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Rockhopper Exploration: Analyst says a second Falkland oil discovery would end debate on commerciality
12:05 pm by Jamie Ashcroft
The 14/10-5 Sea Lion appraisal well, which was drilled May, flowed at a stabilised rate of 5,508 barrels of oil per day. The well had a maximum stabilised flow rate of 9,036 barrels a day.
Appraisal drilling on the Sea Lion discovery will help Rockhopper Explorations (LON:RKH) share price recovery, but another discovery is would extinguish the Falkland oil commerciality argument, according to Evolution Securities analyst David Farrell.
This morning Rockhopper revealed that the latest Sea Lion appraisal well has flowed at commercial rates. It told investors that the 14/10-5 Sea Lion appraisal well, which was drilled May, flowed at a stabilised rate of 5,508 barrels of oil per day. The well had a maximum stabilised flow rate of 9,036 barrels a day.
"This very positive well test result is another key milestone in establishing Sea Lion commerciality, said chief executive Sam Moody.
Investors had a pretty muted response to news. At midday Rockhopper shares were up just 1.25 pence each, just 0.5 percent, as they changed hands at 282 pence a share. However Evos David Farrell repeated a buy recommendation for Rockhopper, which targets 450 pence a share.
Meanwhile other analysts emphasised the major positive of the statement, the fact that the oil was not too waxy to flow at commercial rates which is a long-held concern for the oil found in the Falklands.
The flow also greatly reduces the risks related to the waxy nature of the crude, by showing that with limited operational assistance excellent flow could be achieved, Merchant Securities analyst Brendan Long said in a note to clients.
The analyst described the update as excellent news. He added: This is very good news because turning the switch from un-commercial to commercial is a major value uplift for this company. More commentary will follow, but this is clearly very strong and positive news.
Similarly Matrix Capital analyst Charlie Sharp said: This is an excellent result for Rockhopper, in our view.
The apparent completeness of the test and the detail presented are very positive, and the flow rates, in our view, beat market expectations.
In this mornings statement Rockhopper confirmed that, through flow testing, it perforated a total section of 86 metres, incorporating 79 metres of reservoir of the Sea Lion Main Fan Complex. It said that no lower fan sands were perforated for this test.
During the main 48 hour test the well flowed at a stabilised rate of 5,508 barrels a day, and 940 thousand cubic feet of gas. Then during a second test the final maximum flow rate of 9,036 barrels a day achieved over a 2 hour period, before the well was shut in for a final build up and injectivity tests.
Rockhopper also carried out down-hole mini drill stem tests (DSTs) on two of the three sands that make up the lower fan complex. According to Rockhopper the interpretation of the mini-DST results indicate that the two sands could contribute an additional 800 barrels a day using the same flow test techniques.
The Board views the flow rates achieved as being commercially viable, Rockhopper said. Further appraisal drilling is being progressed over the coming months to continue to define the extent of the Sea Lion resource.
Rockhopper chief Sam Moody added: We will now review the wealth of data gathered during the testing process and continue our preparations for the next appraisal well on the field."
Next the Ocean Guardian drill rig will move on to spud the third Sea Lion appraisal well, 14/10-6, 4.5 kilometres to the west of well the current well location.