This made 31's a couple of months back.
I have copied the relebvent bits fully as I do not recall seeing it here.
http://www.dolmenstockbrokers.ie/reports/13%20June%202007.pdf
Todays Recommendation
Sterling Energy (16p) Successful onshore US drilling Stuart Draper
Target : 28p (24/08/06 ; previously 34p, issued 17/05/06)
Successful drilling : Despite the recent widespread stockmarket weakness, the share price of Sterling Energy has risen by 7% within the past month. This recent out-performance should continue over the coming months, driven by further progress in developing the groups onshore US and international portfolio of assets. The company recently reported a 2006 cash operating profit (EBITDA) of $56.2m, a more than quadrupling on the 2005 comparative of $11.6m. This strong cash flow is expected to grow further to c.$65m in 2007 and to c.$75m in 2008. There is major upside potential for the share price from the allocation of this cash flow to fund further successful low risk drilling to grow the groups 2p reserves.
Funding increase : The latest successful drilling, just announced, relates to the Thunder Stud well, onshore Louisiana, which has encountered multiple pay zones, and which will be production tested later this year. Even though these production tests will be necessary to prove the commercial impact of the discovery, based on the successful drilling of the former Whittier company since the start of 2007, the groups US bank facilities have been increased by $6.8m to $61.5m, which are in addition to further undrawn bank facilities of c.$19m and a group cash balance of c.$37m.
Proven reserves : Even assuming an oil price of only $50/bbl, the 8% Chinguetti holding and royalty interest is still worth c. 55m. Valuing the companys separate 5.28% Tiof royalty on 359m barrels, which remains unaffected, gives 60m, as does
its Tevet royalty worth c.5.5m, giving a total oil value of c. 120m. Sterlings Banda gas royalty in Mauritania is still worth 42m. The value of its proven and probable gas reserves in the Gulf of Mexico has doubled to 180m following the Whittier acquisition, as has its 3P Gulf of Mexico gas reserves risked at 50%, to 74m, giving a total gas value of 296m.
Major upside : When Sterlings liquid assets such as its Forum Energy 14.7% shareholding worth c.2.4m, and its new net debt of c.53m are also taken into account, the groups NAV increases to 365m, or 23.3p for each of the 1,566m shares
now in issue. We had previously conservatively valued Sterlings entire additional exploration licences at Madagascar, Gabon, Guinea, Bissau and Cameroon at 65m, adding a further 4.2p per share to our valuation, to underpin our current 12 month
share price target of 28p (75% further upside) : BUY.