Ok its New Year prediction time and as I am in a good mood, so I think that Dawn will be gas. Finding gas and that small a size is of no use to DES, in fact its probably better news for RKH as they have the biggest (and so far not carrying any value at all) licenses in the south of the North with their 2 licenses and confirming that the gas prone source rock is active may offer hope down there. After Ernest being dry some gas at Dawn would be a nice booster for RKH, but a downer for DES as they need to find oil in order to get funding done at a good price next year.
Anyone else like to make their prediction and then wait for Tuesday 7am for news ?
I base the gas theory on the fact the share price suddenly rose but the momentum stopped, indicative of initial gas signs while drilling, if the share price rise kept going then it might has suggest oil, but it faded out. Also, they are now drilling the same level as the gas at Liz, so one would assume they will get the same result from the same source rock. See below :
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So that is the guess now the markets are shut, dire news for DES who need oil but may have gas (perhaps a bit of wet gas) but thats no use. Boosting news for RKH who have no value attributed to the 2 southern licenses they hold following Ernest failure but that may need to be looked at if Dawn confirms that the source rock of that level is producing gas. A gas inflating boost for RKH but a flatulent deflater for DES.