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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 13:40 - 2141 of 2350

Ok, then cynic you carry on going around the threads pointing out the 'glaringly obvious' to suffering shareholders. Whatever floats your boat.

Presumably you spend your Saturdays roaming the high street telling people how they've bought rubbish from the shops and should have gone to another shop? And your Sundays are down the allotments telling people they've planted the wrong vegetables and their going to go rotten?

halifax - 07 Nov 2008 13:48 - 2142 of 2350

We should welcome cynic's opinion and certainly don't have to agree all the time, as to SER it like many other small e&p oilies will be affected by the more realistic oil price. In a recession the cost of production becomes the most important factor when considering investing in such companies. Investing in oilies with no production is a straightforward punt.

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 13:50 - 2143 of 2350

Yeah, but not when he repeats it 6 times a day. And most of what he says is not even specific to this company - so why target this share?

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 13:52 - 2144 of 2350

If he'd like to discuss specifics relating to Sefton Resources, i'd be all for it.

cynic - 07 Nov 2008 14:05 - 2145 of 2350

wrong on every score! .... keep wearing those rose-coloured specs which no doubt see oil at $160 at not today's actuality of $60 ....... the actuality of SER is that (currently) no one loves them, except some of you here, as is reflected not only in sp but also in the non-existent volume - 23k as i write

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 14:06 - 2146 of 2350

You must really be a cynic if you think we don't all already know that.

Don't you think we are suffering enough by watching our money go down the drain here?

We don't need it constantly shoved in our faces by you!!!!!!!!!! Get it?

(edit: Changed capitals to italics since some people interpret typed capitals as 'shouting'... is that a form of synaesthesia?)

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 14:11 - 2147 of 2350

All you are doing cynic is kicking people when they are down. I hope you are proud of yourself.

robertalexander - 07 Nov 2008 14:22 - 2148 of 2350

I hold SER and will continue to do so. I am currently holding at a loss too. Cynic's comments don't offend me or make me want to SHOUT!
I invested my money by myself. I value Cynic's comments and the fact he is prepared to go against the general consensus of the BB. I don't believe for a minute that his intent is to state the obvious[that's normally my domain] or to cause offence merely to offer a counter argument for consideration.
Each to their own I say
Alex

cynic - 07 Nov 2008 14:41 - 2149 of 2350

thanks Alex and exactly that ....... i too manage to lose money with the most accomplished!

tipton11 - 07 Nov 2008 18:35 - 2150 of 2350

I bt a few SER because, though really too small, it is actually pumping oil and also because there is a very loyal following so that every day someone posts so maybe there is something here after all

martinl2 - 07 Nov 2008 18:41 - 2151 of 2350

And don't forget that, although the 3m market cap might suggest a low level of funding, it has access to a $15m credit facility at 4.5% interest. The bank clearly thinks there's something here as well.

rhino213 - 20 Nov 2008 09:40 - 2152 of 2350

Hey guys. Hope your all well. I haven't posted for a while, just soooo busy right now with end of year screaming towards us.

I've been reading back through a few posts and have a question.....

halifax - 04 Nov 2008 13:06 - 2127 of 2151
CWMAM shown as a sale, what are the mm's up to?


Isn't that illegal? Surely if a buy is being shown as a sale then thats manipulating the market? that can't be legal???

ptholden - 20 Nov 2008 10:19 - 2153 of 2350

Rhino, financial sites such as MAM and ADVFN automatically place the trade as a buy or sell dependant on the Bid/Offer at time of reporting. No manipulation, no legality issues.
Which is why the Buy/Sell data is mostly worrthless.

dealerdear - 20 Nov 2008 10:41 - 2154 of 2350

If the sp is oversold (and presumably the MM's haven't got enough of them) then they are happy to increse the sp. In that case you'll find the sp is actually ahead of the buys which makes the subsequent buys look like sells and of course all vica versa. If you can pick it, it is a way of making money quickly because you know the MM's are pushing the sp up. However, in this market there are a lot of red herrings which make it very risky and the MM's know that.

Hope that helps.

ptholden - 20 Nov 2008 10:48 - 2155 of 2350

dd, what on earth are you talking about? The issue is simply one of buying within the spread and the software, financial BBs employ to report the trades.

dealerdear - 20 Nov 2008 10:53 - 2156 of 2350

I've seen it happen pth when a share is oversold.

Happened a few weeks ago with CFM when the sp jumped from around 2.5p to 6p over the course of a couple of days. All the trades coming in registered as sells because they were at the bottom of the spread yet the sp went up over 100%.

Unless you have better info, I can only assume the sells were infact buys.

CWMAM - 27 Nov 2008 08:37 - 2157 of 2350

Any news out there?

martinl2 - 03 Dec 2008 15:07 - 2158 of 2350

.

kkeith2000 - 03 Dec 2008 15:18 - 2159 of 2350

No news am afraid, makes me now wonder what news can shift us

Not sure what price we are getting for our oil, but it must barely be covering the wages

Another all time low now, i would like to see us start the CBM project, for how long can we stand the low oil prices or a further drop in oil would make better to leave it in the ground

martinl2 - 03 Dec 2008 16:17 - 2160 of 2350

Why would anyone sell out at 2p now? Surely this is rock bottom.
Sellers here must be losing a packet.
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