STRATEGY

•FOGL seeks to add shareholder value by pursuing an aggressive exploration programme in its licences to the south and east of the Falkland Islands. Exploration drilling will continue in the deep water areas of FOGL’s licences in the first half of 2012. If successful, this drilling could lead to the development of a new hydrocarbon province in the South Atlantic.

Next Phase of drilling

In the first half of 2012 FOGL is planning to drill two wells in the deep water area of its licences.
FOGL has contracted the Leiv Eiriksson rig to undertake this drilling programme. The rig is due to arrive in the Falklands in early 2012 when it will initially drill two wells for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S), before commencing the FOGL drilling programme. The B&S wells are to be drilled on the Darwin and Stebbing prospects. The results of these wells will be of interest to FOGL, because we have similar plays and prospects within the southern part of our licence area.

The first well to be drilled in the FOGL programme will be on the Loligo prospect. A number of options exist for the second well, including potentially a well on Scotia, a prospect within the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play. The final decision on which prospect will be targeted by the second well will be guided by the results from Loligo.

Funding

As at 7 September 2011 FOGL's available funds, including the BHP Billiton settlement, were $150.8 million. The Company is debt free.


2012 Drilling Programme

The Leiv Eiriksson a harsh environment rig has been drilling wells offshore Greenland for Cairn Energy. That campaign is expected to finish by the end of November 2011 after which the rig will head south to the Falkland Islands. The rig will first drill two wells (about 90 days drilling) for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S) before moving on to the FOGL programme. The transit time from Greenland is expected to be approximately 60 days.

A great deal of work has gone into the planning of the FOGL drilling campaign and over the preceding years a large amount of data has had to be collected to so that the drilling can take place.

Seismic data was acquired from 2004 to 2007 and again in 2011, CSEM in 2007, site surveys in 2009 and 2011 and metocean data, from permanent current meters, in 2009/10. Well planning essentially started in 2009 with the drilling of three, 200m deep, geotechnical boreholes. This data helped with the planning of the shallow section of the Toroa well (FI 61/05-1) and has been extensively used in the planning of the deep water programme.

The first well in the FOGL programme will be on the giant Loligo prospect. A second well will also be drilled by FOGL using the Leiv Eiriksson and site surveys have been acquired over the following prospects: The Nimrod Complex and the Vinson prospect in the Tertiary Channel Play, the Scotia or Hero prospects in the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play and the Inflexible or Endeavour prospect in the Springhill Sandstone Play. Options that are currently being considered depend upon the results of the first well on Loligo. The final play in the FOGL acreage is in the Fold Belt in the south west of the FOGL acreage. This play is being tested by B&S at their Stebbing prospect. Similar features exist within the FOGL acreage and the results of the well will be closely monitored. In addition the B&S, Darwin well is targeting a tilted fault block which again shows great similarities with several prospects in the FOGL portfolio (Inflexible, Thulla etc.). Depending on the results of Darwin FOGL may consider a well on Inflexible as the second well in the programme.

FOGL’s main focus is on the two younger plays, the Tertiary Channel and the Mid Cretaceous Fan play. FOGL has been working on the Mid Cretaceous play for some time but it was only in late 2009, when the seismic data had been fully reprocessed, that it became clear that this major new play was viable. The play is analogous to the ones being successfully targeted in West Africa (the Tullow Jubilee field in Ghana and other discoveries along that margin) and the general geology, depositional setting and even the AVO response (Class II response over Scotia and Hero) are remarkably similar. The two main prospects, Scotia and Hero, both contain prospective resources in excess of 1 billion bbls. One of the key features that makes this play so attractive is that the reservoir sands sit directly above the mature Aptian oil source rocks which were sampled in the DSDP wells to the East of the FOGL acreage.

2012 DRLLING TARGET LOLIGO

The shallowest target alone covers an area of over 600sqkm. The Loligo prospect was first mapped in 2006 and has been re-mapped and re analysed several times since then. It is a large stratigraphic trap which is supported by a very consistent Class III AVO response on the seismic data. It is an ‘easy to map’ anomaly which stands out clearly above the background seismic responses when compared to the entire basin. In addition, it sits directly above an old high which used to separate the Southern basin (Fitzroy sub-basin) from the Northern basin (Volunteer sub-basin). This old high seems to be acting as a focus for hydrocarbon migration from deeply buried source rocks in each of the sub basins.

Beneath the southern part of Loligo several other prospects within the Tertiary Channel play, overlap and may be penetrated by one carefully located well. The deeper prospects (each covering an area similar to Loligo) have been called Trigg and the Three Bears. Together these prospects are called the Loligo Complex. The prospective resources (recoverable oil) associated with the Loligo complex, are in excess of 4 billion bbls of oil or over 25tcf of gas.




FOGL is focused exclusively on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Falkland Islands.

We are pursuing an aggressive exploration programme that could lead to the development of a new petroleum province in the South Atlantic. The joint venture operations have now moved into the drilling phase.
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Most prospects in 2,000 – 4,500 feet water depth (610 – 1372m)

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Target horizons: 6,000 – 13,000 feet below sea bed lever (1829 – 3962m)

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Falklands weather is similar to West of Shetland

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Remote location but there were no major issues during 1998 drilling campaign

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Anchored semi-submersible or drillship for exploration drilling

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Tried and tested technology for developments



Falkland Oil and Gas Limited Licence area.




FINANCIAL SUMMARY http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/performance

FOGL HOME http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/home

http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/falkland-oil-and-gas-2012-its-time-63024/

Totally correct again Cynic we will have you specialising in these Falkland oilies yet

Southern side where BOR and FOGL are has had one hole drilled and NO oil found at all not even enough to fill my oil lamp with.

Both FOGL and BOR are sells until things change from a letter of intent or a EIS anyone buying in is taking a huge gamble and chasing rainbows.

But RKH still never got a partner so means nowt if BOR have a partner or not ...DOH!

BOR did raise a shit load on the markets not so long ago though...much more than DES or RKH raised...and they will need it at 5th Generation costs!...come December.

is your brain fried?
RKH have oil and have the rig for another spudding
BOR have fuck all to put it succinctly

"Finding a high spec rig or boat will be hard and costly then you have all the services boats ect very costly and if BOR was that good of a thing why no partner its very high risk in a basin which is deep and un proven to hold oil."


DOH


I'm discussing markey's quote above which states, "if BOR was that good of a thing why no partner ", and I'm saying that RKH had no partner either despite the NFB and RKH acreage in particular being pretty damm good!

ah, and then of course you don't need a partner if you have nothing to share

strikes us the only people making money are the owners of the Ocean Guardian.

and those who have shares in RKH or have shorted FOGL!

only if they have already taken their profit.

now now! ..... you know i regularly bank profits (and losses!)

Halifax you not holding any RKH shares?

marky took a very nice profit (5 bagger) some time ago mulling the future as you and others have said frequently the upside could be a further 2-3 bagger if all the estimates turn out to be realistic.The downside is that it might, just might turn out like SEY and their involvement with the Chingueti find offshore Mauratania which was a great disappointment to us ultimately, lesson being cash in on the discovery but don't hang aroung for actual production. We have a profit in the bank our view may change and is not carved in stone so we may decide to take another punt with Ernest,the important decision is whether to be in RKH when they flow test Sea Lion.

lol..RKH down 2% on spudding RNS and FOGL up 5% on ????

Now nearly 9% up..someone must have a sniff of Rig news.

or just friday profit taking

Profit taking?....ok...you mean shorts closing for profit...maybe.

ouch i wonder if this has any thing to do with the rise

FOGL as a buy recommendation in this weeks moneyweek magazine.

They said "Falkland oil shares plunged 50% recentl after the failure of its toroa well.But the well wasnt even its main prospect. Buy on the price weakness. " Price tipped 106p/high 267p/low 70p"

Markymar,

It does seem likely.

; )

i still think FOGL is a good shorting target ..... i find its current relative strength bewildering given its lack of drilling success ...... if ernest comes up dry, which looks fairly likely to me given its location, then my guess is that southern basin oilies are going to whacked particularly hard