http://oilbarrel.com/news/borders-southern-completes-3d-seismic-as-it-continues-to-digest-the-results-of-its-darwin-discoveryApril 15, 2013
Borders & Southern Completes 3D Seismic As It Continues To Digest The Results Of Its Darwin Discovery
You wouldn't know it from the share price but 2012 was a breakout year for AIM-quoted Borders & Southern Petroleum. The company, which has three licences in the South Falkland Basin that stretch for nearly 10,000 sq km, made a gas-condensate strike with its first wildcat in these untested waters, Darwin, which carries a most likely recoverable resource of 200 million barrels.
This was a key event, not only for the company but also for the islands, opening up a new hydrocarbon basin and proving the early Cretaceous play fairway. The company points out that the discovery has “profound implications” for its nearby prospects, helping to de-risk its portfolio. Yet the shares are knocking along at around 20 pence per share, a fraction of the 52-week high of 139 pence just ahead of the discovery announcement in April 2012.
In part this is a reflection of the realities of working in these remote and challenging waters. The shares suffered as investors digested the gassy nature of the well – oil is the much hoped for but still elusive target in these southern waters. Then Borders' second well, on the Stebbing prospect, came back empty while the much-anticipated two well programme by fellow explorer Falklands Oil & Gas, which has the dominant acreage position in these waters to the south and east of the islands, also disappointed, again pointing to a gassy basin and poor quality reservoirs.
This hit sentiment as this kind of challenging location needs reservoirs of scale and quality to justify investment. But it is still very early days and last year's drilling programmes have delivered a wealth of information to help operators refine their models and derisk prospect inventories.
Technical evaluation of the Darwin gas condensate discovery is progressing well, with the initial estimate of recoverable liquids in the range of 130 to 250 million barrels – and the company suggests this might be conservative. It also boldly claims that, if confirmed by appraisal drilling, this find could be both technically and commercially viable using existing technology. Some will feel this is unlikely and that more resources will need to be proved before greenlighting development given that costs of operating in the southern Atlantic (importantly last year's wells did demonstrate it is possible to work safely year-round in these harsh weather conditions and, given the animosity of Argentina, successfully manage the complicated logistics of a stretched supply chain).
The London-based company, which ended last year with cash of US$56 million, has now entered the second exploration phase on its licences. This commits it to drill one exploration well and relinquish 50 per cent of its acreage – some of the relinquished acreage included structurally very complex geology and very deep waters in an area the company expects to have limited reservoir development. It has just completed a 3D survey shoot over its acreage and has started the hunt for farm-in partners to help fund future drilling; it hopes to mobilise a rig in late 2014 or early 2015.
This means there will be something of a lull before the drillbit turns again. The next milestone will be the results of the 1,025 sq km 3D seismic survey – a fast-track product will be ready for interpretation in three months but the full dataset will take nine months – and landing a partner with the financial muscle and technical competence to take this project to the next stage.
As FOGL as shown on its blocks, heavyweights are prepared to take on these risks with it successfully bringing in Edison and Noble Energy as partners – with Noble making it clear that it is oil is hoping to find in these waters. 2012 was a big year for these companies but it is the events of the next 12-18 months, as 3D seismic is calibrated with well data, and new partners brought in, that could really pave the groundwork for future exploration success in the Falklands.