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Hochschild Mining - fully listed - excellent silver/gold play (HOC)     

Greyhound - 21 Nov 2007 13:17

November 08, 2006
Hochschild Gives A South American Boost To Londons Mining Sector


Quite a feather in Londons cap to have Hochschild Mining taking a full listing. At first glance Toronto or New York might have seemed a more logical destination, but the Sabanes-Oxley Act has meant that compliance requirements in North America have reached stratospheric levels and London looked more attractive, though a full listing on the LSE is certainly no walkover. Geographically, also, it has advantages as both JP Morgan Cazenove and Goldman Sachs International, the joint sponsors, joint global co-ordinators and joint bookrunners for the IPO are both based in London, as are Canaccord Adams the co-lead manager and Nomura International, the co-manager. The shares were placed at 350 p each to raise around 270 million from institutional investors in the UK, Europe, the US and Canada. On this basis its market capitalisation is just over 1 billion which takes it straight to 99th position in the FTSE 250 Index and makes it worthy of consideration by all types of investors.

The history of this Peruvian mining company is fascinating as it comprises the mining operations of the Hochschild Group which was founded in Chile in 1911 by Mauricio Hochschild. After World War 1 it expanded into Bolivia where the target was tin and it did not start its Peruvian operations until 1925. Even then it stuck to metal trading and beneficiation until the 1940s and during the 2nd World War the Group was a key supplier of tin and other metals to the allied forces. The next major advance came in the 1960s when the Arcata mine was developed in Peru and it is still in production today. Over the next ten years or so more mines were opened in Brazil, Peru and Chile such as the well known Mantos Blancos copper mine in Chile.

It is here that the history gets a bit complicated as in November 1984 Anglo American bought the South African mining operations of Hochschild Group and immediately sold the Peruvian operations to Luis Hochschild who is clearly a descendant of the founder, though the exact relationship is not clear. Anyway it is his son Eduardo who is now executive chairman of the company, having started as a safety assistant at Arcata in 1987 and working his way up to be boss of the company 12 years later. At the executive level he is supported by Roberto Danino as deputy chairman and Alberto Beeck which is director of strategy and corporate development.

The operations sold back to Luis became the basis of Hochschild Mining which then launched an aggressive expansion campaign in Peru as well as in Mexico, Argentina and Chile. In order to spread the financial risk joint ventures were agreed with other local and overseas mining partners to develop the San Jose, Pallacanta, Mina Moris and San Felipe projects. Hochschild Mining is now the fourth largest silver producer in the world with an output of around 10.5 million ounces plus just under 250,000 ounces of gold in 2005. In that year its cash costs of production amounted to US$2.65/oz for silver and US$169/oz for gold which puts it in the first quartile of the 2005 global cost curve for both metals.

Its specialisation is in epithermal vein deposits and it currently has three underground mines Arcata, Ares and Salene - in production in southern Peru. Next up are two advanced and two early stage development projects in Argentina, Mexico and Peru and then a swathe of prospects at various stages. The overall strategy is to bring a sequence of these projects into production and the aim is to push towards annual production of 50 million silver equivalent ounces, or 830,000 gold equivalent ounces if preferred, by 2011. This is quite an uplift from the 2005 figures, but Hochschild is not the sort of company which would risk undershooting a declared target, so it may err on the conservative side.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HOC&Si



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goldfinger - 19 Feb 2009 14:20 - 95 of 241

Missing out here cyners, dont say i didnt tell you.

loads err money.

Looks like someones tipped them ????.

cynic - 19 Feb 2009 14:26 - 96 of 241

get thee behind me Satan!

required field - 20 Feb 2009 14:34 - 97 of 241

A $1000 an ounce soon....and after a morning tree shake, now a climb = 250p...wooosshhh !.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2009 14:37 - 98 of 241

satan here satan....

comment from Zak Mir pro TAer this morning.

Zak Mir



Reged: 28/06/07
Posts: 652
Re: HOCHSCHILD MINING (HOC)- Bad Day-but opportun
#440004 - 20/02/09 07:57 AM Edit Reply Quote



Above the stock's 10 day moving average now at 192p it seems it should hit the old September high of 334p.


cynic - 20 Feb 2009 15:27 - 99 of 241

piss off you old tart - lol! ..... bt you weren't quite so chirpy earlier in the day!

kimoldfield - 20 Feb 2009 16:25 - 100 of 241

Cynic, when you are in Dubai, take a good look around; is it a dying god?

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2009 16:56 - 101 of 241

Cyners loads err money.

Looks like you left the party way too early.

Think theres quite a bit left in aswell. Using daily bets to hedge my risk.

Certainly looks like there s been a slow drip out of fresnillo into this one as the rating is lower. FRES at around P/E of 21 looks a bit topy in comparison.

Expecting much of the same next week to around 330p old september high.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2009 16:57 - 102 of 241

ps, it tends to fall away in the morning and come to life after 12.30.

cynic - 20 Feb 2009 18:50 - 103 of 241

dubai ..... certainly it's got some pretty serious probs at the moment, but in due course it will come around and no doubt fulfil its dream of being the commercial capital of M/E ..... but don't ever buy (residential) property here!

required field - 21 Feb 2009 12:55 - 104 of 241

Great week for this stock ......hey ! Cynic !....just come out of that Dubai gold market....you'll affect the prices, and then on second thoughts no !, just go ahead and snap up some the yellow stuff...it'll make the price go higher...yummy !.

Greyhound - 22 Feb 2009 13:01 - 105 of 241

Silver and Gold but predominately silver

chessplayer - 23 Feb 2009 10:49 - 106 of 241

Quite a Sterling performance over the past few months if you'll pardon the pun!

goldfinger - 23 Feb 2009 12:07 - 107 of 241

Entered again long on weakness late morning 259p.

Still think in the medium term 300p and above is on the cards

goldfinger - 24 Feb 2009 10:16 - 108 of 241

Feb 23 2009 10:08AM

Silver Is Again Outperforming Gold

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Turk/turk_feb232009.html

goldfinger - 24 Feb 2009 12:20 - 109 of 241

Suprised its been so negative today, Investec gave it a Buy late yesterday..

Hochschild Mining PLC

FORECASTS
2008 2009
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Investec Securities
23-02-09 BUY 126.55 20.66 5.06 76.26 11.44 5.06

chessplayer - 24 Feb 2009 12:55 - 110 of 241

I expect the fact that the price has done nothing but rise from 160 must be the main reason for 10% fall

goldfinger - 24 Feb 2009 13:07 - 111 of 241

yep the slope on the chart is rather extreme.

Looks like buyers coming back in though in strength.

Still expect it to go through 300p medium term.

goldfinger - 25 Feb 2009 15:09 - 112 of 241

DOW dropping like a lead weight silver sp rising fast.

goldfinger - 25 Feb 2009 15:35 - 113 of 241

25/2/2009
Broker Snaps

Mining

Hochschild Mining UBS increased its target price from 195p to 270p.

Fresnillo UBS has - increased its target price from 395p to 480p.

goldfinger - 25 Feb 2009 15:43 - 114 of 241

Hochschild Mining PLC

FORECASTS
2008 2009

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Investec Securities
23-02-09 BUY 126.55 20.66 5.06 76.26 11.44 5.06

Canaccord Adams
19-12-08 BUY 19.60 5.41 31.09 6.08

2008 2009

Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 126.55 20.21 5.21 76.26 19.72 5.49
1 Month Change 0.00 0.01 -0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.01
3 Month Change 28.02 0.06 -0.30 27.54 4.53 -0.14


GROWTH
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)

Norm. EPS 37.35% 47.99% -2.43%
DPS % 277.25% 5.47%

INVESTMENT RATIOS

2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)

EBITDA 65.75m 173.65m 147.85m
EBIT 53.19m m m
Dividend Yield 0.55% 2.08% 2.20%
Dividend Cover 9.90x 3.88x 3.59x
PER 18.30x 12.37x 12.68x
PEG 0.49f 0.26f -5.21f
Net Asset Value PS 91.26p p p

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