Velocity
- 20 Jan 2005 21:49
I suspect trading tomorrow will probably answer this conundrum, but I know there are some far wiser owls than me that contribute to this bb & I would be interested in their opinions.
My question is this: the chart below looks to me like a pullback of the uptrend (ie when it went north through 14.00) however I am unsure as it has now broken down through 14.00 whether this is trending up or down :-(
So what do you think - up or down, or should I just flip a coin :-)) ?
HARRYCAT
- 27 May 2015 13:33
- 895 of 960
Off topic.....Skinny, does your provider allow an 'At limit' trade on MXF or is it only 'At best' please?
skinny
- 27 May 2015 13:35
- 896 of 960
Yes, I can place a buy,sell (as I now hold) or stop loss entry.
HARRYCAT
- 27 May 2015 13:43
- 897 of 960
Thanks. For some reason Equiniti (Selftrade) only offer 'At best' trade, so can't place an order in advance. Some stocks they do, some not. No idea why.
HARRYCAT
- 06 Jul 2015 11:54
- 898 of 960
oh dear! Support at..........140p?
Balerboy
- 06 Jul 2015 18:20
- 899 of 960
Glad I got out, admittedly not as high as I could at 180p but a profit is a profit (ain't that right cyners) .,.
deltazero
- 07 Jul 2015 09:11
- 900 of 960
saaaaaarrrrrrrrrrrfffffffffffffffffffffff
deltazero
- 07 Jul 2015 15:24
- 901 of 960
hmmmm YUM :-)
HARRYCAT
- 07 Jul 2015 16:29
- 902 of 960
Any idea where next guys? Bounce at 140p or........
Not S/B but looking for an entry point.
Next support at.....c120p?
skinny
- 07 Jul 2015 16:33
- 903 of 960
HARRYCAT
- 09 Jul 2015 14:43
- 904 of 960
Merrill Lynch summary note:
"PO 170p, AHL driven
Man’s H1 15 results, due on 29th July, are likely to be decent, but we think that H2 will see the impact of the recent falls in AHL. We have trimmed basic eps estimates, and H2 15 and FY 16 performance fees have seen significant falls. We don’t think there is anything especially noteworthy here, and retain our Buy on Man, albeit with a lower PO of 170p (from 200p). FY 16,17 – 19%, 4% downgrades
We have cut estimates by 12% for FY 15, 19% for FY 16 and 4% for FY 17. The main factor here is performance fees; these are likely to normalise by FY 17, we think.
Retain Buy- capital management, diversification Man’s near term performance is inevitably somewhat hostage to AHL’s fortunes. Longer term, we think the company is now a well designed EPS machine; it is diversified, with a capital management policy which mixes buybacks and small acquisitions to boost earnings.
We reiterate our Buy. On under 13x this year’s earnings, the stock looks good value."
HARRYCAT
- 29 Jul 2015 08:18
- 905 of 960
StockMarketWire.com
Man Group's funds under management rose 8% to $78.8bn at the end of June (31 December 2014: $72.9bn).
Adjusted profit before tax rose by 89% to $280m. Statutory PBT was up 54% to $163 million (H1 2014: $106 million) reflecting acquired intangibles amortisation ($45 million), impairment of FRM goodwill ($41 million) and other adjusting items ($31 million); diluted statutory EPS1 of 7.5 cents (H1 2014: 5.0 cents).
The interim dividend of 5.4 cents per share is up from 4.0 cents per share last time.
Chief executive Manny Roman said: "While the first quarter of the year saw a more stable environment in financial markets which benefitted all of our strategies and in particular AHL's momentum strategies, the second quarter was characterised by renewed volatility. As a result AHL's momentum strategies gave back the gains they had made in the first quarter however GLG, Numeric and FRM's strategies generated good risk adjusted returns adding to their strong start to the year.
"Flows for the half were skewed by $3.4 billion of net outflows from our Japan CoreAlpha strategy as some investors redeemed following a long period of strong absolute and relative performance. We saw solid flows into our quant strategies including one large institutional mandate into AHL, however elsewhere investor appetite remained muted as renewed market volatility tempered investors' willingness to put their money to work.
"Markets remain very challenging and accordingly we remain cautious in our outlook for the remainder of the year. As ever, we remain committed to investing in talent, research and technology and building the optimal environment to deliver superior risk adjusted performance for our clients which will ultimately translate into the delivery of value for our shareholders."
HARRYCAT
- 29 Jul 2015 11:54
- 906 of 960
RBC note today:
"Positive. H1 results show high margin inflows and low margin outflows.
First impression
Today Man reported its H1/15 results:
Total fees: $659MM (RBC: $618MM).
Management fees: $428MM (RBC: $421MM).
Performance fees: $231MM (RBC: $197MM).
Total adjusted PBT: $280MM (RBC: $254MM; consensus: $222MM).
Management fee PBT: $108MM (RBC: $100MM; consensus: $105MM).
Performance fee PBT: $172MM (RBC: $154MM; consensus: $117MM).
Adjusted diluted EPS: 13.9c (RBC: 12.6c; consensus 10.9c).
Dividend: 5.4c (RBC: 5.0c; consensus: 5.0c).
FUM at 30-Jun-15 was $78.8B (RBC: $78.6B; consensus: $78.8B). In H1/15, net flows were -$2.6B (RBC: -$2.6B; consensus: -$2.4B). Q2/15 net outflows were $1.3B against our -$1.3B forecast.
FUM by reporting category is:
Quant alternative (AHL/MSS/Numeric): $14.9B (RBC: $13.6B).
Discretionary alternative (GLG): $18.0B (RBC: $17.4B).
Funds of funds (FRM): $10.8B (RBC: $11.1B).
Quant (AHL/MSS/Numeric) long only: $18.1B (RBC: $17.8B).
Discretionary (GLG) long only: $15.3B (RBC: $17.3B).
Guaranteed: $1.7B (RBC: $1.4B).
Surplus regulatory capital of $425MM at 30-Jun-15; we forecast a surplus of $500MM at year-end 2015.
Outlook: typically cautious. Man indicates that “markets remain very challenging” and accordingly it remains “cautious in [its] outlook for the remainder of the year.”
Conclusion: Man delivers. We believe that consensus will rebase higher as a result of today’s results. That, and Man’s undemanding valuation, are positives. Man's outlook was typically cautious. Our EPS forecasts remain double digit percentages ahead of Bloomberg consensus throughout our forecast period. We believe the size of the discount that Man trades at to its peers is too wide. Man trades at 9.2x 2016E EPS (sector: 13.2x) and at 6.6x 2016E EBITDA (sector: 9.3x). We believe this attractive valuation more than accounts for the risk inherent in Man."
Chris Carson
- 04 Aug 2015 19:26
- 908 of 960
LATEST BROKER VIEWS
Date Broker New target Recomm.
4 Aug Numis 95.00 Sell
31 Jul JP Morgan... 175.00 Neutral
30 Jul Liberum Capital 216.00 Buy
30 Jul Barclays... 177.00 Equal weight
30 Jul Goldman Sachs 215.00 Conviction Buy
29 Jul Panmure Gordon 180.00 Buy
29 Jul Shore Capital N/A Buy
28 Jul JP Morgan... 175.00 Neutral
24 Jul Jefferies... 169.00 Hold
9 Jul Citigroup 135.00 Neutral
Fred1new
- 05 Aug 2015 16:40
- 909 of 960
Interesting RNS
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=5089864
Chris Carson
- 08 Oct 2015 12:34
- 910 of 960
Stuck in a trading range since August. Interim next week 15th. Wee punt long @ 156.97 initial target 180 stop 149p
55011
- 08 Oct 2015 12:47
- 911 of 960
Interim next week??? See post 906 above.
Chris Carson
- 08 Oct 2015 13:32
- 912 of 960
55011 - It's a punt. Q3 Interim Management Statement Thursday 15th October 2015.
Chris Carson
- 09 Oct 2015 08:21
- 913 of 960
Stop to entry for risk free trade. Don't trust this market. Review Monday.
HARRYCAT
- 15 Oct 2015 09:14
- 914 of 960
StockMarketWire.com
Man Group's funds under management fell to $76.8bn at 30 September - down from $78.8bn at the end of June.
Key points:
- Net inflows in the quarter of $1.4 billion, comprising sales of $5.7 billion and redemptions of $4.3 billion with net inflows into quant and discretionary strategies being partially offset by net outflows from fund of funds strategies
- Overall investment movement of negative $2.7 billion in the quarter driven by negative market movements in GLG's and Numeric's long only strategies, partially offset by positive performance across AHL's strategies
- FX translation effects of negative $0.6 billion in the quarter, driven by the strengthening of the US dollar against Sterling ($0.4 billion) and the Australian Dollar ($0.3 billion), partially offset by Japanese Yen strengthening against the US Dollar ($0.1 billion)
- Other movements of negative $0.1 billion with CLO and guaranteed product maturities of $0.4 billion being partially offset by investment exposure adjustments of $0.3 billion
* Good year to date relative performance across the majority of strategies. Asset weighted net outperformance for GLG's long only and Numeric's strategies of approximately 2.1%1 and 3.7%1 respectively for the year to 30 September 2015 Chief executive Manny Roman said: "Despite the extreme market movements in late August impacting absolute performance across our long only strategies, we have seen good relative performance across the majority of our strategies for the year to date.
"The net inflow for the quarter was driven by flows into our quant strategies and we have a solid pipeline of sales in the near-term. Quarterly flows will continue to be lumpy in nature, particularly in respect of certain FRM managed account mandates that are yet to fund, and the exact timing of which remains to be confirmed.
"The political uncertainties and economic upheaval in parts of the world continue to provide a very challenging market backdrop for our business. Accordingly, the risk appetite of our clients may impact flows, but we remain focused on continuing to generate attractive investment returns across our range of strategies."