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TAIHUA - Traditional Chinese Medicine - a tonic for your portfolio ???? (TAIH)     

soul traders - 15 Dec 2006 15:35

Just quick summary to bring this to your attention; more detail will hopefully follow.

This stock floated yesterday at 10p and has since doubled. It has, needless to say, suddenly become very popular on another BB.

The company is profitable already and trading on an estimated (by yours truly) forward PE for the current year of 9 at SP 20p. EDIT: Hoodless Brennan estimate EPS for Full Year 2006 will be 2.18p - see article (link below).

Free float is 11.4% of the 81.2 million shares in issue - most are held by the directors.



Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TAIH&S



Extremely useful Investegate article LINK


Extremely useful Hoodless Brennan analysis LINK


PDYOR, etc.

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 13:58 - 98 of 369

DID YOU READ WHAT I WROTE?????????? ...... DURRR!!!!!!!!!!

clearly not!!!!! ...... but briefly ....
this sort of stock is very dangerous to trade, not only because it has very low cap, but is singularly illiquid with only 15% free ...... it is basic fact that while these mini-minnows can indeed rise like a rocket, at the slightest whiff of anything untoward, can (indeed will) fall like the proverbial stick or even a stone ..... further, unloading any volume can prove almost impossible.

thus, i have merely posted a sensible and logical caveat, so that those who jump in are forewarned

kate bates - 27 Jul 2007 14:09 - 99 of 369

mummy's little soldier protecting all around him, can picture you now with a tank top, u a librarian??? Alot of my blue chips have lost 5%+ this last 2 days, seems they can be more dangerous than smaller stocks!

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 14:12 - 100 of 369

what is it with you? ..... i disagree, so you have to get stupid and personal

kate bates - 27 Jul 2007 14:14 - 101 of 369

lol! just seen you post on the COH thread!! thought you didn't like illiquid tiddlers!!! Found out. Go and put jealous guy on your record player young man.

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 14:19 - 102 of 369

DURRRR!!!!!!!
I have never held or shorted COH
if you read properly, you would have gleaned that readily and that also established that it is a stock and even micro-sector for which i do not care ..... however, you are so eager to be ignorantly personal that you made a basic error ...........

had i written here, "Don't buy!" without any supporting logic, you would have had some justification for acting like a girlie with severe PMT ...... but you don't!

dynamix - 27 Jul 2007 14:21 - 103 of 369

hey oilyrag

hope your still holding mate!!

kate bates - 27 Jul 2007 14:22 - 104 of 369

so you just drift around threads advising people to buy/sell. Sounds like you need to get a life young man, care for a pair of my nickers to smell?? You can have the arse end as you wouldn't know what a woman smelt like it would seem!!

dynamix - 27 Jul 2007 14:22 - 105 of 369

cynic get rich and buy

kate bates - 27 Jul 2007 14:23 - 106 of 369

i see they are paying 30p for these now ;-)

smiler o - 27 Jul 2007 14:24 - 107 of 369

only joking kate :) good luck

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 14:27 - 108 of 369

thanks, and i dare say your investment will prove a genuine gold mine, but as i said, not for me ...... unlike you, i have no need to be pathetically personal ..... by the way, i am assuredly a lot older than you, and for all you know, perhaps perhaps my sexual proclivities are more inclined towards sheep, horses or even dogs!

smiler o - 27 Jul 2007 14:29 - 109 of 369

or was it deep sea diving cynic ? :)

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 14:39 - 110 of 369

enjoy scuba a lot, though am sorry to say have not now done so for 3-4 years ..... first tried it on my 50th and then dived every year in warm waters only(!) generally in between visiting our offices conveniently situated in Houston and S'pore

oilyrag - 27 Jul 2007 18:46 - 111 of 369

Yes dynamix, I'm still in and considering long term hold.

Kate Bates, as a form of compensation, should the sp collapse, may I offer to help you eat your knickers. lol.

Cynic, sorry Richard didn't mean to give you any grief, but sometimes it can break the boredom of some BB's.

Nice gain today, up 22% I am a bit suprised at how quickly its going at the mo.

cynic - 27 Jul 2007 18:49 - 112 of 369

that's ok m8 .... you know it never worries nor offends me .... however, it still amazes me, though it shouldn't, that if one doesn't follow the flock, one is almost invariably castigated for that contrary view, whatever its merits.

dynamix - 27 Jul 2007 22:50 - 113 of 369

i would normally agree, but not in this case, theres no stock (hardly) and profits/sales are massively up compared to what the market were informed at float..

oilyrag - 28 Jul 2007 07:27 - 114 of 369

I've been having in depth discussions at work with a few PI's and they are also into this one. Apparently some of the more experienced traders on ADVFN are talking of 3 per share. Question is, how soon may we see this, probably at least after EU agreeing trading, and entry into the US. Another cause for concern is the length of time of tie ins for the board, any selling by them will increase the number of shares in free float causeing a dilution effect on the SP. As previously posted this is currently under most peoples radars, but not for long. Soon we shall see the hot money coming in. This will be followed by institutions as the market cap rises, this in turn will create plenty of trading opportunities as they like to buy in cheaply. I will almost definately top up my holdings on Monday, but feel that there will be a bigger queue than usual. This will move up again next week, but how quickly?

cynic - 28 Jul 2007 08:52 - 115 of 369

don't ever say i don't listen or pay attention!!
in a dire market yesterday (monday likely to be no better), trade in SAIH was 1.6m shares against a 3 month average of only 148k.
sight unseen the conclusion would be that sp totally tanked, whereas it actually rose 7p (25/30% if you wish).
what is not obvious to me, but someone who perhaps uses L2 may have a clearer view, is where all these shares (a) came from and (b) where they went.
for example, one sometimes sees hedge funds and similar swapping their holdings between their own funds - i.e. an internal move.
i also don't have a calc to hand (may work it out later), but what % of the total free float does 1.6m shares represent?

PapalPower - 28 Jul 2007 10:20 - 116 of 369

http://www.growthcompany.co.uk/recommendations/257689/taihua.thtml


Taihua - SPECULATIVE BUY

Companies: TAIH

27/07/2007

China-based Taihua, a producer of clinical-grade anti-cancer compounds, plans to inflate its sales and margins by entering the European market.

The group, where co-Viagra inventor Dr Mike Wyllie is a director, has been producing anti-cancer agents paclitaxel and homoharringtonine for over a decade. Management claims the difference between Taihua and competitors is the high purity of its production 91.7% meaning little or no further refinement is required before clinical use.

These agents are both derived from yew trees, bought from local farmers, and a single tree is needed to gain enough ingredients for one dose. In 2005, Taihua bought land to grow its own seedlings and has 60,000 young trees ready to harvest in 2009, this will present even more competitive advantages.

Paclitaxel has passed all necessary regulatory hurdles around the world, but for Taihua to supply to pharma companies in the 1.25bn European market it will need to garner its own EU approval. Further on, it will go through the same process for homoharringtonine, which has anti-leukaemia properties, and even further on an own-brand injection is planned.

A second leg to the business is its traditional Chinese medicines division, which concentrates solely on the domestic Chinese market, and as yet provides only a small portion of sales.

Brought to AIM last December by WH Ireland, the cash-generative business grew pre-tax profits by 74% in 2006 to almost 2m on the equivalent of 3.4m turnover. Sales, currently focused on China, Russia and South America, will soar if EU approval for paclitaxel is granted.

The shares have already rocketed from their 10p issue price and look like providing an interesting speculative ride.

Oliver Haill

Market cap: 23.35m
PE Forecast: n/a
Share price: 28.75p

dynamix - 28 Jul 2007 12:31 - 117 of 369

oilyrag..


directors are tied in until December before they can at offload any at all..
if you read the AGM notes, they were questioned on the low wages they take from company... they said they have options on shares, and have a 3 year plan of huge growth of the investments in their own company and moving products into EU and USA..

I guess taking no wages leaves extra profit in the accounts which adds to the growth etc etc...
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