Is Help to Buy a heaven-sent lifeline for those who can't tap the Bank of Mum and Dad - or a costly trap?
By Ruth Sunderland
PUBLISHED: 01:02, 23 October 2013 | UPDATED: 11:11, 23 October 2013
House moves: Help to Buy
Is George Osborne’s Help to Buy a heaven-sent lifeline for young adults, unable to get on with their lives because they cannot raise a deposit on a home of their own?
Or should the Chancellor’s big idea really be named Help to Buy Votes, as its critics believe?
To its detractors, the scheme is a foolish attempt by the Government to put a gloss on the economy ahead of the election, by luring people into loading up with debt in a housing market that is already showing signs of running amok.
The initiative allows borrowers to buy a home of up to £600,000 with a deposit of just 5 per cent, instead of the prohibitive 20 per cent down payment demanded by the High Street lenders.
A government guarantee will cover the remaining 15 per cent, meaning taxpayers could be faced with a multi-billion pound bill if borrowers who use the scheme fall into difficulty.
A key worry is that Help to Buy could come back to haunt the hopeful band of new homebuyers who use it – as well as taxpayers who are backing it.
Marion Bell, a former member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, said: ‘I have doubts about whether the way forward is for people to take on more debt. I wonder whether the Government should be taking on that risk onto its books.’
Government ministers and Bank of England policymakers are making soothing noises.
But the fact remains that property values remain high in relation to incomes, despite the slump. In some areas, notably London, they are rising fast, with a surge of 10 per cent in just a month in the capital according to website Rightmove, and the divide between the capital and the regions is becoming wider.
Help to Buy borrowers will also be charged a rate of around 5 per cent, which is comparatively high when set against many existing homebuyers on low cost trackers.
One big concern is that when base rates inevitably start to go up, many of them could be plunged into difficulty, sparking a wave of arrears and repossessions.
Interest rates, according to the ‘forward guidance’ given by new governor Mark Carney, are not likely to rise before 2016, unless unemployment falls faster than expected.
And according to Ben Broadbent, a former Goldman Sachs economist who sits on the Monetary Policy Committee, there is plenty of leeway to put base rates up before it would risk pushing people on Help to Buy into the mire.
‘I think there is a fair amount they could go up before borrowers got into great difficulty, I must say,’ Broadbent said.
He added that the ‘numbers entering this scheme are relatively low and although interest rates will at some point start to rise, it is worth remembering how low a level we are starting from.’
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