tens of billions of dollars in black gold.

At the same time, while Argentine President Cristina Kirchner and British Prime Minister David Cameron are trading serious barbs over the sovereignty issue, big oil companies are largely ignoring the implications and conducting business as usual.

The Falkand Islands (Islas Malvinas) were reclaimed by the British in June 1982 after a 74-day war in response to an Argentine invasion. Argentina lost 649 troops in the war, while the UK lost 255 troops. The 30th anniversary of this war coincides with some major oil developments, which the UK is hoping to resolve by supporting the Falkland government’s holding of a referendum on its political status in 2013.

Argentina is on the losing end of this battle. Not only will the referendum favor the status quo, but Kirchner’s recent move to nationalize Argentina’s interests in Spain’s Repsol oil company has lost her any support she might have enjoyed (particularly from Spain, France and Italy) over the Falklands issue.

This is exactly what big oil is banking on, and recent months have seen some significant developments that seem to ignore the brewing tensions entirely. Two major discoveries are set to turn the Falklands into a key oil player almost overnight. The first, and less significant, is the 1.3 billion barrel discovery by Rockhopper’s Sea Lion (RKH) in the north Falklands Basin. The second is the 4.7 billion barrel prospect of Loligo, for which FOGL plans to start drilling its first well this month.

The Loligo prospect was boosted by news that came in the first week of June that Edison Spa, an Italian utility bought by France’s EDF in June, will acquire a 25% interest in northern licenses of Falkand Oil & Gas and another 12.5% interest in FOGL’s southern licenses. The significance of the Edison Spa deal is that it will provide FOGL with some much-needed financing to get things under way in Loligo. In return for the licenses, the utility company will fund FOGL’s drilling to the tune of $50 million and hand over another $40 million in cash.

The oil angle to the Falklands dispute gained momentum in 2010 when the UK authorized prospecting, provoking the ire of Argentina. The next major uptick in the ongoing crisis came in December last year, when Rockhopper revealed that its Sea Lion field held more oil than expected. This in turn led to an immediate increase in interest in the Falklands’ offshore oil prospects. The UK moved quickly to ensure the security of these discoveries by sending in naval units, prompting a harsh response from Argentina and escalating the crisis.

But the UK holds most of the cards. Not only will “Falklanders” vote to remain a self-governed overseas territory of the United Kingdom in a referendum, but Spain, Italy and France in particular have no sympathy for Argentina in the aftermath of its decision to nationalize its Repsol interests. Oil exploration is proceeding as if the dispute is resolved.

So with the oil momentum already picking up an irreversible pace, how will the sovereignty dispute be resolved? As far as the UK is concerned, it will not negotiate the issue before the United Nations unless it is asked to do so by the Falklands legislature, which is happy to hold a referendum. The results of the referendum will provide the UK with any ammunition it needs.

Argentina’s only real recourse here is military. We can expect a great deal of bluster on the issue and some high-minded rhetoric recalling British colonialism and the like in the coming weeks, particularly as plans proceed at a fast pace for exploration and drilling. But in the end, this will be toothless bluster designed largely to allow Kirchner to appease a public that has long been taught to view the Falkland Islands as an integral part of Argentina.

The UK might have been willing to decolonize the Falklands, and certainly, it has seriously entertained the notion in the past. But now that the Falkands are set to become a major oil player, the situation is very different. No one wants Argentina to step in and claim the islands with the fear of nationalization fresh on the heels of the Repsol debacle. The bottom line is that Argentina lost the Falklands over Repsol.

By. Jen Alic of Oilprice.com

FoodSexMusic7 - 06 Jul 2012 21:19 - 908 of 2393

If FKL were selling, why should this make FOGL shares weak. It shouldn't actually make a difference???????????

FoodSexMusic7 - 07 Jul 2012 00:40 - 909 of 2393

It sucks, the link that Proselenes posted doesn't work unless you register to that website & it won't let me register?????????

http://www.pandjenergy.co.uk/ HELP

FoodSexMusic7 - 07 Jul 2012 00:42 - 910 of 2393

Although I have great confidence in FOGL, my fear is that after the rise in anticipation for Loligo, if it turns out to be gas, the share price will fall. It happened with Darwin & that wasn't even gas,(condensate instead). I know it will still be higher than what it is now back that lower than what it is now, but still......

required field - 07 Jul 2012 08:26 - 911 of 2393

If the rumours are correct : it looks like there are hydrocarbons present in this well......whether there are enough so Borders can declare a commercial discovery remains to be seen......mght be better than people expect !....by the way condensate is far better than plain old gas.....

Proselenes - 07 Jul 2012 10:41 - 912 of 2393

Nice write up, and speculation Darwin will be commercial.

http://www.pennenergy.com/index/articles/newsdisplay/1698147026.html

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Balerboy - 07 Jul 2012 17:54 - 913 of 2393

I'm beginning to wonder if after all this time RF is PRO in disguise.,.
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