goldfinger
- 06 Aug 2004 16:15
HARRYCAT
- 22 Feb 2010 11:58
- 932 of 2076
From FT blog site this morning, flagged as rumour only:
POG - THEY COULD INCREASE THE JORC.
"Firstly, this should be seen as a +POG LN / -RRS LN, these two have become complete natural price parallels.. - POG LN (BUY) Increased speculation that POG will increase the Jorc Reserve when they announce their figs are announced 25th March. Those that don't know, the 'Jorc' is the audited amount of gold reserves held & we are hearing that it will increase massively. - Needless to say, this will contribute to close the 19% discount to RRS built up over the last 4 mths, whilst POG is also paying 7p div (generous for a gold co) on the 25th Feb. For a hedged, 1 month view, this is self funding."
cynic
- 22 Feb 2010 12:20
- 933 of 2076
regardless of that rather worthless bit of info - not your fault harry - i still reckon POG is a damn good outfit, though it has tiresomely underperformed for a while
Balerboy
- 22 Feb 2010 15:47
- 934 of 2076
got in too early and suffering the wait for recovery..
cynic
- 22 Feb 2010 15:51
- 935 of 2076
tempted to buy some more, but i'm nervous as to what the markets will do over the coming days/weeks - they're even more unpredictable than usual
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 11:26
- 936 of 2076
don't know why surge in sp any more than i understood its drop from favour over recent weeks ..... nevertheless, simple chart shows good breakout IF it can be maintained
mnamreh
- 03 Mar 2010 11:55
- 937 of 2076
.
HARRYCAT
- 17 Mar 2010 12:27
- 938 of 2076
Broker note from Canaccord today:
"We are reinforcing our BUY recommendation on Petropavlovsk, not on the basis of the expected result, but more on the basis of an expected US$1,300/oz gold price peak this year and an average gold price of US$1,250/oz. We have demonstrated the strong correlation between moves in the gold price and the price of Petropavlovsk shares before (see Daily Letter, 3 December 2009.
Our analysis suggests the stock is fairly priced for the current gold price at US$1,105/oz. At this price our NAV is 10.80/share. However, at US$1,300/oz our NAV stands at 15.23/share.
More importantly, a 30% erosion of Petropavlovsks current discount versus its peer group would suggest a fair market price in the range of 15-16/share.
We think this potential re-rating provides investors in Petropavlovsk with an additional growth vector beyond the more general gold price driver behind most other gold investments."
cynic
- 17 Mar 2010 12:38
- 939 of 2076
it's strange that none of them mention POG's iron ore interests
TheFrenchConnection
- 17 Mar 2010 13:09
- 940 of 2076
,Mr. C ..,,Have a look at Barrick Corps floating off their African gold prospects - African Barrick Gold . lt .ls believed to be floated off within the 550/650p price range which is calculated to be at a 40% discount to POG. ..l already own a shedfull of POG and added recently.............HGM looks a solid play also -thus making up my trio of gold plays
cynic
- 17 Mar 2010 13:39
- 941 of 2076
i currently find myself torn between greed and prudence (yeah, yeah - and her sister sibyl!) and in fact i top-sliced POG yesterday
on the positive side, the markets currently have the wind in their sails
on the negative side, the markets are looking o'bought and with budget + election, which i am sorry to say will still leave "shit brown" in the chair, a sizeable correction must surely be on the cards
Balerboy
- 23 Mar 2010 08:49
- 942 of 2076
got a feeling you shouldn't have sold your POG cynic, on the rise still......i hope as i got in too soon and am nearly at break even..
cynic
- 23 Mar 2010 09:46
- 943 of 2076
a profit banked is a true profit made!
i'm sure i'll come back in and ditto with RIO, but timing is everything - and like all of us, i usually get it totally wrong!
Balerboy
- 23 Mar 2010 16:26
- 944 of 2076
SP seem to like the new funding, think i'll hang on for the ride..
cynic
- 23 Mar 2010 16:54
- 945 of 2076
i actually bought back in earlier .... in the money, but not hugely, but shan't grizzle either
Balerboy
- 23 Mar 2010 20:18
- 946 of 2076
good for you, lets hope brokers 15 is next.
chessplayer
- 24 Mar 2010 10:44
- 947 of 2076
Recent gold price falls (just below $1100) have now reached support line for the yellow stuff.It is also close to the 200 day moving average. As it has been above this 200 day average for a year now, this is a critical point. Most analyst views that I have seen, however, look to be very positive,though not necessarily in the short term, although ,the weaker dollar should lend support.
HARRYCAT
- 24 Mar 2010 12:36
- 948 of 2076
Note out from Fairfax today:
"$400m to $500m K&S project finance agreed with ICBC and CNEEC, substantial Chinese state-owned groups.
The deal is a co-operative agreement which presumably gives the iron ore offtake agreement to the Chinese in return for access to relatively low cost capital of substantial scale.
Note: the company does not appear to be giving up a stake in the company, the project or the license away in this remarkable deal.
The loan is repayable over 10 years, presumably from the date of final commissioning. Interest is something like 4% over the base interest rate agreed on.
CNEEC will provide engineering expertise, procurement and EPC contractors. Eg the project will be built by Chinese contractors. This should ensure the rapid construction of the mine which lies relatively close to the boarder with China.
Production is scheduled to start in 2013 at 10mtpa to yield some 3.2mtpa of 65% iron ore concentrate. The start date is a year later than originally modeled but new certainty in the construction of the project should add to its value.
The statement indicates that the entire 3.2mtpa of product will be sold in concentrate form. We previously assumed we would sell 1.9mtpa as pig iron with only 1.2mtpa as iron ore concentrate.
Conclusion: Petropavlovsk report FY 2009 results tomorrow. We expect the results to impress investors despite the hard Russian winter experienced this year. Gold production has risen substantially and the company should now produce more gold than its London peer, Randgold Resources. New confidence in the production of iron ore from the K&S project adds substantial value to the company in our view. "
cynic
- 24 Mar 2010 13:10
- 949 of 2076
tempted to to top up, but after recent strong run, maybe weakness after results tomorrow, so would do then
chessplayer
- 25 Mar 2010 10:53
- 950 of 2076
I don,t know what expectations were,but this looks impressive.
Petropavlovsk EPS soars on record production
Business Financial Newswire
Russian gold miner Petropavlovsk reported a 263% increase in earnings per share to $0.98 for the year to December, which it said was driven by a record production result, cost control and a 15% increase in the average price achieved.
Underlying EBITDA was up 65% at $225m from $136m in 2008.
The group declared an interim dividend of 7p per share in January 2010 and said it planned to pay interim and final dividends in future.
Net debt at December 31 was reduced by $370m to $19m.
Total attributable gold production rose by 21% to 486,800oz, in the middle of the group's original 2009 production target range of 460,000-510,000oz.
Average price achieved was $975/oz, up from $845/oz.
Proven and probable reserves increased by 103% to 6.67Moz compared with the November 2008 estimate.
Attributable gold production for 2010 is expected to be between 670,000oz and 760,000oz.
Petropavlovsk said its total cash costs of $309/oz (2008 $319/oz) confirmed it as one of the lowest-cost gold producers in the world.
Chairman Peter Hambro said the record production figure 'demonstrates the effectiveness of our phased approach to the development of our project pipeline'.
He added, 'The production increase has coincided with gold price strength in 2009 and we are confident that we will be able to deliver our forecast production growth over the next few years.'
Story provided by Business Financial Newswire
chessplayer
- 25 Mar 2010 13:26
- 951 of 2076
Having a good day ,while still 100 points to go to reach previous high .Some mileage here,methinks.