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Amerisur Reources : Sth. American Oil/Gas explorer (AMER)     

Sharesure - 30 Jun 2007 18:48

Amerisur Resources is exploring for oil and gas in South America, currently in Colombia and later it plans to exploit its licences in Paraguay. It has a new Board of Directors and following a recent Placing at 6p (250m shares) sufficient cash to see through its current drilling plans and carry out some further corporate asset improvement opportunities.

Valuation of Amerisur Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on c.800m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $70/barrel is 0.75p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved in the ground.

Amerisur (formerly Chaco Resources) now has two exploration blocks in Colombia which it is currently evaluating and preparing to drill, one of these in the last quarter of 2007. It has also applied for further blocks in Colombia which are also believed to offer near term production. It also has three substantial areas in Paraguay and is awaiting news on a fourth. The next six months (May-November 2008) should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company to becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. Any potential reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Platinillo, Colombia :

100% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Previously this a well flowed at 533 b/d before it was capped.Modern extraction methods may achieve up to double this output/well. Drilling completed for assessment and details of reserve figures and resumption of production daily figures awaited at Dec.2009. (Some guessestimates suggest the field might contain as much as 70m-100m barrels.)

b>



Tigra/Fenix block

100%% Further 3D seismic is completed; previous drilling has resulted in 30,000 barrels of oil from this block. Other blocks nearby in the Magdalena basin have also produced well. Drilled 11/2009; optimistic RNS (17 leads to follow)but reserve figures awaited

RNS :Expect further news on this block imminently and maybe a JV or other arrangement to speed up the timescale to production



Additional blocks to be announced

New local management team, in particular the CEO, is reputed to have some excellent contacts which will bring some high quality blocks to Amerisur in the coming months.

Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with Amerisur



Corporate Activity : The new Chairman is believed to have been brought on board to prove some or all of the existing Colombian assets and get these oil producing, arrange a JV on the Paraguayan assets before negotiating a sale of the company as consolidation of explorers in the region continues. An exit sp north of 1.00 over the next 12 months might be a reasonable target provided the drilling programme lives up to expectations, the price of oil remains at/above current levels and an approach is made for the company.

cynic - 07 Aug 2007 15:01 - 61 of 3289

i liked it enough to lose money on it at least once!
i love my dog too, but when the time comes it will have to be put down ..... similarly dogs like this!

Sharesure - 07 Aug 2007 15:13 - 62 of 3289

Fretting about the sp during August and when turnover is so low is a mug's game. AMER will come alight when it announces what all of those of us who follow it closely know and oil production at whatever rate becomes a reality; drilling Platinillo - step out well and the original plugged hole and announcing that an increase in the % of the field has been concluded should propel this to well over 20p on the current 25% and more if we get a bigger sized field and a bigger %. The latter is probably held up because Ecopetrel also made a pitch for some of Repsol's stake and they do not move quickly as we all know to our cost.
It will be interesting to see if any spud dates are announced (as req'd by the rules?) or is/have been 'overlooked' as they were when PV was drilled.

tudwick - 07 Aug 2007 15:28 - 63 of 3289

I wasn't having a moan Sharesure, just highlighting (if it were needed) that the sp has gone from 16p down to 5p on no news. My point is, that were the sp to rise on news, it may only recover to what it was originally, trebling the current price, which is great news if you bought @ the 5p range, but no so if you bought originally ?

Cynic, i love your sarcasm

cynic - 07 Aug 2007 15:36 - 64 of 3289

plenty more where that came from ..... i have a long life's fund of it ... lol!

Sharesure - 07 Aug 2007 15:55 - 65 of 3289

Tudwick, My comment re 20p+ on the current % and current estimated field size came from someone who knows this company inside out. Hopefully AMER will prove a bigger find with the step out well (hence plans to drill it first) and have a larger share of it.
As for Cynic, there is no point in taking issue with him/her? as the company's policy of saying nothing only helps foster negative views at this time. If you own your shares and can bear riding out this tedious time until drilling results are in then it is still a stock that in my opinion will rise significantly when there is some production of oil. AMER might even then get some credit for the potential in its other acreages.

tudwick - 07 Aug 2007 16:12 - 66 of 3289

Let's hope you're right, would be very pleasant, considering my breakeven is 11p.

cynic - 07 Aug 2007 16:29 - 67 of 3289

when i last looked down my trousers, i was happy to report that i was still homo intacto!

driver - 07 Aug 2007 17:18 - 68 of 3289

This is starting to look interesting at this price, thinking of coming back in.

blackdown - 07 Aug 2007 17:53 - 69 of 3289

Despite the usual - and boringly repetitive - comments from Cynic, my money is with Sharesure's point of view. The sp is drifting on tiny volumes and nothing of any significance is going to happen until some news is issued by the company.

bhunt1910 - 07 Aug 2007 17:57 - 70 of 3289

Sharesures comments usually pretty accurate - just his timing can be out a tad sometimes - hope not on this occasion

tudwick - 07 Aug 2007 18:56 - 71 of 3289

cheers guys, just been getting a tad apprehensive watching them regularly drop

cynic - 08 Aug 2007 11:39 - 72 of 3289

both AMER and GOO are a load of crap, though for my sins i still hold the latter for all the wrong reasons ...... both stocks are worth bugger-all, so it will be intersting to see which, if either, is blossoming in say 12 months, or even which has disappeared down a big hole in the sand

steveo - 08 Aug 2007 12:01 - 73 of 3289

Bhunt- I admire your loyalty to sharesure, but I cannot see how you find his/her comments accurate considering the history of this stock over the last 9 months. Nothing has changed here, very high risk. Held and lost big after sticking with the assumptions made in the past, wish I'd listened to TFC, but live and learn.

Still got a few on the extremely rare chance they actually come up with the goods, but not expecting anything soon, but.... if they do will go some way to easing the pain and valuable lessons learnt from this stock. ie avoid this type in future until they have proven and soon to be obtainable resources, then watch em like a hawk and take profits. Rather than watch it all go down the swanny

aldwickk - 08 Aug 2007 14:47 - 74 of 3289

aldwickk - 08 Aug 2007 14:58 - 75 of 3289

As you can see from the chart, and the fact that both stocks have gone up today,means the recent fall as been market sentirment. SER is the better share.

driver - 08 Aug 2007 16:50 - 76 of 3289

aldwickk
I also thought that when I sold these on the big drop a few months back I topped up my SER. I still like the look of these and may get back in.

Uponthelowdown - 08 Aug 2007 17:39 - 77 of 3289

There has been a seachange in Amerisur since the days of CHP.
They are infinitely less 'leaky' than before. A hint now constitutes valuable info.
There is a hint, or two, of news on the horizon, indeed.
John Wardle keeps his cards close to his chest and has done so since his appointment as CEO. Giles Clarke responds only to the imprecations of the city. The hoi-polloi and the wailing wafts of the great unwashed represent little interest for him.
I think there have been a few fragrant enquiries from the City to request he gently urges the horses on and get the Landau moving.
Certainly he has given indications of 'solid progress' Now is the time to show what he's been up to since taking over the reins of powers a few months back.
So what is he going to throw to the Oiks crowding round his haughty carriage? 'Here you are mere mortals have a curmugeonly scrap of a multi-million barrel field in a far-off land'.
His distant demeanour will be forgiven if he comes up with the trumps and his Northern bluff go-getter Wardle brings in the field we've all been waiting on for three years or so. I think we're on the verge of throwing off the mind forged manacles of shackled and hobbled hope and will shortly be treading the lush greensward of luxury living.
Get on with it GC before those well-togged city chaps become more aerated and, temporarily, lose the benefit of their expensively acquired vocabulary!

maggiebt4 - 08 Aug 2007 19:27 - 78 of 3289

Charles Dickens eat your heart out. I could do with some lush greensward soon before the moss kills all the shoots.

bigwavedave - 08 Aug 2007 21:35 - 79 of 3289

Pure poetry!

annie38 - 09 Aug 2007 09:59 - 80 of 3289

Pure poverty.... at the moment. !
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