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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


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Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

kuzemko - 06 Jul 2008 23:30 - 2001 of 2350

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barclay - 18 Jul 2008 12:53 - 2002 of 2350

Is it true that sefton is on target for $6million pro rata/interim, so does that mean yearly production should be $12 million, which is seftons current mkt cap more or less, if this is true i want to buy in, because to buy a company at cash asset value
is a rare event and even if the market didnt rerate it which it will eventually, if sefton keeps making market cap level cash the shareholders will get one market record breaking dividend of 100% or something, i dont think that will happen though because the smart money will eventually get in price it up accordingly, the only thing i'm worried about are the california fires, are seftons assets insured against this, just in case, becuase that would set the company back if there was a blow up?

driver - 18 Jul 2008 13:02 - 2003 of 2350

barclay
Yes, $6m and still counting that is on current production we hope for a lot more after the next drilling update and more wells to be drilled this year.

The fires are no where near SER'S oil fields even if they were they have made provisions for future fires over the last couple of years the wells have large clearance around them.

barclay - 18 Jul 2008 13:16 - 2004 of 2350

thanks driver i'm buying this for long term, as i missed out of dana petroleum a few years ago, i hesitated in buying and then forgot, the next year i looked dana went from 10p to multiple pounds, the same will happen with sefton to those who are patient, the reason why people cant buy is because their losing money on other stocks and expect a recession, warren buffet says this is the best time to pick up bargains but not wall street banks, hehe!

driver - 18 Jul 2008 15:49 - 2005 of 2350

barclay
Welcome aboard I don't think you will have to wait long.

CWMAM - 18 Jul 2008 17:59 - 2006 of 2350

Bought some more today at 5.75P!!looks good.

martinl2 - 20 Jul 2008 14:22 - 2007 of 2350

Interesting to see both the MACD and the RSI begin to turn upwards.

2517GEORGE - 24 Jul 2008 08:20 - 2008 of 2350

Tick up on the update.
2517

driver - 24 Jul 2008 09:16 - 2009 of 2350

A good update, steaming going well and more wells to come this year all looking good steady as she goes.

rhino213 - 24 Jul 2008 09:21 - 2010 of 2350

I think these should steadilly tick north on the back on that update. production is up and everything seems to be going well.

Hopefully I'll be wrong and they'll sky-rocket to 1 each! ha!

CWMAM - 24 Jul 2008 10:04 - 2011 of 2350

Bought afew more @ 5.9 steady as she goes!!:)

martinl2 - 24 Jul 2008 10:33 - 2012 of 2350

I also bought more this morning. Steaming is going very well indeed.

kkeith2000 - 24 Jul 2008 16:20 - 2013 of 2350

Back to square one again, looks like we will have to wait a while longer

driver - 28 Jul 2008 14:07 - 2014 of 2350

OB 25.07.2008

Steam Test Starts To Have An Impact For Heavy Oil Specialist Sefton Resources

Heavy oil may not be at the sexy end of the oil business but, given sky high oil prices and a world hungry for more of the black stuff,

These wells can be drilled in less than a week for US$600,000, brought online within 30 days and pay back within a year. If the company can keep the momentum up, production of 800 bpd could be on the cards with much greater potential over the longer term:

http://www.oilbarrel.com/email_index.html?page=/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1216951242&feed=oilbarrel_en

barclay - 28 Jul 2008 15:33 - 2015 of 2350

These wells can be drilled in less than a week for US$600,000, brought online within 30 days and pay back within a year. If the company can keep the momentum up, production of 800 bpd could be on the cards with much greater potential over the longer term: according to analysts at Hardman & Co, peak production at Tapia should ramp up to 150,000 bpd by 2009 through conventional drilling with significant upside if the steam-enhanced recovery programme proves viable.

Can sefton really get up to 150,000 bopd in 2009? i did a rough calculation and the revenue ran into 2.7 billion, correct me if im wrong, is this correct, because i thought tapia was only going to produce 800 bopd, if these targets are viable that is amazing, and the drilling and production is so quick as well, other oil companies take a few years to bring even one well into production after drilling.

I just want to confirm because i am on another forum with sefton holders interactive investor.com and these guys are a bit down and frustrated with the latest RNS update and i dont think they are aware that the long term potential of sefton is a lot greater than the 20p share price target most of them have.

moonshine - 28 Jul 2008 16:54 - 2016 of 2350

I think 150,000 bopd is a misprint. Should be 150,000 bbl per year. Actually I have just answered you on 3i.

driver - 28 Jul 2008 16:55 - 2017 of 2350

barclay
No it's a miss print 800bpd would be nice and possible $32m a year would give an sp approaching 40p+ plus CBM on top of that.

moonshine - 28 Jul 2008 16:57 - 2018 of 2350

+ Eureka on top of that...

martinl2 - 28 Jul 2008 18:08 - 2019 of 2350

driver,

Interested why you put the figure of 40p at 800bopd / $32m a year?

By my calculations, eps would be over 10p per share with 800bopd, justifying a higher shareprice than 40p, more like double that?

I do think 800bopd, if achieveable is some time off though, although waiting another 1-2 years for a 15-bagger would be OK I suppose:)

driver - 28 Jul 2008 18:17 - 2020 of 2350

martinl2
Yes I agree it was a quick calc out of my head I have always said this could get to 80p+ with Eureka and CBM
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