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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

cynic - 29 Apr 2007 14:33 - 521 of 2350

golden cross is when two major mda's cross, both of which being on an upward path ..... technically it is bullish whereas the reverse, a dead cross, is bearinsh

Greyhound - 29 Apr 2007 18:01 - 522 of 2350

and would usually represent the 50dma rising up through the 200dma. Both averages should also be rising for it to be a true cross.

cynic - 29 Apr 2007 18:02 - 523 of 2350

i agree with 50+200 though some here hold with 25+50 (i don't!)

ptholden - 29 Apr 2007 19:12 - 524 of 2350

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

Just to put this particular arguement to rest. This chart's MAs are 10, 50 & 200.
Both the 50 & 200 averages are rising.

Err, there you go.

Greyhound - 29 Apr 2007 21:03 - 525 of 2350

Nice one, we can sit patiently and wait now then!

driver - 30 Apr 2007 13:12 - 526 of 2350

ptholden - 30 Apr 2007 13:47 - 527 of 2350

I see we have another 66,666 sell. I can't believe this and previous sells are down to separate holders. Seems more like one seller dripping stock into the market.

explosive - 30 Apr 2007 20:18 - 528 of 2350

Golden Cross looks more like an iron cross to me, 2005 & 6 showed the same pattern for this time of year, will believe a re-rate when it happens.

ptholden - 30 Apr 2007 21:00 - 529 of 2350

Who's talking about a re-rating? Just looking forward to steady progress in the form of extracting additional oil from existing fields and CBM production rather than acquiring leases. If management can demonstrate such progress, the results will be reflected in the SP.

pth

john50 - 30 Apr 2007 22:12 - 530 of 2350

I would say the 2 6,666 trades are of the same lot hence the 7p price, if you look over the month or so you will find there has been one or two more the same.

RAS - 01 May 2007 12:11 - 531 of 2350

And another 66,666 (1M pre-consol.). I make that 8 over the last week or so.

cynic - 01 May 2007 12:22 - 532 of 2350

chart looks very encouraging, though potential buyers may want to see if sp dips back to 25 dma, currently 6.80 and rising

RAS - 01 May 2007 12:30 - 533 of 2350

Yes, and there is that lower trendline, drawn from the two rising lows in late March, which is currently at around the same level.

RAS - 01 May 2007 17:23 - 534 of 2350

There's also an internal support line at 7p if you extend the two previous high points before the pennant.

john50 - 01 May 2007 18:11 - 535 of 2350

From advfn

fleascool - 1 May'07 - 15:54 - 36261 of 36266


Hi everyone,

Here's a reply from GD regarding the recent increase in gas production.
Just had it through so not had a good chance to diges tit fully yet.




The manager of field operations in California has taken the time to give a lengthy explanation. As a sophisticated investor, I know you realize that we cannot routinely respond in depth to individual technical questions.
Always good to hear from you and thank you for your continued interest in Sefton Resources
With kind regards,
Gary



The gas reported monthly to the DOGGR is entirely solution gas. Solution gas is gas dissolved within the oil that comes out when the oil is produced due to the lowering of confining pressure on the oil in the subsurface reservoir to ambient pressures in the tanks at the surface. The volume of solution gas for Tapia oil is very low, i.e. it has a very low gas-oil ratio (GOR). Where many oil fields commonly have GORs of 500 to 1000 standard cubic feet of gas (scf) per stock tank barrel (STB) of oil, the Tapia GOR is somewhere between 20 and 50 (virtually nothing). Part of this is the age of the field, but most of it is due to the fact that it is heavy oil. To put it in a dollars perspective, the total volume of solution gas Tapia produces on a monthly basis in 2006 (100 to 130 Mcf) is worth about $600.00 to $800.00/ mo. on the open market - not enough to pay for any kind of gas sales infrastructure. There has been an increase in solution gas produced in the first three months of '07, however, even this increased solution gas volume is also not sufficient to run the steam generator for the field. I cannot offer you a complete explaination as of what caused the increase, but our field operator Grant Wade said it came after we cleaned out and changed pumps in the newer Hartje wells earlier this year, most noteably, the Harje #15. We do not meter gas at the wellhead, and have no way to verify this with exact figures, though.

Some of the incremental increase reported during 2006 was an aberration of the building of the Flare/Vapor Recovery System at Tapia at the beginning of the year and adding wells and tanks to this system over the first few months. All reported gas is gas that goes through the meter at the flare. Prior to flaring the gas, we kept the gas in solution as much as possible by holding back-pressure on the wells. The higher back-pressure hinders production by depressing the fluid column within the well and thereby slowing fluid entry to the wellbore. Besides the requirement of the LA Air Quality Mgmt. District (AQMD) to have this new vapor recovery system for our increased production rates, it was also in our best interest to take some of the back-pressure off the wells from a poduction-rate standpoint. We held the gas back-pressure on the wells prior to construction of the flare because without doing so we would have had to vent the gas to the atmosphere, which would put Tapia out of compliandce with AQMD rules.

The second and more voluminous source of gas at Tapia is from the Saugus Formation gas zone. That is the gas that caused the problem at Yule #6 and is the zone that is completed and was tested in the Yule #8 and Snow #1 wells. These wells tested at extrapolated flow rates of approximately 1500 Mcf/D @ 50 psi and 1380 Mcf/D @50 psi, respectively. As you can see, one day's gas production from either of these two wells would approximately equal the total volume of solution gas produced from the oil zone in the entire 2006 calendar year. What we do not know about the gas reservoir is the total volume of gas reserves and will they be sufficient to run the steam generator on the long term. The engineers feel that it is unlikely that there is enough gas to consider sale of the gas into a local pipline, however, we will be better able to determine these parameters when we use this gas for the Pilot Steam Program in the upcoming months.

Greyhound - 02 May 2007 09:20 - 536 of 2350

Thanks for that John. My layman's interpretation of that is the Saugas gas zone is a positive development and whilst they don't know (or won't tell more likely) the volume of the reserve, it's sufficient to use. We must be due a nice string of news updates now.

kkeith2000 - 02 May 2007 09:26 - 537 of 2350

Thanks john50 lots going on at the moment lets hope it all comes good

keith

RAS - 02 May 2007 11:21 - 538 of 2350

More buys than sells (I believe the 100k@7.2 is a buy).

rhino213 - 04 May 2007 08:45 - 539 of 2350

so we've all been sitting here hoping for good news for the last few weeks now. Does anyone know when it's actually coming out? Whats the bettimng it'll be on a Friday so the weekend gets in the way of a nice healthy rise in SP!?!

Greyhound - 04 May 2007 08:59 - 540 of 2350

If we knew that rhino....some of us have been here a while but with results looming I would have thought we'd see something either before then or at 7am on the day.

That was a sudden dip on the bid there as I write.
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