4.025p + 0.075p
JLP has assets of Nickel in Australia ................
Nickel to rise above $20,000/tonne by 2017 –
Alto Capital ---- A longer-term perspective supports price appreciation. - 8 October 2015 09:01
A bullish outlook that will see nickel climb out of its current price slump and double in value to in excess of US$20,000 a tonne before March 2017, has been forecast today by market observer, Alto Capital.
Addressing the Paydirt 2015 Australian Nickel Conference in Perth today, Alto Capital research analyst, Mr Carey Smith, said that while the sector was under substantial cost and price pain, nonetheless the trend factors and outlook were far more substantial than they appeared.
“The nickel market has been dismal due to a recipe of stockpiles are up, production is up and demand is down,” Mr Smith said.
“However, going forward, stockpiled Indonesian high grade laterite nickel in China has all been consumed, China Nickel Pig Iron (NPI) production is in decline, global nickel supply is decreasing with only Independence Group’s Nova Bollinger project on the horizon and most producers/miners are losing money – so they will minimise their operations and/or get out of the game,” he said.
“This favours a return to the unrealised 2014 predictions of prices circa plus US$20,000 a tonne.”
Mr Smith said the current downturn was one of the longest in the nickel sector, totalling around 53 months with a decrease in price over that time of greater than 65%.
While the sector’s consensus 12 months ago was +US$20,000, the current price was more around US$10,000.
“On a performance review, all base metals have been in a downward trend, but have stayed mostly above GFC trough levels – except nickel,” Mr Smith said.
“London Metal Exchange (LME) stockpile estimates have pushed out to approximately 450,000 tonnes or about 85 days consumption,” he said.
“Economic uncertainty surrounding the direction of interest rates and global growth and Chinese equity, debt and economic concerns, are all weighing on the sector.
The Alto Capital analyst also pointed to China’s flat stainless steel production (a big consumer of nickel) of the past three quarters with no visible catalysts to suggest production will increase significantly from current levels........
base-metals-and-minerals/nickel-to-rise-above-20000tonne-by-2017
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from the iii
Platinum price is at the bottom at the moment, however, this price will not stay at the bottom for long.many are expecting the price will recover and hence there are several platinum junior minors sitting on huge assets and yet being cheaply valued. AQP is one example, where Sibanye sees this as a bargain and worth buying (and no burden of debt, unlike LMI).
so, this should crush those punters who were falsely saying nobody will be interested to buy platinum miner due to low profitability as platinum price too low. in fact, several major players who are deep pocket will be acquiring smaller companies (like AQP, JLP) while they remain cheap.
another to watch is JLP, where JLP has massive platinum assets worth around NPV $4bn and yet their mcap only 28m. perhaps all eyes are waiting for the mining licence before they put their offer.