EnQuest Background
EnQuest PLC (www.enquest.com) is an independent oil and gas production and development company focused on the UK Continental Shelf . Its assets include the Thistle, Deveron, Heather, Broom, West Don and Don Southwest fields. Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) certified that as at 1 January 2010, EnQuests assets had total net proved plus probably oil and NGL reserves of 80.5MMBbl. As at 1 January 2010, GCA has also net certified oil and gas best estimate (2C) contingent resources for individual assets. The aggregate of the oil 2C contingent resources on an unrisked basis is 67.5MMBbl, and of the gas contingent resources is 30.6Bcf .

On 6 April 2010, EnQuest was formed from the demerged UK North Sea assets of Petrofac Limited and Lundin Petroleum AB. EnQuest was admitted to trading on both the London Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ OMX Stockholm. On listing, EnQuest PLC went into the FTSE 250 index and OMX Nordix Index. Its assets include the Thistle, Deveron, Heather, Broom, West Don and Don Southwest fields. It has interests in 16 production licences covering 26 blocks or part blocks in the UKCS, of which 15 licenses are operated by EnQuest.

EnQuest believes that the UKCS represents a significant hydrocarbon basin in a low-risk region, which continues to benefit from an extensive installed infrastructure base and skilled labour. EnQuest believes that its assets offer material organic growth opportunities, driven by exploitation of current infrastructure on the UKCS and the development of low-risk near field opportunities, rather than exploitation of high-risk exploration opportunities.

EnQuest intends to deliver sustainable growth in shareholder value by focusing on exploiting its existing reserves, commercialising and developing discoveries, converting its significant contingent resources into reserves and pursuing selective acquisitions. EnQuest is focused on increasing production from its existing assets in its core hub areas. It believes that it has excellent operational, execution, subsurface and integration skills and it seeks to become the development partner of choice in the UKCS.

EnQuest believes that it has the technical skills, the operational scale and the financial strength to achieve its objectives and to take advantage of the production and development opportunities in the UKCS.

http://www.nasdaqomxnordic.com/aktier/shareinformation?Instrument=SSE75073

25.125p ( 25 / 25.25p )

Bought back again @ 25.175p

On the process of Open offer @ 23p and has come down from 32p, this morning was further down but since has bounced, could be time for the return to good things again.
Bid price 25p is well supported at the moment with 490K for 68K at offer



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Will Enquest plc be forced to ask shareholders for fresh cash?
By The Motley Fool Oct 28, 2016

The oil market may be starting to recover, but a number of popular oil stocks have been left with huge debt hangovers.
Figures released today show that Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW) now has net debt of $4.7bn -- nearly 50% more than its market cap of £2.6bn ($3.2bn). The situation is more extreme at Enquest (LSE: ENQ), where net debt of $1.7bn is more than five times the group's £254m market cap.
Both companies are nearing the end of big projects that started just as the oil market crashed. Completing these projects has required extra debt to offset falling cash flow from oil production.


After £82m placing, will Enquest need more cash?
Enquest has already raised some funds from shareholders. The group sold £82m of new shares earlier this month in order to help fund the completion of its Kraken and Scolty/Crathes projects.

None of this cash was used to repay debt. Even if it had been, £82m wouldn't have been enough to make a dent in Enquest's $1,681m net debt. To help put this in context, Enquest's net debt is 16 times its 2017 forecast net profit of $100m.
Enquest's position is more extreme than that of Tullow and I believe the shares carry a lot of risk. My view is that this month's equity raise is intended to tide the firm over until Kraken production starts next year. At this point, a more comprehensive refinancing may be necessary.

Am I paranoid?
It's worth pointing out that if the price of oil rises strongly, my concerns could prove groundless. But there's no guarantee that will happen.

What's certain is that lower levels of forward hedging mean that both firms will be more exposed to oil price movements next year than they have been so far. In my opinion, Enquest and Tullow are still too risky for equity investors. I believe there are better buys elsewhere.

A good finish at the end of the day 25.25 v 25.50p meaning unchanged, considering at the afternoon the oil price has moved lower again

The buying size is larger than the small sell and on that the order book got stronger as the day goes on, at this rate I see the offer moving to 25.75p

spread 25.50 v 25.75p +0.25p

the expected 25.75p offer is now on and the DEPTH is still very strong on the bid side so with time could move further up

Oil prices bounce as OPEC promises a cut is on the cards

* Oil producers plan cut following Nov. 30 OPEC meeting
* But producers disagree on who should reduce output
* Market fundamentals remain weak, analysts say (Adds ICE data on net longs)

LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Oil rose more than 1 percent on Monday, boosted by a commitment from OPEC to stick to a deal to cut output, but prices remained more than $7 below last month's high due to persistent doubts over the feasibility of the group's plan.

Brent crude traded at $46.20 per barrel at 1157 GMT, up 62 cents, or 1.36 percent, from the previous close.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 75 cents, or 1.7 percent, at $44.82 a barrel.

The secretary-general of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said the group was committed to an output-cutting deal made in Algiers in September.
"We as OPEC, we remain committed to the Algiers accord that we ... put together. All OPEC 14 (members), we remain committed to the implementation," Mohammed Barkindo told reporters at a conference in Abu Dhabi.

Despite this, many analysts doubt OPEC's ability to coordinate a cut sufficient to balance the market.
"Market belief that OPEC can reach a credible deal has collapsed and prices are now $8 a barrel off the post-Algiers highs," David Hufton, managing director of PVM Oil Associates, said in a note.

He cited record OPEC production in October, infighting between Iran and Saudi Arabia, as well as calls from Iraq for its own exemption from any cut.
"The numbers show that the best deal OPEC are likely to come up with is well short of what is needed to achieve a balanced market in 2017," Hufton said.

Hedge fund and money manager cut bets on rising Brent crude for the third consecutive week in the week to November 1, data from the InterContinental Exchange showed.
Oil futures posted their biggest weekly percentage decline since January last week with Brent falling as low as $45.08, its weakest since Aug. 11, and WTI hitting $43.57, its lowest since Sept. 20.

There are also risks that the oil glut, which has dogged markets for over two years, could continue as OPEC's de-facto leader Saudi Arabia threatened to increase production.

Even if Saudi Arabia does not follow through on that threat, its exports could rise.
"Saudi local oil demand is falling, and just maintaining current output could imply higher exports," Barclays bank said.

There were also signs of rising future U.S. output as the number of drilling rigs looking for new oil rose by nine to 450 in the week to Nov. 4, the highest level since February.

After loosing all the gains and more by 15:30pm late on the day the oil price had a rally........

Oil rises on Clinton election optimism but dollar, OPEC doubts weigh

* U.S. stocks rally on improved Clinton prospects
* Weekly drop of 442,077 bbls at U.S. Cushing hub - Genscape
* U.S. stockpiles likely rose 1.1 mln bbls weekly - Reuters poll
* OPEC reiterates commitment to cut production
* But producers have disagreed on who should reduce output

NEW YORK, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled more than 1 percent higher on Monday, supported by news that U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton will not face charges over her emails.

Gains, however, were capped by a rallying dollar on Clinton's improved prospects, making greenback-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, and by doubts over OPEC's planned production cuts.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $44.89 per barrel, up 82 cents, or 1.9 percent. Brent crude ended 57 cents, or 1.3 percent, higher at $46.15 a barrel.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation said on Sunday it would not press charges against Clinton over her using a private email server. That indicated worse prospects for Republican candidate Donald Trump, whose stance on foreign policy, trade and immigration have unnerved markets.

On the eve of the election, U.S. stocks were set for their biggest one-day percentage gain since March 1, while a volatility measure was set for its biggest drop since late June.

But the price of oil is unlikely to rise further on U.S. politics, said David Thompson, executive vice-president at Powerhouse, an energy-specialized commodities broker in Washington.

"Will there be a larger rally after Clinton is elected? I'm not so sure," he said of the candidate's potential victory, citing not her policies for the rally, but "fear of the unknown" in the case of a Trump win.

WTI futures were also helped by a weekly drop of 442,077 barrels of oil at the delivery hub for crude futures in Cushing, Oklahoma, for the week ended Nov. 4, according to traders citing energy monitoring service Genscape.

Still, analysts polled by Reuters forecast total U.S. crude inventories rose 1.1 million barrels last week after a record build in the previous week.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries' Secretary-General Mohammed Barkindo reiterated on Monday the cartel's commitment to a deal to cut output made in Algiers late September.

But many analysts doubt its ability to coordinate a cut sufficient to balance the market.

"Market belief that OPEC can reach a credible deal has collapsed," David Hufton, managing director of PVM Oil Associates, said in a note.

He cited record OPEC production in October, infighting between Iran and Saudi Arabia, as well as calls from Iraq for its own exemption from any cut.

Intraday Oil price futures - WTI light sweet --------------------------------------------------- BRENT crude ---------------------

26.25p +1.25p (+5.00%)

Yesterday Market Makers marked down the stock and others for no reason and as the days went on the peers recovered ground but kept ENQ down due to being the last day of open offer take up.

today the game is over and let it go to its own rhythm

28.50p 1p (+3.64%)

EnQuest announces production and development update
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2016

EnQuest's Kraken FPSO vessel sail away

EnQuest PLC is pleased to announce that following good progress on commissioning the water systems, the Floating, Production, Storage and Offloading ('FPSO') vessel, Armada Kraken for the Kraken field development, is expected to sail away in the coming days, from deep water anchorage off the coast of Singapore, for the North Sea. The journey should complete around mid-January 2017. The Kraken development project remains on course to deliver first oil in H1 2017. Meanwhile drilling is progressing to plan at Drill Centre Two following completion of Drill Centre One.

Scolty/Crathes First Oil

Following the successful drilling of the Scolty and Crathes wells in Q2 2016 and subsequent full completion of subsea and topsides scopes, including commissioning of the integrated system the Scolty/Crathes development is proceeding ahead of the schedule previously indicated, the first production wing valve is now open and the first well is flowing.

EnQuest therefore confirms the delivery of first oil from the Scolty/Crathes development ahead of schedule and under budget, approximately a year after the Field Development Plan ('FDP') was approved and the project was sanctioned. This was the only offshore pure oil FDP approval in the UK North Sea in 2015. Unit operating costs are expected to be under $15/bbl in the initial peak volume years and production is anticipated to continue until 2025.

2016 Production

EnQuest has been informed that the third party maintenance shutdown of the Brent Pipeline System ('BPS') may commence this week, for approximately three weeks, which would be a longer shutdown and later start date than previously anticipated. The Thistle and Dons fields would therefore also be fully shutdown for the entire BPS maintenance period as well as an additional short period either side, for ramp-down and ramp-up.

Average production for the ten months to the end of October was 40,857 Boepd, up 25% on the same period in 2015. This production reflects the successful planned maintenance shutdowns on Kittiwake and on PM8/Seligi in H2 2016, which are both now complete. Production at the end of the year is expected to benefit from the Scolty/Crathes development coming on stream and from the new production well K7 coming on line at Alma/Galia.

Taking into account the impact of the extended third party shutdown of the Brent Pipeline System, EnQuest would anticipate average daily full year 2016 production to be broadly around the average daily production level delivered to the end of October of 40,857 Boepd, and below its prior guidance of between 42,000 and 44,000 Boepd. Such an extended maintenance shutdown would not be expected to have an impact on the recovery of reserves as the reduced December 2016 production would be moved to later periods. Accordingly there would be no significant impact expected on the Company's assets and liabilities, financial position, profits and losses, or prospects.

Placing and Open Offer Admission

Further to the announcement made by EnQuest on 17 November 2016 in respect of the Placing and Open Offer, it is expected that LSE Admission will become effective and that dealings in the New Ordinary Shares will commence at 8.00 a.m. today and Stockholm Admission will become effective on or around 21 November 2016 and that dealings (for normal settlement) in the New Ordinary Shares will commence on the same day.

28.25p - 0.50p

Finally The tanker ARMADA KRAKEN is on the move From Singapore harbour

current speed and direction as of 09:42 Speed/Course: 5.2kn / 286°

Http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:754152/mmsi:566489000/imo:9320726/vessel:ARMADA_KRAKEN

28.25p offer will not last now
Today 11:33
There was a 284,966 Buy at full offer 28.25p just now so the double number 33K on the order book offer will not last long
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Today 12:00
another 100K buy at full offer and the offer price has not move up yet- strange
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12:26
single figures (3K ) left at offer price 28.25p

So much playing around, so some more ........


Russia reiterates willingness to freeze its oil output ahead of technical meeting

(ShareCast News) - Russia reiterated that it was willing to freeze its oil production in 2017, but cast a degree of doubt on its willingness to actually cut output ahead of a technical meeting between OPEC and non-member countries to try and reach an agreement.

According to Russia's Energy Minister, Alexander Novak, a freeze would mean that the country would in fact be pumping between 200,000 to 300,000 barrels less than it had originally planned to do so in 2017.

In parallel, Azerbaijan's Energy Minister Natig Aliyev reportedly told a newspaper that the oil cartel had asked non-members to slash their production by up to 880,000 barrels a day.

For their part, OPEC countries themselves were expected to try and reach a deal to reduce their own combined output to between 32.5m to 33.0m b/d from its current level in a meeting scheduled for 30 November in Vienna.

In October, the cartel's average production stood at 33.64m b/d, according to secondary sources cited by OPEC.

Two days before the meeting in the Austrian capital, several non-OPEC countries, including Russia, Azerbaijan and Mexico were due to meet with experts from the cartel to try and reach a deal on production cuts.

As of 1130 GMT, front month Brent crude futures were edging higher by 0.18% to $49.04 per barrel on the ICE.

Crude up 4%.

BREAKOUT

35.50p +5.75 (+19.33%)

Since late yesterday on moving above 29.50p, no wonder of the large rise today with a big volume also 18M supporting the rise

37.375p +1.875p

Another good rise as the breakout goes on

Macquarie today reaffirms its outperform investment rating on EnQuest Plc (LON:ENQ) and cut its price target to 79p (from 80p).
"EnQuest is our pick for further oil price leverage combined with low risk project progression (Kraken first oil expected 1H17). Although the rest of the sector now reflects a much higher discounted oil price than it did four months ago, EnQuest is still discounting US$63/bbl, the same number it was back in August 2016. We believe the valuation gap will be narrowed in the coming months once the market starts to believe in Kraken delivery."

Macquarie today downgrades its investment rating on EnQuest Plc (LON:ENQ) to underperform (from outperform) and cut its price target to 30p (from 79p).

Bought some at below 42.75p

KEEP an EYE

ENQ 42.625p ( 42.50/42.75p )

The retracement done with a marked down after the start on reaching the lower Bollinger Band at 41.75/42p. Order book getting stronger on the bid side, after a very weak start of the day as the oil price was lower overnight but now also recovering.

Armada Kraken ( ship ) leaving Rotterdam tomorrow for the kraken field.
Some large buying trades on the last 30 minutes

--

46.50 v 47p +2p

she is certainly going places as the order book got very strong on the bid side
just now a 200K buy will make a difference on the order book soon

DEPTH 85 v 39

13:34:57
46.9999p
200,000K

Someone's calculation if ENQ, on IAE offer price

IAE offer to value ENQ:

IAE's production forecast 19k boped to 22k boped with Stella start up. The offer was £1.20/share, thus Mcap is £497m + debt £478m = £975m total value, divide this by production (low end) 19k = ratio of 51.3

Applying that ratio for ENQ production to determine its relative share price: 2017 production forecast is 51k x 51.3 = 2,616m, minus debt £1,441m =1,175m, thus share price is 1,175/1,159 = £1.01, discount by say 10% (for Delek offer) gives 91p.
On 2018 production 80k boped gives a sp target of over £2, at the lower PB ratio (IAE 22k boped gives a PB of 44.3) it's a sp target of about £1.80.